Insights
Quarterly Canadian Outlook
Quarterly Canadian outlook: Low but positive growth ahead
September 15, 2025
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Insights
In- depth and valuable insights on macroeconomic data, identifying key trends and developments.
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Tracking the impact of U.S. tariffs on five targeted Canadian industries
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Stagnating income threaten wealth gains for young Canadians
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Services can drive greater Canadian export diversification
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Five reasons Canadian consumer spending will stay resilient, preventing further BoC rate cuts
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RBC Consumer Spending Tracker
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Canada maintains tight immigration policy despite permanent resident exemptions
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Canadian federal budget preview: A new playbook for balancing bigger government with fiscal health
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Population growth boosts Alberta’s economy, challenges young job seekers
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Q3 Business Outlook Survey leaves BoC on track for another rate cut
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Expanding U.S. Section 232 tariffs squeezes Canadian manufacturers
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Canadian wealth inequality widened in Q2
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Canadian trade deficit widened in August as new tariffs took effect
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Canada’s population growth slows even as outflows fall increasingly short of targets
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Canada faces peak aging as final boomers retire and population growth slows
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Tariffs leave a mark on Canada’s industrial heartland
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Q2 Canadian household net worth rises again despite economic uncertainties
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QCEW revisions confirm fewer U.S. jobs were added
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Canadian international trade flows stabilizing early in Q3
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How CUSMA strengthens both U.S. and Canadian economies
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Rent retreat: Canadian tenants catch a break
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Most Canadian exports to the U.S. remained duty free in June
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Soft spots and strongholds: How Canada’s jobs market is handling trade volatility
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Canadian exports still low in May but CUSMA backstop holding
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Crude calculations: Assessing Canada’s vulnerability to oil prices
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Canada’s on track to meet lower immigration targets
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What frequent and costly natural disasters mean for Canada’s economy
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What does greater defence spending mean for Canada’s economy?
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Trade tensions are redrawing Canadians’ travel map
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Canadian trade deficit narrowed in March as compliance with CUSMA rose
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Leadership shuffle: Prairie provinces powered Canada’s growth in 2024
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CUSMA compliance rush: Will it shield Canada from U.S. tariffs?
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U.S. reciprocal tariffs spare Canada/Mexico for now but trade risks remain
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U.S. tariffs on Canada take effect: What is the state of play?
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Five things we learned this week about U.S.-Canada trade
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A U.S.-Canada trade shock now in play: first economic takeaways
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A playbook for how to measure a tariff shock in Canada
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Proof Point: Canadian industries and provinces most exposed to U.S. tariff threat
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Proof Point: Are falling rents in Canada temporary relief or a new trend
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Proof point: Canada’s job market slump—low-wage industries with young workers take the biggest hit
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Immigration cuts will help narrow Canada’s housing gap but won’t solve crisis
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Proof point: Why Canada is seeing an uneven recovery among households
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How Canada’s new immigration targets will impact the economy
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Proof point: Job market is bigger risk to Canada’s economy than mortgage renewals
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Three reasons why 2024’s 2% inflation isn’t 2019’s 2%
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Proof point: Financial returns after a post-secondary education have diminished
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Weighing the impact of Canadian tariffs on Chinese EVs and metals
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Proven points: Rents, wages, inflation and other top reads from Proof Point
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Proof Point: Canada’s economy might not be in recession but it feels like one
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Proof point: Rental housing construction picks up in Canada but will it be enough?
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Proof Point: The Canadian tourism sector is struggling to stage a rebound
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Proof Point: Canadian inflation is unlikely to pick up again like in the U.S.
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Proof Point: Not addressing population aging can be very costly
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Proof Point: A weaker Canadian dollar won’t necessarily derail BoC interest rate cuts
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Proof Point: Governments face higher interest costs when straying from fiscal anchors
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How lowering the number of non-permanent residents will impact Canada’s economy
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Proof Point: Immigrants participation in the labour force surpasses those born in Canada
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Proof Point: Weak productivity is threatening Canada’s post-pandemic wage growth
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Proof Point: International student cap won’t immediately cut rental demand in Canada
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Proof Point: Consumer spending headwinds should ease in second half of 2024
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Proof Point: Students and new graduates are bearing the brunt of the labour market downturn
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Navigating 2024: Reset and Revival In A Reshaping World
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Proof Point: Why has U.S. consumer spending been so much more resilient than Canada’s?
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Proof Point: Closing Canada’s infrastructure gap could boost Indigenous output by up to 17%
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Proof Point: Fiscal tailwinds coming to an end for Canada’s provinces
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Proof Point: For Canada, slower growth in China is a manageable risk
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Proof Point: The ranks of Canadian entrepreneurs are shrinking
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Proof Point: Is more turbulence on the way for Canadian labour relations?
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Proof Point: International students have a fast track to Canadian employment
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Proof Point: Canadian millennials have the smallest cushion against job losses
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Canadians on the move: will a pandemic shakeup in migration trends hold?
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Proof Point: Non-permanent residents can fill labour gaps in “greying” Canadian industries
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Stronger, faster, smarter: The transportation strategy Canada needs to win post-IRA
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Proof Point: Food inflation will slow, but don’t expect prices to drop
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Proof Point: Canadians’ post-pandemic travel fever holds steady
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Five signs North America’s labour markets are starting to crack
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Proof Point: More Canadians to fall behind on debt payments—but most will manage
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Proof Point: Will a weak Canadian dollar fire up inflation?
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Proof Point: Canada’s economy can’t afford a slump in business investment
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Policy Insight: How Canada can win in the post-IRA economy
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Proof Point: Canadian women drove a pandemic shift into higher-paying jobs
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Proof Point: Canada is failing to put immigrant skills to work
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Proof Point: Without investment, Canadian wages could reignite inflation
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Proof Point: Canadians are still clinging to pandemic savings
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Navigating 2023: Canada in the cross currents
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Proof Point: Canada needs more doctors—and fast
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Proof Point: Canada’s provinces are basking in revenue, but how long will it last?
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Proof Point: The housing-charged boom in Canadian net wealth is over
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Proof Point: Canada’s recession to arrive earlier than expected
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Proof Point: Canada still isn’t spending enough on the green economy
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The Price of Power: How to cut Canada’s Net Zero electricity bill
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Proof Point: The rise of services in Canadian goods trade
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Course Correction: How international students can help solve Canada’s labour crisis
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Proof Point: Fewer supply chain snarls won’t be enough to lower inflation to 2%
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Proof Point: Demographics a powerful counterforce in Canada’s housing market correction
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Proof Point: Reshoring hasn’t spurred a Canadian manufacturing renaissance
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Proof Point: Canada’s labour shortages will outlive a recession
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Proof Point: Canada’s economy is headed for a recession
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Immigration Nation: New Canadians are vital to an aging society
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Proof Point: Can Canada feed the world?
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Proof Point: Canadians are scratching the travel itch again, but can the industry keep up?
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Proof Point: Immigration will fuel Atlantic Canada’s population upswing
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Proof Point: Canadians can’t kick cash
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Proof Point: Low income Canadians to feel sharpest sting from inflation, rate hikes
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Proof Point: Canada’s post-pandemic labour market shakeup
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Pandemic leaves Canadians richer—but saddled with more debt
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Russian invasion and surging inflation take over as key global growth risks
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Equal measures: Advancing Canada’s working women in a post-pandemic economy
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Unleashing Opportunity: The economic gains in narrowing Canada’s racial wealth gap
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COVID Consumer Spending Tracker
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The Great Canadian Restart: How 2022 can spark an era of greener, more robust growth
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What’s up with inflation?
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Squeeze Play: Higher wages alone won’t solve Canada’s labour shortage problem
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The Great Canadian Savings Puzzle
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The new challenges facing Canada’s small businesses
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A Regional Renaissance: More Canadians drawn to live on the Atlantic Coast during pandemic
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Powering Up: Preparing Canada’s skilled trades for a post-pandemic economy
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The Economic Pulse – September 2021 Edition
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Are sky-high job vacancies in Canada around for a while?
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Will supply-chain disruptions remain an obstacle to growth?
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Has the Canadian dollar already reached its peak for the year?
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Will a return to pre-pandemic retirement and job quitting levels worsen emerging labour shortages in Canada?
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Canadian tourism sector primed for early recovery after bleak year
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The immigration balancing act
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The Economic Pulse – June 2021 Edition
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Rebuilding Canada’s labour market: The inclusive recovery imperative
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Canadian retailers better placed to weather COVID third wave
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The Economic Pulse – April 2021 Edition
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Canadian immigration showing signs of rebound
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Trading Places: Canada’s place in a changing global economy
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How Canada can thrive in a new global trade landscape
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The Economic Pulse – March 2021 Edition
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Inflation concerns not misplaced, but shouldn’t be overstated
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And Now the Reset: 9 ways COVID has changed consumers, and business, for the decade ahead
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COVID Further Clouded the Outlook for Canadian Women at Risk of Disruption
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Industrial Sector’s Robust Recovery Challenged by Labour, Supply Chain Issues
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How Canada’s Economy has Managed Through the Second Wave of COVID-19
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Canadians to Borrow and Spend More in 2021
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Canadian Immigration Interrupted: A Look Ahead Into 2021
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COVID Upends the Charitable Playbook
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Canadian Retailers Battered, Not Broken, by Second Wave
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For Many Canadian Businesses, the Two Halves of 2021 Look Very Different
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Navigating 2021: 21 Charts for the Year Ahead
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Five Ways to Help Small Business
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A Spotlight on the Labour Market: An Uneven Recovery
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Canadian Women Continue to Exit the Labour Force
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What will a Biden administration mean for Canada?
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From Recession to Recovery – A Bumpy Road Ahead for the Canadian Economy
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How Covid is Transforming the Economy – and Everything We Do
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Provincial-U.S. Trade: COVID-19 Exposure Rankings
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COVID Response Has Kept Many Indebted Canadians from Reaching Debt Cliff
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The Canadian Dream Postponed: Near-term Recovery in Immigration Levels is Unlikely
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Pandemic Threatens Decades of Women’s Labour Force Gains
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COVID-19 Highlights the Need for Bold Change in Canada’s Eldercare System
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Canadian City Finances Ailing from COVID-19
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COVID-19 Derails Canadian Immigration
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For Canadian Tourism, Canadians Matter Most
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Sizing up Canadian and US Stimulus Measures
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Tiff Macklem to Take over as Bank of Canada Governor in June
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Student Aid: A Relief Program That Can Drive Innovation, Too
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COVID-19 Recession Deepens Fast from Coast to Coast
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Employment Plunged in March – with Much Worse to Come
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Government Policies to Offset COVID-19 Shock on Low-wage Workforce
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Bold and Broad: Federal Government Announces Details for Wage Subsidy
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Canadian Manufacturing Activity Contracting Sharply
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Canadian Dollar Weakened but Not Headed for Historical Lows
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Federal Fiscal Support: Phase One Done but a Long Way to Go
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COVID-19’s Threat to Canada’s Vulnerable Workers
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A Crisis of Confidence
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Phase One COVID-19 Stimulus Mostly Helps Households
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Bank of Canada Commits to Do What’s Necessary to Keep System Running
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Economic Forecasting in Turbulent Times
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Federal Government Releases Plan to Soften Coronavirus Blow
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The Fruits of Her Labour
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Gauging Canadian Coronavirus Supply Chain Vulnerabilities
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Navigating the 2020s: How Canada can thrive in a decade of change
Quarterly Canadian Outlook
Quarterly economic analysis and projections for Canada and the provinces.
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Rate-hiking cycle ending as recession edges closer
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Brace for a ‘bumpy’ landing, Canada
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Hot provincial momentum to lose steam
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Western provincial economies shining more brightly in 2022
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Growth opportunities narrow amid searing inflation and a scarcity of workers
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Budget 2022: Will Ottawa rise to Canada’s growth challenge?
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Provincial economies face new challenges as pandemic threat fades
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Provinces to enter advanced stages of recovery in 2022
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Inflation top concern for 2022, Covid variant casts shadow
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Brighter Days Ahead: Fiscal picture improves from coast to coast
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Recovery bumpy but still advancing in all provinces
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The long and winding road to recovery
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Economic recovery shifts into higher gear
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Provincial economies reaching the other side of the valley
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Vaccines Put Global Economy on Recovery Track
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Vaccine Progress Brightens Outlook for Provincial Economies
Canada’s Housing Market Ramped up as 2021 Rolled In
Canada’s housing market ended 2020 on a (very) high note
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Vaccine Clears Path for Recovery but Not out of the Woods Yet
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2021 Promises Better Days from Coast to Coast
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Economic Conditions Improve but Bumpy Road Ahead
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Provincial Economies: Diverse yet Together in Experiencing Historic Recession
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Charting a Course for Recovery
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Reopening of Provincial Economies: Different Speed, Scale and Outcomes
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Let the Recovery Begin (Please)!
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The Economic Eclipse
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COVID-19 Recession to Hit Every Province
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Canada’s Economy Enters Uncharted Waters
March 2020
February 2020
January 2020
Special Housing Reports
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Low-key start to the fall for Canada’s housing market
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Navigating Toronto’s frozen pre-construction condo market
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Canada’s housing markets are slowly but unevenly getting busier
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Canada isn’t in a housing starts slump—Ontario is
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Canada’s housing market forecast update
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Canada’s building homes fast─but for how long?
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Canada’s housing market outlook: Sustaining recovery in uncertain times
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More supply and cooling demand ease Canadian rental market pressures in 2024
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The Great Rebuild Seven ways to fix Canada’s housing shortage
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Proof Point: Canadian renters face higher hurdles to accumulating wealth than homeowners
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It’s never been harder to rent in Canada—vacancy rates fall to 35-year low
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Canada’s housing market outlook: A tale of two halves in 2024
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Proof Point: Is Canada becoming a nation of renters?
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It’s review time for the mortgage stress test
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Canadian Housing: A Market In Retreat
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Downgrading our forecast for Canada’s housing market
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Rising interest rates a game-changer for Canada’s housing market
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Budget 2022 is big on housing, but won’t immediately relieve affordability crisis
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The fever breaks: Canada’s housing market will cool but stay strong in 2022
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The Canadian housing market outlook
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Home builders are tackling Canada’s housing supply shortage
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Overheating risk eases as Canadian housing market calms down
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Policy action provides partial fix to Canada’s housing market imbalance
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Hot Canadian housing markets call for a policy response
Hot Canadian housing markets call for a policy response
Steaming-hot Housing Market Conditions Persist Despite Cold February Weather
Super-strong Housing Market is Far from Risk-free
New Year, Same Tight Housing Market Conditions Across Canada
Canada’s housing market headed for another record year in 2021
Spectacular End to a Spectacular Year for Canada’s Housing Markets
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