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➔ How’s Canada doing on fighting climate change? It’s complicated

➔ Is the world falling out of love with Teslas?

➔ Canada’s methane rules get pragmatic

Can the IPCC survive its breakup with Washington? The UN-backed Intergovernmental Panel for Climate Change is in a “keep calm-and carry-on” mode after the U.S. decided to pull out, noting that it continues to work on its next cycle of reports, starting in 2027. The IPCC reports are extremely influential, and many countries benchmark themselves to its authoritative data. It’s critical for IPCC to persist, but one of the criticisms of the body is its focus on the science and the tech, that underplays the economics and politics of energy transition. While the White House labelled the IPCC (and the 65 other UN organizations the U.S. exited) as a “waste” of American taxpayer money, others argue that the IPCC has been instrumental in focusing global policymakers on one of the world’s most critical challenges. Science, they hope, will prevail.

New methane rules mark a pragmatic evolution in Canadian climate policy. The new rules—covering onshore oil and gas operations and large landfills with requirements beginning in 2028—pair high ambition with greater regulatory flexibility. The most consequential change is optionality, says Vivan Sorab, our Clean Tech Lead. Government estimates suggest that the new rules could deliver cumulative reductions of 304 Mt CO2e from 2028 to 2040. Operators can follow a regulator-prescribed inspection pathway, subject to regulatory verification and enforcement, or demonstrate compliance through their own processes, backed by monitoring and verification. The removal of the five-year expiry on federal-provincial equivalency agreements further strengthens the framework by improving long-term certainty for provinces and the industry. The rules are reinforced by a $16-million federal investment in methane monitoring and verification tech. Given ongoing uncertainty on methane emission volumes, the focus on measurement could prove to be crucial.

Is the world moving past Elon Musk’s Tesla? It’s hard to say whether the billionaire’s politics put off many, but it could certainly be a factor. Globally, EV cars sales hit a record 21.7 million last year, Bloomberg New Energy Finance estimates, even as Tesla sales contracted 9% to 1.64 million. BNEF forecast 24.3 million EV car sales in 2026—a slower pace of growth than previous years—as falling government incentives are offset by falling battery prices, a bump in commercial vehicle sales and the slow ramp up of robotaxis.

Behind the scenes, the Climate Action Institute team spent the past six months on what’s emerging as a benchmark of Canadian climate action: our Climate Action report, now in its third year.

While there’s been some retreat on climate policies, there’s plenty of action too, on climate. Our report title, Retreat, reset or renew?, suggests it’s all of the above.

The report is based on calculations, aggregations and estimates using a variety of measures from across the economy and society. We selected those metrics to help paint a picture of where we’re at, how far we’ve come and some of the distance ahead. The report, and its measurement tools, are not designed to be a precise diagnostic of any one sector, policy or technology—it’s more like a mirror in which we can see Canada’s successes and shortcomings.

The report was also informed by our team attending over 100 events, and visiting farms, facilities and offices, cross-country, where we listened, spoke and compared notes with peers, experts and skeptics. Over 2,000 Canadian consumers and 150 business executives participated in our two annual surveys. Peer groups dove into the methodologies and several external experts stress-tested our analysis. For our case studies, several companies agreed to heart-to-hearts on the challenges of putting their boardroom promises into action on their factory or office floor. The result is a snapshot of Canada’s climate journey: some milestones achieved, a few dead-ends, and strapping up for the next curve round the bend.

Read the full report here, but here’s a peek at a handful of findings:

  • Emissions progress is mixed: National emissions are down 7% since 2019, with reductions in electricity (-27%), buildings (-19%), and oil/gas (-19%) sectors. However, new projects like the TMX pipeline expansion and LNG Canada Phase 1 are projected to increase oil/gas emissions.

  • There’s a strong pipeline of climate funding. Climate capital flows of around $20 billion annually continue to support the low-carbon sector.

  • …And there’s more on the way. Nearly $100 billion worth of incentives for clean-tech and climate programs and initiatives budgeted for deployment between now and 2035—although funding remains uncertain given policy shifts.

  • Climate Action Barometer declined: the Institute’s flagship index fell for the first time in six years amid policy uncertainty.

  • Canadians still care about climate: Cost of living issues, healthcare access and strengthening the economy were front and centre, but 33% still consider climate change as a top-three priority for policymakers.

Don’t fixate on 2030 Canada’s emissions targets. That’s the message from Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC) in its latest progress report on the country’s 2030 emissions reduction plan, released days before the Christmas break. Focusing on 2030 targets “at all costs” risks undermining the long-haul climate fight, the report notes. “Focusing narrowly on short‑term reductions could also divert attention from the deeper, systemic transformations needed to reach net‑zero by 2050.”

Pushing heavy industry and oil and gas—two sectors that are deeply tied to competitiveness, investment flows, and trade— could “trigger capital flight, carbon leakage, and a loss of international competitiveness, especially if compliance costs outpace those faced by peer economies.”

Economist Farhad Panahov pored through the data trove to glean 5 valuable insights:

  • Emission declines are impressive, given population growth. By 2023, Canada’s emissions declined 8.5% from 2005 levels. More impressively, emissions intensity was down 35% based on the economic size and 29% based on population (which has been growing at a fast clip over the past two decades).

  • We need four times the pandemic era emissions declines. Canada’s emissions would need to drop fourfold compared to the 2020-COVID-era magnitude to reach its 2030 targets.

  • Most sectors are pulling their weight. Electricity, transportation, heavy industry and buildings sectors are projected to deliver a combined 68 MtCO2e emissions reductions by 2030, through several measures including electric vehicle and heat pump adoption, fuel switching and electrification in heavy industry, and renewable technology deployment.

  • Fossil fuels are the outliers. Oil and gas sector, however, has a diverging projection, ranging from either flat to 33 MtCO2e emissions with enhanced methane regulations, hydrogen substitution, and deployment of solvent-based extraction technologies.

  • What’s going to move the needle? The controversial, and now shelved, Oil and Gas Emissions Cap (excluded from the projections) would have only added 3MtCO2e in emissions reduction. Meanwhile, agriculture practices along with nitrogen management could contribute up to 12 MtCO2e in emissions reduction.

  • John Stackhouse will be on the ground in Davos next week. Watch out for his analysis on what he saw, shared and heard at the world’s most influential forum for discussion and debate on the global economy.

  • Lisa Ashton, the Institute’s Interim Head, was the keynote speaker on how agri-food can lead a new era of economic development at the Saskatchewan Crops Forum this week.

  • Lisa also hosted a roundtable in Saskatoon with industry leaders and investors on growth capital in Canada’s agri-food sector to dive into the investment challenges that were highlighted in the Next Generation of Growth.

  • Shaz Merwat, Director of Energy Policy, is moderating a panel on Canada and B.C.’s Competitive Edge as a Global Gas and LNG Producer on Jan. 21 at the B.C. Natural Resources Forum.

  • The Elements of Power: A Story of War, Technology and the Dirtiest Supply Chain on Earth by Nicolas Niarchos, on what it takes to usher in the battery era.

  • TV series Landman, starring Billy Bob Thornton, that shows wildcat drilling is alive and well in Texas—often powered by wind turbines.

  • Disruptors podcast: Alberta’s Next Energy Mix. John Stackhouse speaks with Premier Danielle Smith about the future of power in Alberta.

  • Things Are Never So Bad That They Can’t Get Worse (2022), by William Neuman, on the steady collapse of Venezuela over the years.

Curated by Yadullah Hussain, Managing Editor, RBC Climate Action Institute.

Climate Crunch would not be possible without John Stackhouse, Jordan Brennan, John Intini, Farhad PanahovLisa AshtonShaz MerwatVivan SorabCaprice Biasoni, Lavanya Kaleeswaran and Joelle Schonberg .

Have a comment, commendation, or umm, criticism? Write to me here (yadullahhussain@rbc.com)

Climate Crunch Newsletter

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Season 10 starts with climate—and a simple test: what actually scales in the real economy? 
 
In our kickoff episode, John Stackhouse sits down with Clara Barby (Senior Partner, Just Climate) to pressure-test what gets built next. They move from the “no premium” filter to Canada’s land transition opportunity, then tackle why Carbon, Capture, Utilization and Storage (CCUS) remains complex—and what would make it bankable. They also look at how AI-driven power demand is reshaping the investment lens on electrification and grids. 
 
Listen now + explore the research behind the episode in the show notes. 

Listen on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or Simplecast

Climate-led Investing: What’s Next 

SPEAKERS

Dr Lisa Ashton, Clara Barby, John Stackhouse

John Stackhouse  00:00

Welcome back to Disruptors, and Happy New Year. I’m John Stackhouse, and this is the start of season 10. We’re kicking off this year with climate because 2025, was a year of proof and pressure, proof that the transition is scaling pressure, yes, on grids, prices, policy and frankly, public support. To capture where we’re at, The RBC Climate Action Institute has just published its annual assessment of Canadian progress. We call it Climate Action 2026 and in it you’ll find some remarkable deep dives, as well as real life case studies on policy changes, capital mobilization, industry action and consumer reality. So to get a better picture of where the opportunities and challenges may lie in the year ahead, I wanted to talk to one of the world’s most sophisticated and respected climate investors, Clara Barby is a senior partner at Just Climate. Now, if you haven’t heard of Just Climate, it was created by Generation Investment Management. That’s the climate focused firm that was co founded by Al Gore and David Blood, a pretty sophisticated investor who previously ran Goldman Sachs Asset Management, Clara and her team are trying to scale what they call climate led investing. And her firm, Just Climate is scaling quickly, including a major industrial strategy that we’ll hear about alongside a natural climate solutions strategy that focuses on land use and agriculture that’s backed by institutional investors, including RBC, who want to accelerate practical solutions that cut emissions now while strengthening the systems we rely on.

John Stackhouse  01:51

Clara, welcome to Disruptors.

Clara Barby  01:53

Thank you so much for having me.

John Stackhouse  01:54

Well, this is our first episode of the year, brand new year 2026 and we’re talking about climate and clean tech in the state of the world, frankly, the mood is a bit grim on climate. There’s not a lot of enthusiasm, as our new report Climate Action 26 shows in Canada, it’s not a top priority on people’s minds. I don’t think that’s a surprise. One of the things that actually encourages me is the amount of funding that actually is still going into climate both private capital and public capital. Clara, I wanted to kick off with your New Year’s view of how you’re feeling going into 26

Clara Barby  02:32

Well, I’m glad I’m your first guest of the year, because I am not optimistic in a foolish way, but I think I’m more determined than ever, John, and some of that determination is driven by the mission of what we need to achieve as a global society, but some of it is also just driven by the economic opportunity that I see every day as an asset manager focused on solutions that are low or no carbon, and a lot of the solutions that we see are indeed just better products or services or systems than the ones we’ve had historically, and so that so part of the determination is fueled by just that very practical observation that some of these things work really well and actually will lead to better Financial and societal outcomes, in our view.

John Stackhouse  03:22

Is there a product or service that most excites you right now, as you watch it both go to market and expand in market?

Clara Barby  03:29

We should talk about the land transition, because it’s such a ripe opportunity for Canada. Part of the way we think about the land transition is that historically, when you think of the way capital markets have organized their strategic asset allocation and even their teams around natural capital, it is typically gravitated to real assets, to holding assets and managing land that continues to be an important area for capital deployment. But actually the really promising opportunity we’re seeing is in the growth equity opportunity of the land transition. And what that means is investing in the products and services that the landowners, the industrial farmers, the forestry managers that they need in order to decarbonize their land and even make it regenerative, which means it can sequester carbon as well. And so that takes you actually to bio pesticides, bio fertilizers, precision agriculture, waste to value, water management and even some of the newer restoration opportunities. So that’s the area of focus for us, and I think bio pesticides stands out as an example of that, where you’re starting to see product come through. We have a portfolio company, and it’s using an RNA based method, and it’s just better. It is a drop in solution. It doesn’t require behavior change, it doesn’t command a green premium, and it delivers very precise, targeted pesticide to solve for what farmers need. So that, for me, is a good example. John, to your question.

John Stackhouse  04:58

 Well, I want to underscore two things you just said. It doesn’t require behavior change and it doesn’t come with a green premium. Those should be real filters on a lot of policy thinking. You were at COP 30, which seems a lifetime ago, but was just a couple of months ago in Brazil. What was your big takeaway? And what are you traveling with going into 26 from there?

Clara Barby  05:19

I’m glad you’ve asked about this. I had the privilege of moderating, facilitating the Asset Owner Summit. It’s actually the first time that a cop has had a formal Asset Owner Summit as part of the program in the blue zone. And that’s a really important step, because if you step way back and look at the key actors in addressing climate change, actually it’s the universal asset owners who are inherently economy wide exposed and long term in their thinking, who are in many ways the best allies for governments in terms of thinking through the imperative to address climate change, because they’re very, very exposed. And so this time at COP, we brought together those asset owners with the multilateral leaders, the development finance leadership, and also, obviously the COP President and CEO, etc. And it was a really fruitful discussion, because there was, so there are actually seven things that came out of it, a really important one, relevant for Canada specifically, was we do need a transition framework that can be referenced by asset owners that is consistent with the macro reality. Solutions need to be a no brainer. That being said, there’s a certain amount of abatement we can do with no brainer solutions. And then you do need policy to come in. I think, in fact, your report has a great line on this where you sort of say, Look, no one actor can do this on their own, no brilliant inventor, no government, no sector, no company. Everyone needs to come together. And I think in some ways, we need to talk about the no brainers in terms of solutions that can work now and just need market force. And then we should talk about the things where you do need governments, and actually without a consistent macro framework for how you define transition finance that links to government, the sort of the NDCs at government level, the Nationally Defined Contribution goals, and those go down to local policies, sticks and carrots that actually are consistent with the NDCs, that’s consistent with the global framework. Without that coherence, I think it’s really hard for asset owners to develop policies and approaches that will not expose them to green washing, that will actually be an economic case. And so that was a real call. Can we have a consistent framework you touch on carbon storage in your report? You know, I think carbon capture and storage is a really interesting kind of case study, because if you look at what’s holding CCUS back, it’s not just one factor.

John Stackhouse  07:40

Clara, let me just jump in there on CCUS, because that’s a huge priority for Canada. Certainly those trying to get the pathways, initiative accelerating here would lead to a major reduction in emissions for Canada, but it’s gummed up for a whole host of reasons, including the ones in some ways too complex, and everyone’s trying to solve everything all at once. How can we be thinking about these massive, big, hairy, audacious challenges, as they used to be called, and de complexing them in a way that allows capital, especially private capital, to have the confidence to jump into especially first of a kind or fairly novel technologies, or technologies like CCUS that, frankly, have not been proven at industrial scale?

Clara Barby  08:28

So if we just look at CCUS as, again, as a case study, you’ve got this combination of lack of sufficiently high carbon price for adequate project returns, you’ve got high CapEx. You’ve got lack of infrastructure and sequestration hubs near the industrial emitters. You’ve got slow moving permitting, going to the example I was giving before, and then you’ve got fragmented value chain in which you’ve got your CO2 source, you’ve got capture, transport and storage, and each of them is provided by a different Counterparty, and there’s an unclear allocation of risk and liability between those different counterparties. So I hope that spells out. When we say complexity, that’s what we’re talking about. I think that CCUS is a particularly complex case. I think if we look at some of the areas where we’ve seen progress, though, you can extrapolate ways to break through these things. So if you take cement John, or you take steel, what we tend to see as a way to break through complexity is that you have to have someone who convenes all of those stakeholders around a table. Because the way in which you break through the complexity typically is to actually have the off takers. So those who are buying the cement or the steel, they have to come together with the banks, who have a hugely important debt financing role in this, but they need the confidence. You need the equity club there, and even the equity club often needs to talk to everyone. Needs to talk together. What kind of risk are you willing to take? Which one am I willing to take? How can we structure this in a smart way? And I’ll come in first. You come in next, and then you have to have the policy makers and sometimes the government led banks. When you bring that group together, they need to feel confident. You need stellar management at the company level in a first of a kind of effort. And so what we found is often having someone who’s come from perhaps a big incumbent in the industry, knows it back to front, and then actually can see the vision of what low or no carbon versions of this looks like and really have them lead is critical. If you can get everyone around the same table, you can unlock it for sure, and actually you can tranche it smartly.

John Stackhouse  10:32

We’ll be right back after this short break. Here’s Dr Lisa Ashton, interim head of the RBC Climate Action Institute to tell us more about the Climate Action Report, and I should note, Lisa is a real authority on Nature-based solutions. You should check out her own recent report Unearthing Value, how nature can play a critical role in pro growth agendas. We’ll be back with Clara Barby in a minute.

Dr Lisa Ashton  10:59

Thanks, John. Every year, our research team takes a pulse on Climate Action in Canada and its key economic sectors, from Agriculture to Energy. We’re not just looking at targets, but results. And today, we’re releasing our new report Climate Action 2026 Retreat, Reset or Renew. 2025 was the first year since our 2019 baseline that national climate action in Canada fell, primarily driven by rollbacks on climate policy, capital investment and consumer action, a signal of retreat diving deeper we go sector by sector, agriculture, buildings, electricity, heavy industry, transportation and oil and gas, to identify where progress is made or not on climate action and why. Canada’s climate action picture is complex, but Climate Action 2026 can help you navigate this important issue if you want the charts, the sector scorecards, the case studies and our idea of the year, please visit rbc.com/cai

John Stackhouse  12:09

And we’re back. Another issue we get at in our report, which is electrification. Electrification certainly for Canada, but I suspect for a range of countries, is the biggest opportunity, also maybe the biggest capital need billions, trillions of dollars, in fact, globally, needed some progress being made, fits and starts, but real challenges on the return side in electrification, because someone has to pay for it at the end of the day. And as we look into 2026, and hopefully a better year of electrification. How are you thinking about the challenges, but also the opportunities?

Clara Barby  12:48

Gosh, that’s a huge question. Actually, in some areas, and particularly because of AI, we’re starting to see things that we thought were broadly getting on track now becoming more off track. So when you look at climate technologies. If you’re a growth equity investor like us, our interest is in areas where you have very high levels of emissions, which is why we’re interested in things like steel and cement and critical materials for batteries. The cost curve of the technology that can address those emissions is yet to come down, and so you have this up. So there’s not binary technology risk. The mouse trap works, but it hasn’t yet been scaled up. And so you have this opportunity to really bring come down that cost curve. If you look at something like offshore wind in the UK, that was the story. If you go back over a decade, and then actually it came all the way down and became cost competitive. And so we haven’t, as an investor, started out looking at things like that. There’s core renewable areas because they they were more on track. But actually what we’re seeing with the rise of AI in particular is that there is now going to be more work to do. And so we are particularly looking at data centers. John, for that reason, I think it’s an area where we’re particularly interested in which geographies are most ripe for data centers, and how can we be really smart about that? And it may be some of the areas that are less you know, are less obvious, but that’s an area of huge interest for us as we look at 2026

John Stackhouse  14:15

And when you’re looking at data centers, is it for the opportunity around data centers as a category, or is it the decarbonisation of data centers?

Clara Barby  14:24

For us, it’s the decarbonisation of data centers, we think is a really important area, including water management.

John Stackhouse  14:33

Well, that’s a perfect segue back to the focus we both have on nature. We did a an episode last season on data centers and what’s going on in Alberta. So listeners can check that out on our site or their podcast stream. And the focus was on abating natural gas, which in Alberta will probably be what powers a lot of the data centers there. For this conversation, pulling in capital, especially private capital, for water and nature solutions around data centers, is really interesting. Canada’s got a lot of water. We got a lot of power. Therefore, we should be probably taking advantage of this and using nature, to put it crudely, as an asset class, a bit more to help with the the economics of of this. Help our listeners think more broadly about the role that nature can play to allow us to do other stuff, like build a data center that is going to need a lot of water.

Clara Barby  15:34

Yeah, and I might just for a moment, talk about language as well, because it’s sensitive this. You know, I was speaking to an Aboriginal leader, actually at the COP. And there’s a resistance to talking about natural resources, but the reference to them as sacred elements, rather than nature, is incredibly important in some of these conversations. And so I just want to acknowledge the delicacy of this upfront at the same time to your point on, how do we invest in this? I do think we need to carry over some of the paradigms from our existing investment practice. I look at natural resources groups, for example, and I wonder whether they will evolve to include looking at nature as part of how asset allocators think about what they formerly called natural resources, because water and soil health, soil richness are indeed key natural resources for the economy. And so I think we’re going to be on a journey with how nature is seen. I think it’s, it’s historically perhaps, you know, you use the term nature, and people might think of a, you know, a book of botanicals by the bath. And we’re so in a different place now talking about the importance of land waste water, and how it fundamentally drives economic value. So in some ways, I’m pleased we’re having the right conversation. I think Canada should be a leader here because of the structure of the country. I think we will see much more on the solution side there. I also think for those of us who own large public companies, the risks associated with this in large corporations is going to keep rising. And I think if you look at the way climate disclosure has unfolded, so Canada, you have the Standards Board in Canada, so you’ve got, you’re starting to get the teeth around that in terms of climate disclosure, John in Canada, but nature’s following really quickly, and in some ways, is seen as more of a bipartisan issue. I think nature is seen to be very important to a wide range of political views, and I very much expect nature related risk and opportunity disclosure to follow suit of climate and to that to be expected of a lot of those large companies as well as we go forward. And that’s important to mention, because that will then, in turn, drive more demand for those solutions again, which creates more opportunity for private market capital to flow into them.

John Stackhouse  17:44

Well, my conservative friends like to say nature was our issue, and still is, and that’s the whole idea of conservative, conservation. Not to be crass, but there’s an important economic opportunity here. It’s about integrating nature, both for sustainability reasons, but also for prosperity reasons. Help us understand how that plays out in the real economy.

Clara Barby  18:09

I don’t think it’s crass at all to point out that economic opportunity and what is better for society, especially if you are a long term economic actor, what we’re seeing in nature, just to give a couple of real world examples, you know, when we looked at the cement opportunity, it was really clear to us that there’s two real factors you need to focus on. One is applicability of the way in which you produce low carbon cement for emerging markets, because 90% of cement use in the next decade is going to be in emerging markets, where they’re developing infrastructure at a faster rate than in mature markets. So that’s a people oriented question. But then secondly, from an environmental perspective, the inputs for that new version, that better version of cement, must be careful about what those inputs are. They can’t come from coal in the way they have historically, if that’s not an asset of the future. And so how do we make sure they come from something that’s widely available, that’s not going to disrupt nature in a way that actually, you know, causes more emissions. And so we spend a lot of time on that. And for us, that’s economic. That question is not just about the science or the sustainability. And so we found a solution that could it actually can process any kind of crush rock. It’s an amazing solution in that respect, because it can actually respect nature in the process of doing so. So that’s one example. Another one would be on how we think about but transmission lines, we have companies that require significant power. Now it’s renewable power because we’re investing in low carbon solutions, but nevertheless, it’s significant power, and that typically will mean transmission lines running to substations, often a very, very significant scale. And one of the things that has surprised me is that investors aren’t doing more direct community engagement to understand in their diligence processes, what are these different admissions lines going to mean, especially if you’ve got indigenous communities using the land that you’re on. So I think that we just need to be more front footed as investors about engaging with all of these issues. They are economic.

John Stackhouse  18:55

Clara, what you and the team at Generation more broadly are doing along with Just Climate is really important, and we’re lucky to be partners with you and be able to invest in natural climate solutions and a huge opportunity for Canada as one of the world’s great kind of stores of natural assets. A lot of this episode, Clara has been talking about investing in market opportunities at macro level, it’s been a couple of tough years for certainly clean tech investing. How are you feeling as we get into the year about the investment environment and opportunity for clean tech and, more broadly, nature based investing opportunities?

Clara Barby  20:59

So one of the strange things about being an investor is that at times when there can feel like strong headwinds in sectors that you’re focused on, valuations come down, and it can actually be very interesting time to deploy capital. And so as we go into 2026 that’s really where we find ourselves, we’re looking at companies which may have been overvalued or it just may not have been as financially interesting to go in, and now we’re finding that valuations are coming down and actually going in now and then watching different scenarios play out. Could make it, in retrospect, a very ripe time to invest as a climate investor.

John Stackhouse  21:43

That’s probably the best message to keep in mind as we go into 2026 when things seem grimmest or loneliest in any market opportunity, but certainly in policy as well, that’s often the time to do things when there isn’t a crowd, when there isn’t a bubble, and when you can actually take advantage of good, practical opportunities and work with as you articulated. Clara, thank you again for being on Disruptors. It’s been a great conversation.

Clara Barby  22:09

Good to see you, John, thank you.

John Stackhouse  22:10

If you’re interested in climate action in Canada, there’s no better place to find out more than our annual assessment. In the report, you’ll find that climate action barometer that I talked about, as well as indices for our six major heavy emitting sectors. You’ll also find case studies exploring how companies and communities are advancing climate action, often in small but really meaningful ways. And you’ll find interesting measures of how business and governments are thinking about climate policy as we move from 2025 into 26. Find it on the climate action Institute’s LinkedIn page or at our website, rbc.com/cai, a big thank you to the team at the Climate Action Institute and all the contributors who provided so many invaluable insights. You’ve been listening to Disruptors an RBC podcast. If you like what you heard, please rate review and follow us on your favorite podcasting platform that will help others discover these great stories of innovation and promise and grow our audience. If you have an idea for an episode, just drop us a line in the comments. I’m John Stackhouse, thanks for listening.

Disclaimer

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Consumer carbon pricing—scrapped. Electric vehicle mandate—delayed. Oil and gas emissions cap—all but gone. The headlines suggest Canada’s climate ambition is in retreat. However, much of the climate action-enabling capital has already been locked and loaded, with an estimated nearly $100 billion worth of incentives—by our count—ready to be deployed between now and 2035 for clean-tech and climate programs and initiatives.1

Federal givernment's climate related financial support

As part of the Climate Action Report 2026, which will be released on January 13, we analyzed the various federal government’s climate policy and commitments over the decades.

For the Canadian Government Climate Sentiment we used OpenAI’s advanced reasoning models to curate and analyze contextual framing of climate and related topics to assess government resolve around climate.

Our research applied the analysis to federal government budgets across three main categories: narrative (references to climate trends and past actions), policy, commitments and plans signalling government intentions, and new funding announcements.

Canadian governemnt climate sentiment
  • The Trudeau years were packed with talk—and action. Climate talk hit its highest levels during the pandemic years. Justin Trudeau’s Liberal government started strong with a number of climate focused funding announcements in its first federal budget in 2016 to about $6 billion, according to our count.2

  • Climate funding has been frontloaded. Since 2016, cumulative budgeted climate-related spending has risen to $150 billion. Clean economy Investment Tax Credits of around $78 billion as initially announced are already in place and will support adoption of low-carbon technologies for another decade into the 2030s.3 Program spending, transfer payments and other tax expenditures accounted for another $70+ billion in financial support.4

Disclaimer

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RBC Climate Action Institute’s latest annual survey of 150 executives shows 136 (91%) Canadian executives said their organization had a greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions reduction strategy—a sizable jump from 73% in last year’s survey.1

The survey, part of the RBC Climate Action Institute’s soon-to-be released Climate Action 2026 report, finds businesses in review-and-reset mode.

While a strong majority had a strategy, they were scaling back their targets in the interim: the percentage of executives “agreeing” or “strongly agreeing” when asked whether their organizations will reach its 2030 climate targets stood at 71% this year, compared to 81% last year.

That seems understandable as tectonic shifts are shaking up several planks of the Canadian and global economy this year, including trade, investments and energy security. Nearly three out of five senior leaders said their companies are planning to scale, or have already scaled back, their climate commitments or targets. More than a quarter cited the risk of political blowback in the U.S. as a key factor in their company’s decision, while just over 20% pointed to shifting sentiment at home for their decision.

Canadian Businesses hold on to hopes of meeting their 2030 climate targets

A few other highlights from our survey:

  • Executives believe they should be driving climate progress. Corporate priority (63%) was the biggest driver of their emissions reduction strategy, followed by government regulation (60%). With several federal and provincial government climate policies in retreat in Canada, it will be interesting to see whether GHG emission reduction strategies wane in future surveys.

  • Energy efficiency was a popular way (82%) to lower emissions. When asked “what’s the primary focus of your organization’s climate strategy?” 62% picked waste reduction, and 41% identified the purchase of carbon credits—similar to last year. There was, however, a drop in switching away from fossil fuels (46% in 2025, versus 52% in 2024), and electrification (48% in 2025, versus 59% in 2024).

  • Customers are seeking sustainable products and services. Customer/client demand (54%) was the next big driver of their strategic decision-making—little changed from last year despite new economic and affordability pressures on customers. However, only 30% of executives cited investor demand as a key factor.

  • Sustainability policies are viewed as expensive… 60% of executives said implementing sustainability policies led to a moderate cost increase of between 5 to 15% to their business costs, while another 13% reported cost inflation exceeding 15%. In our survey, we did not define what sustainability policies companies were pursuing.

  • … But deploying climate policies had upside, according to the executives. Around a third of executives (32%) reported commanding premium pricing for their lower-carbon products and services, with 29% reporting securing new market access; 45% said their climate initiatives attracted new customers and business partners. However, nearly a third suggested they faced cost disadvantages compared to competitors with fewer climate considerations. A fifth reported noting no difference from their climate action.

  • Lack of access to capital tops the barriers list. In addition, the challenge of qualifying for government incentives and regulatory uncertainty, along with macro-economic conditions, were most frequently ranked as the top three barriers facing executives in their effort to lower their corporations’ GHG emissions.

Disclaimer

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Climate change may have slipped on Canadians’ priority list, but it remains front and centre when it hits closest to home—most notably in the form of wildfires inflicting property damage, raising insurance costs and impacting health.

That’s one of the key findings of RBC Climate Action’s latest consumer survey, which polled 2,000 Canadians. The survey is part of the Institute’s third annual Climate Action report, which reviews Canada’s progress on its environmental goals. (The full report is out Tuesday, January 13.)

Concerns around climate change has ebbed and flowed in tandem with Canadians’ economic prospects. In last year’s Climate Action report, 14% of respondents reported climate change as one of their top three concerns, down from 26% in 2019. This is consistent with the general observation that climate change, while important, ranks below pocketbook issues such as the cost of living and job security. When the economy is strong and jobs are secure, people can ‘afford’ to prioritize climate action. In times of economic stress, climate change tends to be de-prioritized.

This year’s consumer survey, conducted by market research firm Ipsos, again finds Canadians focused more on the economy, jobs and personal finances. However, the frequency of extreme weather events ensures that environmental issues continue to simmer just under the surface.

Here’s what we heard in the survey:

  • It’s about personal issues right now. Cost of living (79%), healthcare (75%) and economy and jobs (63%) were the top three challenges for most Canadians. Only 33% of respondents listed climate change as a top three issue. One-in-eight Canadians (12%) identified it as their top priority.

  • More than three out of five Canadians (67%) didn’t see climate change as a top three priority. It appears that climate change as an abstract concept is struggling to capture the attention of Canadians in the same way as the immediate impact of wildfire smoke or urban flooding does.

    Priority ranking of key issues for Canada including cost of living, healthcare, job creation, national security, and civic peace
  • That does not necessarily mean climate inaction. Canadians are trying to reduce their carbon footprint in measures they can control: avoiding air travel and cutting meat consumption. Strong majorities either reduced or intend to reduce consumption or boost recycling efforts (84%), cut home-energy usage (77%), while roughly half changed or intended to change their travel habits (51%) and diets (49%).

  • Weather over climate: Around 60% of respondents would place greater emphasis on climate action if extreme weather events were even more frequent. Canada’s last three wildfire seasons were among the worst according to federal records dating back to 1970.2 As the survey suggests, the frequency and intensity has had an immediate impact on the quality of life for many Canadians.

    Impact of continued extreme weather events
  • Canadians want wildfire-containment action: Personal health (56%), including smoke inhalation and heat stress, topped the list of concerns from wildfires, followed by property damage and insurance costs (54%), and the inability to enjoy outdoor activities and nature (50%).

    Canadians are leaning on cutting back on consumption to lower their carbon footprint

The challenge for policymakers and business leaders will be to harmonize environmental goals with other priorities and ensure economic growth does not override climate priorities.

Disclaimer

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Canada stands at a crossroads: lead boldly or fall behind. Hosted by John Stackhouse, this limited series is built around one urgent question: what must Canada build now to thrive in the world arena? Disruptors: The Canada Project takes listeners across the country to meet the visionaries tackling our most urgent challenges from sovereign launch capacity on the east coast and AI-revived trade routes in Hudson Bay, to critical minerals refining in Quebec, Pacific Gateway expansion in BC, agtech innovation on the Prairies, AI-ready power in Alberta, and trusted data infrastructure in Ontario. These aren’t just stories of invention they’re a blueprint for closing the productivity gap and building the infrastructure that underpins Canada’s sovereignty and prosperity.

The real threat isn’t submarines anymore it’s the underwater cables carrying our digital economy, and Newfoundland’s robotics are the only thing standing between us and the deep.

Guests:

David Shea (CTO and EVP, Kraken Robotics)
General Rick Hillier (Former Chief of the Defence Staff)

Read more


If Canada can’t launch its own satellites, it can’t lead its own future, and Nova Scotia is building the launchpad.

Guests:

Chris Hadfield (Canadian Commander of the International Space Station)

Stephen Matier (CEO, Maritime Launch Services)

Rahul Goel (CEO, NordSpace)

Read more


Canada’s ports have fallen behind the world’s best, but Roberts Bank Terminal 2 is about to automate our way back to the top of global trade.

Guests:  

Peter Xotta (CEO, Vancouver Fraser Port Authority)
Tamara Vrooman (CEO, Vancouver Airport Authority)
Devan Fitch (The project’s Program Director)

Read more


Indigenous-owned rail and drone-powered innovation are turning Churchill into Canada’s northern gateway and reconnecting the Prairies to a world that’s shifting Arctic.

Guests:

Wab Kinew (Premier of Manitoba)
Chris Avery (CEO, Arctic Gateway Group)
Grant Barkman (CEO, DecisionWorks)

Read more


AI is grading grain in minutes instead of hours, and Saskatchewan’s ag-tech revolution is turning prairie data into global food security.

Guests:

Kyle Folk (Founder and CEO, Ground Truth Ag)
Murad Al-Katib (CEO, AGT Food and Ingredients)

Read more


A 1,200-kilometre Inuit-led power line could end the North’s diesel dependence and give Canada its first physical link to Arctic sovereignty.

Guests:

P.J. Akeeagok (former Premier of Nunavut)
Anne-Raphaëlle Audouin (CEO, Nukik Corporation)

Read more


China controls 90% of the world’s graphite refining but Quebec is building the full mine-to-anode supply chain that could break that stranglehold.

Guests:

Jean Charest (former Premier of Quebec) 
Eric Desaulniers (Founder & CEO, Nouveau Monde Graphite)

Read more


Canada’s secret weapon in the AI race isn’t bigger data centres it’s trust, jurisdiction, and decades of building secure systems in Waterloo.

Guests:

Tom Jenkins (Chair, OpenText)
Shannon Bell (EVP, Chief Digital Officer & CIO, OpenText)
Janice Stein (Founding Director, Munk School, University of Toronto)

Read more


Old coal plants are becoming AI-ready power hubs, and Alberta’s “bring your own power” model could unlock thousands of megawatts for the hyperscale future.

Guests:

Danielle Smith (Premier of Alberta)
John Kousinioris (President & CEO of TransAlta)

Read more


After a season of big bets and bold plans, one question remains: How do we actually build this before the world passes us by?

Guests:

Daniel Debow (Chair, Build Canada)
Lucy Hargreaves (CEO, Build Canada)

Read more

Disclaimer

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With industrial power demand rising, can small modular reactors help anchor a cleaner, always‑on system that will support the incoming AI Data Centre boom? 

In this bonus episode of Disruptors, host John Stackhouse speaks with Premier Danielle Smith about the future of power in Alberta. They dig into reliability needs, “bring‑your‑own‑power” models, how to finance nuclear in an energy‑only market, and what collaboration between provinces could unlock. 

This conversation was recorded live in Edmonton at the 2025 SMR Forum. 

Listen on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or Simplecast

Disclaimer

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By John Stackhouse

Tariffs don’t take a holiday and we can assume President Donald Trump won’t either.

Trump used his decorative holiday message to the nation this week to portray himself as a Santa Claus of trade:

  • Tariffs are one of his great achievements, saying it is bringing record investment to the U.S.

  • Tariffs will help pay for the “warrior dividend” to 1.45 million U.S. military personnel.

  • Tariffs are leading to lower prices.

We will see later in 2026 (hello, midterms) if Americans agree. But expect the President to charge into 2026 on a tariff high, even if, as expected, the Supreme Court rules that he’s overstepped his powers. How? The White House can quickly rebuild the tariff wall, using Section 122 and 301 powers that would keep tariffs in place, although the expected rate might drop from the current 16% average to perhaps 10%.

Three questions for the New Year:

  • Will countries look to retaliate, even with non-tariff barriers?

  • Can Congress afford to pass tax cuts and tariff cuts?

  • Can Canada afford to play for time?

Mark Carney seems resigned to the “no deal” scenario, and with it a long slog for CUSMA negotiations. The biggest near-term challenges will be around digital services, lumber and rules of origin for auto manufacturers, each with its own economic and political calculus:

  • expect the U.S. to continue to push for more concessions for online media, particularly for Meta, which could face blowback in Quebec where cultural protections (including subsidies for local media) will be a red line for an expected Parti Quebecois government in 2026;

  • expect the U.S., facing a soft housing market, to continue to hammer B.C. (and New Brunswick) with softwood lumber measures;

  • expect Doug Ford to push hard again for favourable access to the U.S. auto market for Ontario assembly plants. 

Canada is not likely to get all three. Which means Carney may spend the holidays thinking through the coal that Santa has in mind for 2026. 

14257: The Executive Order signed by U.S. President Donald Trump on April 2 that imposed a 10% baseline tariff on imports from all U.S. trading partners.

90: Countries slapped with a tariff rate above the baseline 10% on “Liberation Day.”

2: White House visits by Prime Minister Mark Carney. The most recent was in early October during which Trump called Carney a “good man” who is doing “a great job.”

75 million: Dollars spent by Doug Ford’s Ontario government on an anti-tariff ad campaign featuring Ronald Reagan, which prompted Trump to call off negotiations with Canada. Ford claims the ad clocked 12.4 billion views.

US$35 trillion: Estimated value of global goods trade in 2025. Trade volumes hit record highs even as geopolitics fractured supply chains—proof that globalization is rewiring, not retreating.

50,000: Fewer manufacturing jobs in the U.S. since the start of the year.

US$1 trillion: China’s record trade surplus despite tensions with the U.S. Beijing exported US$3.4 trillion worth of goods in the first 11 months of the year by finding, in part, new markets, including Africa (+26%), Southeast Asia (+14%) and Latin America (+7.1%).

5: The industries that accounted for 80%of tariffs the U.S. collected from Canada, namely auto (28.8%), aluminum (23.3%), iron and steel (12.7%), machinery (8.8%), articles of iron and steel (8.3%).

$70 billion: The United Arab Emirates’ investment pledge for Canada, focused on the development of critical minerals, energy, ports and AI.

US$226.4 billion: U.S. exports to Mexico between January and August—surpassing the US$225.6 billion goods shipped to Canada—marking the first time in 30 years Mexico overtook Canada as a top destinations for exports.

$200 billion: The estimated value of the Canadian Mutual Recognition Agreement, which eliminates all barriers to trading goods (except food) between Canadian provinces and territories.

3x: Increase in global trade-restrictive measures since 2019. Tariffs, export controls, and subsidies are now structural features of trade policy—not temporary shocks.

10%: The amount of lumber exports  (enough to build 75,000 homes) that Canada’s forestry industry is planning to re-route from the U.S. to the U.K. and Europe.

100%: U.S. reliance on imports for 16 critical minerals (including graphite), with more than 50% import dependence for another 29, including zinc, cobalt, and nickel.

$600 billion: Canada’s non-U.S. export goal by 2035, as outlined in the 2025 federal budget–doubling the current amount.

$50 billion: The potential value of a trade partnership between Canada and India, which have renewed relations this year.

$100 billion: The annual value of Canada’s agri-food exports. Roughly 60% was destined for U.S. markets.

$994.63: The amount the average family in Canada can expect to pay more in groceries in 2026, compared to 2025. The toll of tariffs is impacting domestic food security, with one in four Canadians experiencing food insecurity.

86: Percentage of goods the U.S. imported from Canada in September that were duty free.

51: Number of days gold prices closed higher than previous all-time highs due to heightened geo-economic uncertainty.

28%: The increase in coffee prices year-over-year.

19%: Decline in Chinese exports to the U.S. this year.

US$244 billion: Total tariff revenues the U.S. has collected (January to November 2025)

1 million bpd: The potential capacity of a West Coast oil export pipeline at the heart of an MoU between the federal government and Alberta that would expand Alberta’s oil exports to Asia.

US$7 billion: The massive hit Michigan’s Big Three automakers—General Motors, Ford and Stellantis—expect on their earnings in 2025 from U.S. tariffs.

Disclaimer

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After a season spent mapping Canada’s next big bets — ports and launchpads, power grids and AI data centres, battery belts and northern fibre lines — Disruptors: The Canada Project closes with a simple, urgent question: How do we actually build this?

In the season finale, host John Stackhouse sits down with Build Canada’s Daniel Debow and Lucy Hargreaves to explore how entrepreneurs, students and community leaders are trying to turn concern into action. They discuss Canada as an ongoing project, the shift from an operator mindset to a builder mindset, and the role that bold ideas, pragmatic policy and public-private collaboration can play in getting major projects over the line.

As trade routes are redrawn and competition for capital, talent, energy and compute intensifies, the episode asks what it will take for Canada to build — and keep — the critical infrastructure that underpins our sovereignty and prosperity, from coastal ports and Arctic corridors to AI-ready power and productivity-boosting agtech.

Listen on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or Simplecast

Building Canada: A new generation takes charge

John Stackhouse: [00:00:00] Hi, it’s John here. Welcome to Disruptors, the Canada Project, Alberta, Vancouver, Manitoba, Newfoundland, Nova, Scotia, Nunavut, Waterloo, Quebec, Saskatchewan. This season we’ve been crisscrossing the country, meeting with some of Canada’s brightest minds to learn how they’re tackling some of our biggest challenges.

Chris Avery: When President Trump came into power and tariffs were levied against Canadian goods, really amplified the need for us as a nation to diversify our Trade.

Janice Stein: Tech sovereignty would guarantee Canadians. Their core services and core data are free from coercion by outside powers.

Chris Avery: It’s important to know that Nunavut is relying a hundred percent by burning diesel.

Anne Raphaele: That is, I import into the territory mostly from the United States. Canada’s at a critical [00:01:00] moment for our economy and for our shared future.

The way, you may have gotten a sense of a new map of Canada being drawn. It’s not the one you memorized in grade school, but it’s a map of ports and launchpads of power grids and AI data centers.

And for that matter, battery belts and northern fiber lines. It’s a map of a new economic future, a bolder one, a more global one, a more innovative one. And it’s one that Canadians right now are shaping every day.

Jean Charest: The countries that will prosper in the future are the ones that are going to commit themselves to these added value products, and that’s exactly where Canada is going.

P.J. Akeeagok: When Canadians think about growth, we don’t always think about the architect, but we should.

Daniel Smith: We wanna ensure that we can meet the electricity demands of emerging sectors like data centers, artificial intelligence, and other technologies that depend on secure power. 24 7,

Chris Hadfield: we got the [00:02:00] landmass, we got the intellectual property, we got the education, we got the raw materials, we got the history.

John Stackhouse: We can do it here and sell it to the world. Those are just a few of the many ambitious Canadians we’ve heard from this season on disruptors, the Canada Project. It’s been eye-opening to explore some of the ideas and initiatives that Canadians are putting forward to meet this pivotal moment. As trade and supply chain disruptions collide with broader questions of climate security, economic advancement, and sovereignty.

Today as we wrap up our journey, we’re gonna zoom out several thousand feet, or maybe that should be several thousand meters to talk to Daniel Debo and Lucy Hargraves of Build Canada. They’re two of the many people behind what’s become a movement to get Canada building again, to turn big ideas into real world impact Build.

Canada is a network and really a movement that connects and amplifies entrepreneurs, creators, and innovators committed to a more prosperous Canada. [00:03:00] Daniel is a serial entrepreneur who you may remember from past episodes of disruptors. He’s chair of the Build Canada Board, and Lucy, who comes from a background in government, is the CEO.

Together, they bring deep experience in technology, innovation, entrepreneurship, policy and partnerships. In this episode, we’ll dig into what building the country really means. The ambition, the tools, and the challenges involved when citizens from coast to coast to coast say yes to shaping Canada’s future.

Daniel Lucy, welcome to Disruptors.

Thanks, John. Happy to be here. Thanks so much for having us, John.

We’ve had this amazing virtual CrossCountry tour hearing from all sorts of Canadians who are. Building amazing things from space launchpads to data centers, and I thought, who better to help wrap up that tour than the people behind Build [00:04:00] Canada?

Lucy, let me start with you and just give us a quick sense of what Build Canada is and what you’re setting out to do.

Lucy Hargreaves: Yeah, for sure. Thanks, John. For those of your listeners who don’t know, we’re a non-partisan, mission-driven movement focused on making Canada the most prosperous country in the world.

We’ve been around for almost a year now. And we started out sharing actionable, bold policy memos from Canada’s leading entrepreneurs and business leaders. And we’re also doing a lot more in person. And so bringing Canadians together around the country in city chapters and campus clubs. So what I’m seeing is like incredible passion for this idea of focusing on growth.

We’re growing kind of 10 to 15% week over week in terms of the size of our movement, rallying towards this sort of optimistic, bold vision of what Canada can be.

John Stackhouse: I wanna come back to that growth opportunity and also the growth that you’re capturing. It’s really impressive. But let me ask you both about where we’re at as a [00:05:00] country as we come to the end of a really extraordinary year, 2025.

Um, I think no one had. Forecast or certainly predicted it would play out the way it has. How are you feeling about the state of Canada as we wrap up this momentous year?

Daniel Debow: Cautiously optimistic. Rationally optimistic. I think it’s important to remember like Canada didn’t get here by accident. It’s a series of choices that we made and policy decisions that we made all along the way.

And I think what’s optimistic, as Lucy pointed out, is that Canadians understand that they have agency. They can choose which path they wanna take, and politicians understand this. When we started this experiment, right, like can we publish some policy memos to help guide and help inform and, and give ideas out there from Canada’s great entrepreneurs to both parties?

Uh, all parties. Actually, we did not expect to get the reaction that we got. We did not expect, I think actually Lucy. We did not expect to have to set up a full-time merch shop so people could [00:06:00] buy t-shirts that say giver on it. And that to me is really optimistic. That’s positive. It doesn’t mean there aren’t lots of things we have to get over, but boy, it tells me that Canadians want change.

And if you want politicians to change, they need to see a constituency. They need to see people want that. And I think that’s what we can see the beginnings of now. We can’t give up, we can’t stop. But boy, that that is a reason heading into the new year, to feel at least cautiously optimistic despite all the headwinds and challenges we face.

John Stackhouse: Give us the origin story of the Giver T-shirt and why it’s gone viral.

Daniel Debow: I’ve always loved that Canadian expression of giver, like, you’re behind the car, you’re in a ditch. Things suck. But Canadians, they rally. They just say, yeah, I know that this sucks, but we gotta go. So giver, give it your best shot and we’ll be okay.

I think that is a very good reminder. It’s a positive, optimistic view of what it means to be who we are, and it resonated,

Lucy Hargreaves: and I think it’s a really important point. We have to remember who we are. Canada [00:07:00] is a nation of builders. Like it was forged by explorers. People who were risk takers we’re a nation that discovered insulin.

We built a railroad across our country. We became a top global defense manufacturing hub during World War ii. So we have to remember and like remind ourselves that we’ve done ambitious things before and we can do them again, and that Canada is still very much a work in progress. We are a project, uh, still that is being built.

I think this is what resonates, especially with the young people who, you know, 18 to 35 year olds who are really gravitating towards the Build Canada movement is that they can be part of it, that they have agency and that they can actually get off the sidelines, get off the couch, get outta their house, and they can participate in this nation building project.

John Stackhouse: Tell us a bit more about the mindset that you’re. Challenging us all to develop, as I watch [00:08:00] what’s going on in the country, a lot of it is about building, but it’s frankly about other people building stuff somewhere else in the country. And that’s, that’s all very good. But there’s 40 million of us. And what kind of mindset do all of us 40 million need to aim for and develop to be a builder nation?

Lucy Hargreaves: There’s some principles, uh, that we sort of repeat over and over again. Bold, beat, safe growth is good. You can just do things. Doing things is better than complaining. It’s this kind of mindset that, you know, when you see a problem or you, you see an issue in your society or your community and you’re, you’re frustrated by it, that instead of complaining about that, you can actually take action.

And that’s what we encourage at Build Canada. And that’s kind of that. Mentality that we’re encouraging across the country, we can go for gold. And I think as a nation and as individuals, uh, many times we are satisfied with going for bronze or silver and not striving to be the [00:09:00] absolute best and to win.

Daniel Debow: We cannot wait for the government to solve every problem, right? People have to step up. That’s part of the ethos, and that’s just people saying, I, I don’t wanna sit around and complaint. I want to go do something. I wanna connect with my other Canadians and I wanna actually feel connected to other Canadians who do feel this way.

I’m not alone. I want it to grow. So I think that’s a big part of the mindset. I think there’s another part which is like, what does it mean to be a builder? And I think it’s a bias to action. You have to take a risk. You have to put yourself out there. Getting a bronze medal is as much effort as going for gold.

You might as well go for gold. Right? And reminding Canadians that they are actually amazing, can make great things, is a very powerful mindset that we can put in. We have to go be a force in the world. If you believe the world to harken back to a prior age needs more Canada, well then we have to go make it want what we have.

And that’s gonna be by becoming economically strong, it’s gonna be by becoming, uh, militarily strong. Like strength and sovereignty really are linked to those two things. They happen because of those 40 million [00:10:00] Canadians making individual choices every day to kind of act the way that we’re talking.

John Stackhouse: When you talk about Canada needing to be a force in the world, it takes me straight back to some of the builders we’ve met this season who are already trying to do that in very Canadian ways, in orbit, under the sea, and deepen the ground. They’re all trying to turn our unique advantages into things. We actually build own and export.

Rahul Goel: We already do such a great job as Canadians training our workforce. In fact, we train our workforce and it enables other countries to build their space programs. We have a massive exodus of talent, of capital, of sovereignty, of national pride.

So all of those factors led to the founding of North Space. The amazing thing about building capabilities in space is that it spans the entire spectrum. Highly specialized key roles that, you know, Canadians are really, really good at and creating opportunities. But at the end of the day, the retention is really the problem.

David Shea: One of [00:11:00] the great advantages that they have in Newfoundland when we talk about hardening technology, building technology, proving that it can work. If it can work off the coast of Newfoundland, then it can work anywhere. It is one of the harshest climates in the world. When you go out on the ocean, it is not long before you are in the middle of the North Atlantic.

Eric Desaulniers: We’re optimizing the usage of this hydro to be carbon neutral. So having the four reason to buy in Canada, great geology to start with two hours away. We have a great industrial park in big and core with sheep, hydro, and all reagents and all the the right area to develop this safely. And then we have the right talents and we have the customer now in our backyard who really need graphite and they really need to diversify from a single source in China.

John Stackhouse: Space launches, subsea, robotics, critical minerals, those are very different sectors, but you kind of get the pattern, Canadians trying to turn our geography, our geology, and our grit into a [00:12:00] real edge in the world. For all those builders, how are you seeing momentum grow to support them?

Daniel Debow: I think you had Rahul from Nord space on there. Um, I was an investor prior space company in Canada from the CDL. Honestly, most of the time when I talked about it, people were rolling their eyes like, what are you talking about? A Canadian space company? That’s not a real thing. And I just don’t see that now as people hear about North Space and what they’re doing, uh, similarly, there was no way you could start a defense company in Canada even five years ago, and now that’s a possibility.

And they’re moving very, very quickly. And what’s important is they’re doing it in partnership. Like I see all sorts of military folk who are quite interested in like a new way, a new approach of doing these things. Dan and I are very privileged to be able to have incredible conversations across the country with some of Canada’s leading entrepreneurs and innovators,

Lucy Hargreaves: I’m encouraged actually on the attention now being paid to major projects and all of [00:13:00] the possibilities in the natural resources sector.

Both in oil and gas, but also critical minerals and mining. I think it’ll take a while for that to change, but it does seem like through the work that the major Projects Office is, is doing, and a lot of the conversations specifically in the critical mineral space, that there’s some appetite to, you know, go faster there.

And it’s so inspiring to me that I actually see these people just, they’re just moving ahead, right? They’re not waiting for the government to create a new subsidy program or a grant program or a tax incentive. Like in many, many cases, they are builders and they are just focused on moving ahead and getting things done.

Daniel Debow: I actually am very encouraged when provincial or federal leaders reach out and say, well, what are these ideas you have about ai? What are these ideas about exporting more lentils and pulses? What are these ideas about how we can open up our export of natural resources? How can we build more homes? Like those are positive things.

I’m not saying it’s the end of the story, but that’s optimistic to me.[00:14:00]

John Stackhouse: Those are great companies you’ve referenced. Fast growing sectors that Canadians can really seize on space. We’ve, we’ve been doing research here at RBC on the potential of the space sector, and I’ve been able to speak with investors in Europe and the US particularly, who are so keen to invest more in Canada.

They see the talent and opportunity here and as a country, I don’t think we’ve got our heads fully around the idea of private capital. Driving stuff, but it is that private capital that really accelerates things. And part of that requires us to think through what you might call the reward function. So there’s of course, the expression, no risk, no reward, but if you have no reward, you’re not gonna get a lot of risk either.

We need arguably different reward functions for entrepreneurs and the people who, who back them. Tell us a bit about how you’re thinking about the [00:15:00] reward function. And what Canada needs to do to up our game on that front in the years ahead.

Daniel Debow: We want Canadian entrepreneurs, whether it’s the people who created Mike’s Hark Lemonade, or the people who create Lululemon, or the people who create Cirque de Soleil or Shopify’s, like, we need those folks.

Those are great and those are capitalistic, uh, profit seeking enterprises. That’s not a dirty word. That should be a positive thing. You know, entrepreneurs are human beings. They have the ability more than most actually to be mobile. And I think that the, one of the things we have to do is the reward function has to be that you are socially rewarded.

You are a good part of the country. That reward function really does matter because it’s a cycle of everyone’s psyche. You ask the beginning, what’s the mindset? I’m like, well, geez. The mindset has to be that these are Canadian heroes. Now we can’t just say nice things though. And have photo ops, we have to actually back it up.

John Stackhouse: Well, if I can just jump in quickly, I, I love your passion, number one, but also it’s so critical how you’re laying this out. That reward is both tangible [00:16:00] and intangible, and they’re both incredibly powerful and we need to lean into both.

Lucy Hargreaves: Yeah. This is not just about financial rewards, and as Dan said, we’re not just talking about the founders. We’re talking about like the early employees who also leave relatively stable jobs and, and go and try and start new things. So we should celebrate and reward that. Financially speaking, what I say is, you know, we always need to remind ourselves as a nation that we don’t exist in isolation. We operate in a global economy, and we have to think about our reward and incentive and tax structure in that context.

Entrepreneurs have options. Many of them, you know, are very mobile. They can make different choices. Highly talented employees of companies can make different choices. We have the US right there. There’s a whole big wide world out there. And so we, when we think about our tax incentives and rewarding risk takers, we have to think about it in that global context.

We published a number of memos on [00:17:00] this, specifically on capital gains tax. We, um, had a great memo from Matt Cohen who’s, uh, with Ripple Ventures, uh, looking at how we can make our capital gains rewards, uh, and system not just on par with the us but actually more competitive than what’s on offer in the us.

The US has this thing called QSBS. Which is essentially their capital gains structure for small businesses. It’s incredibly competitive. It has a much higher capital gains cap of 15 million per company. This is the key thing Per company. Yeah. Whereas our capital gains cap in Canada right now is around 1.5 million, whereas the US has this 15 million cap that can be stacked across multiple exits, and so that’s.

It might seem small to, to some people, but this is like a real meaningful difference maker in, uh, people’s decision making for how much risk they wanna take. And it’s also, um, from an investor’s perspective, often investors [00:18:00] are, you know, looking for Canadian companies and Canadian founders to relocate to the US so that the investors can benefit from the US capital gain structure There.

Daniel Debow: Of course the only reason people build companies isn’t just to make money, but it is part of the reason, and we are fooling ourselves if we don’t understand that. We have to create incentives for our best Canadians to stay here. We have to figure out a way to do that if we wanna get our most amazing Canadians who wanna do this.

Also wanna say, this isn’t just about tech people, right? This is about. The folks who are losing their jobs, unfortunately, we want some of them to go start drone manufacturing supply chain companies, people who are in manufacturing, building next generation humanoid robots. We need to create opportunities across our stacks, small businesses that this is something that they can, and really, the, the balance of keeping a job versus trying something, it becomes overwhelmingly better that you’re like, I wanna try something more in society.

But you’ve got to remember that innovation is not something entrepreneurs do outta the goodness of their heart. It is something that’s done because they want to win. They either wanna win new customers or market share, or they don’t wanna lose that from someone else who’s [00:19:00] coming to eat their lunch, and that’s a good function for society.

John Stackhouse: Let’s talk a bit about hustle in the public sector. I think one of the many things Mark Carney has done to rattle cages has been to set real deadlines that many people, from what I understand, say, oh, that’s impossible. We’ve seen this in the, uh, in the energy agreement with Alberta. Some pretty huge things have to be done by April 1st and July 1st, and as you know, that’s the way the private sector works.

You set deadlines and you manage the work accordingly. It’s one of the basic principles of project management, but there’s more to it. There’s a builder mindset versus an operator mindset, and that’s something you’ve both stressed through. Build Canada. Help us understand the difference between the two and how a builder mindset can help the public sector.

Lucy Hargreaves: The culture of the public service and the incentive structure in the public service is one that [00:20:00] reinforces a risk averse mindset to operating. They are incentivized to be a steady hand to avoid risk and to not take bold bets that might get themselves or the minister or prime minister of the day into trouble.

So. I think it is a bit of a shock to the system for many public servants to have a Prime Minister kind of come in and have these ambitious goals and deadlines. But I think it’s a good thing. I mean, I think having deadlines and focusing attention on the things that really matter. We have to focus on growth and make the main thing the main thing.

And it seems like this prime Minister is, uh, you know, attempting to make the main thing, the main thing, which is the economy and driving the public service towards that. You know, we’ve been talking about a lot the reinvigoration of the interchange program, uhhuh, which is now called the Build Canada Exchange Program.

Yeah. The budget of this year, they re have [00:21:00] rebranded to call the Build Canada Exchange Program. Is, is there a copyright issue there? Everyone should use it. There’s no, they should use it. If it works, they should use it well for it.

John Stackhouse: Tell us a bit about the Build Canada Exchange program ’cause it’s a neat innovation?

Lucy Hargreaves: Yeah, so the interchange program, build slash Build Canada interchange, so it’s been around for a number of years in the public service and, and has been designed to bring in. Private sector experts on sort of like a secondment basis into the public service. To, you know, help deliver programs or provide specific expertise and it, you know, sort of an exchange.

So the private sector sort of better understands public service. Public service can better understand perspectives, uh, from various different industries. And so now this rebranding is build candidate exchange. And so the Komen is to bring in 50, uh, private sector experts into the public service. Across a number of different sectors for a period of 12 to 18 months and have them do a rotation within, within the public service.

This idea that you recognize that, you know, there’s various [00:22:00] sectors where you need help and that the help exists in the private sector, and, and finding ways to bring those people in, give them the right authority, and really, you know, set up the structure for good collaboration and sharing. I, I think is, is a great idea.

And I’m excited to see that, you know, hopefully get implemented pretty rapidly in the next few months.

John Stackhouse: It’s exciting to see these kinds of innovative approaches where the public and private sectors actually learn from each other instead of talking past each other. And it also reminds us that public service doesn’t have to be a 40 year career.

It could be a tour of duty, a period in your life where you step in, help build something better for the greater good, and then bring that experience back out into the rest of the economy. All season on Disruptors, the Canada Project, we’ve seen how that orientation towards the greater good drives the long-term infrastructure work that will shape our future.

From food corridors on the prairies to ports on both coasts to hydro and fiber [00:23:00] lines into the Arctic. The decisions we make now will define what kind of country our kids and grandkids in Hara. Canada.

Tamara Vrooman: Canada is a country with a large geography, but a small population, and so we literally need connectivity and transportation infrastructure to make our country work, and we certainly need that infrastructure to connect our country to the world.

We have the component parts. They’re just not integrated in the way that they could be to allow for that speed and resilience that the international trade market is going to demand.

Devan Fitch: We’re the size of the next five largest Canadian ports combined in terms of the amount of commodities that we move, uh, through the Port of Vancouver.

The terminals that we’re looking at right here, they were also built many decades ago, and they just don’t simply have the birth depth that’s required. You couldn’t pull up next to the container terminal because it’s just gonna bottom out on the, on the birth face there. We have to be planning for what the trade infrastructure looks like in 2050 and 2060, not in [00:24:00] 2026.

Murad Al-Katib: If I was Prime Minister for a day, I would spend a hundred billion on trade infrastructure. It will pay for generations to come. Supply chains are all about connectivity. Each link has to be efficient. Data and technology will also make that more efficient. So let’s seize that opportunity.

John Stackhouse: We just heard the voices of Tamara Ruman, Devon Fitch, and Marad Al Kaip.

They’re just a few of the builders and shapers we’ve spoken to on this series. Daniel, Lucy, if you’re in your twenties today listening to all of that, the stakes, the infrastructure projects, the need to think long term, what would you actually do with it? What’s your message to those younger Canadians about the decades ahead and the role they can play?

Daniel Debow: First message is they should go to Build Canada do com and they should sign up. Yeah, join Build Canada newsletter and find a way to volunteer. I mean, I say that in a little in jest, but in reality. Yeah, because that’s a great first step. That’s what we want. Sign up. I was actually shocked how many people sign up just to learn about how the government works.

[00:25:00] They’re like, I didn’t know what a budget is. I didn’t know this stuff. But what’s the main message? I mean, I look, I have four young kids. Just because there are challenges, that does not mean that there’s no future for you. There’s no hope for you. You have to be kind of a rational optimist that yes, there are challenges, but you can pull this off.

I think the second message is exactly that, that you have agency, right? You are not necessarily a victim. You can make change in your own life, in your own community, your own family, with your own friend group, and in fact, you have, at least in the digital realm, you have access to tools that were like truly science fiction.

You know, 50 years ago, 25 years ago, right? You can see people building tools with ai, learning how to do things that run circlers around the folks of us on this call. The third thing is you can’t be quiet. You have to actually say that, I want this to be better. And so if you’re willing to step up and say, I think we can do things different around transit or around youth employment, or around any one of the issues that matter to you, you can do it.

They should not give up. I mean, I think that is the [00:26:00] key, key message I would have for those young people, that they have a right to fight like hell and to make the project what they think it should be, and they can define the future.

John Stackhouse: Canada is a project and we all have agency to help build it. That’s a great message.

Lucy, final word to you?

Lucy Hargreaves: Yeah, absolutely. I have three kids that are a little bit younger than Dan’s kids, I think, but I think about them a lot. I think about their future a lot, and I have the privilege of being able to talk to a lot of the folks who have been coming to our Build Canada events across the country.

So hundreds of people. They’re so energized and so optimistic about the future. And so my message to them really is recognize that you are part of this incredible journey that our nation is on, and that you have a role to play. Canada is going places. Don’t aim small, you know, think bold and take risks.

There are so many ways to show up. To get involved. That is what actually makes change at the end of the day is, is [00:27:00] multiple people across the country showing up and speaking up for the future that they want. So I would encourage folks to do that. We can all do more love. All these messages about building a better Canada.

John Stackhouse: To quote your website, people want to join up, go to build canada.com. Lucy, Daniel, thank you so much for being on disruptors and for helping to build Canada. Thanks, John, and thanks for, for this uh, series. It’s been great. Thanks so much, John. Appreciate it. As we close out this season of disruptors, I wanna leave you with a simple thought.

Canada’s future isn’t something that happens to us, it’s something that we build through the choices we make, the jobs we take on, the risks that we lean into, and the communities that we strengthen. Each of us has a role in shaping what comes next. Yes, the world is throwing a lot of disruption at us all at once.

But Canada has the geography, the resources, the global credibility, and the [00:28:00] traditions to turn challenge into opportunity. And Canadians have the ideas, the ambition, and the talent to do just that. That’s what we call the Canada Project Canadians working together. To innovate, to compete, and to build.

If you’re looking for inspiration, explore more nation building stories and ideas at rbc.com/thought leadership and revisit the episodes of Disruptors, the Canada Project, an RBC podcast on Apple or Spotify, or wherever you get your podcasts. Thanks for joining us on this incredible journey and for being a builder.

I’m John Stackhouse. See you in the new year.

John Stackhouse: [00:00:00] Hi, it’s John here. Welcome to Disruptors, the Canada Project, Alberta, Vancouver, Manitoba, Newfoundland, Nova, Scotia, Nunavut, Waterloo, Quebec, Saskatchewan. This season we’ve been crisscrossing the country, meeting with some of Canada’s brightest minds to learn how they’re tackling some of our biggest challenges.

Chris Avery: When President Trump came into power and tariffs were levied against Canadian goods, really amplified the need for us as a nation to diversify our Trade.

Janice Stein: Tech sovereignty would guarantee Canadians. Their core services and core data are free from coercion by outside powers.

Chris Avery: It’s important to know that Nunavut is relying a hundred percent by burning diesel.

Anne Raphaele: That is, I import into the territory mostly from the United States. Canada’s at a critical [00:01:00] moment for our economy and for our shared future.

The way, you may have gotten a sense of a new map of Canada being drawn. It’s not the one you memorized in grade school, but it’s a map of ports and launchpads of power grids and AI data centers.

And for that matter, battery belts and northern fiber lines. It’s a map of a new economic future, a bolder one, a more global one, a more innovative one. And it’s one that Canadians right now are shaping every day.

Jean Charest: The countries that will prosper in the future are the ones that are going to commit themselves to these added value products, and that’s exactly where Canada is going.

P.J. Akeeagok: When Canadians think about growth, we don’t always think about the architect, but we should.

Daniel Smith: We wanna ensure that we can meet the electricity demands of emerging sectors like data centers, artificial intelligence, and other technologies that depend on secure power. 24 7,

Chris Hadfield: we got the [00:02:00] landmass, we got the intellectual property, we got the education, we got the raw materials, we got the history.

John Stackhouse: We can do it here and sell it to the world. Those are just a few of the many ambitious Canadians we’ve heard from this season on disruptors, the Canada Project. It’s been eye-opening to explore some of the ideas and initiatives that Canadians are putting forward to meet this pivotal moment. As trade and supply chain disruptions collide with broader questions of climate security, economic advancement, and sovereignty.

Today as we wrap up our journey, we’re gonna zoom out several thousand feet, or maybe that should be several thousand meters to talk to Daniel Debo and Lucy Hargraves of Build Canada. They’re two of the many people behind what’s become a movement to get Canada building again, to turn big ideas into real world impact Build.

Canada is a network and really a movement that connects and amplifies entrepreneurs, creators, and innovators committed to a more prosperous Canada. [00:03:00] Daniel is a serial entrepreneur who you may remember from past episodes of disruptors. He’s chair of the Build Canada Board, and Lucy, who comes from a background in government, is the CEO.

Together, they bring deep experience in technology, innovation, entrepreneurship, policy and partnerships. In this episode, we’ll dig into what building the country really means. The ambition, the tools, and the challenges involved when citizens from coast to coast to coast say yes to shaping Canada’s future.

Daniel Lucy, welcome to Disruptors.

Thanks, John. Happy to be here. Thanks so much for having us, John.

We’ve had this amazing virtual CrossCountry tour hearing from all sorts of Canadians who are. Building amazing things from space launchpads to data centers, and I thought, who better to help wrap up that tour than the people behind Build [00:04:00] Canada?

Lucy, let me start with you and just give us a quick sense of what Build Canada is and what you’re setting out to do.

Lucy Hargreaves: Yeah, for sure. Thanks, John. For those of your listeners who don’t know, we’re a non-partisan, mission-driven movement focused on making Canada the most prosperous country in the world.

We’ve been around for almost a year now. And we started out sharing actionable, bold policy memos from Canada’s leading entrepreneurs and business leaders. And we’re also doing a lot more in person. And so bringing Canadians together around the country in city chapters and campus clubs. So what I’m seeing is like incredible passion for this idea of focusing on growth.

We’re growing kind of 10 to 15% week over week in terms of the size of our movement, rallying towards this sort of optimistic, bold vision of what Canada can be.

John Stackhouse: I wanna come back to that growth opportunity and also the growth that you’re capturing. It’s really impressive. But let me ask you both about where we’re at as a [00:05:00] country as we come to the end of a really extraordinary year, 2025.

Um, I think no one had. Forecast or certainly predicted it would play out the way it has. How are you feeling about the state of Canada as we wrap up this momentous year?

Daniel Debow: Cautiously optimistic. Rationally optimistic. I think it’s important to remember like Canada didn’t get here by accident. It’s a series of choices that we made and policy decisions that we made all along the way.

And I think what’s optimistic, as Lucy pointed out, is that Canadians understand that they have agency. They can choose which path they wanna take, and politicians understand this. When we started this experiment, right, like can we publish some policy memos to help guide and help inform and, and give ideas out there from Canada’s great entrepreneurs to both parties?

Uh, all parties. Actually, we did not expect to get the reaction that we got. We did not expect, I think actually Lucy. We did not expect to have to set up a full-time merch shop so people could [00:06:00] buy t-shirts that say giver on it. And that to me is really optimistic. That’s positive. It doesn’t mean there aren’t lots of things we have to get over, but boy, it tells me that Canadians want change.

And if you want politicians to change, they need to see a constituency. They need to see people want that. And I think that’s what we can see the beginnings of now. We can’t give up, we can’t stop. But boy, that that is a reason heading into the new year, to feel at least cautiously optimistic despite all the headwinds and challenges we face.

John Stackhouse: Give us the origin story of the Giver T-shirt and why it’s gone viral.

Daniel Debow: I’ve always loved that Canadian expression of giver, like, you’re behind the car, you’re in a ditch. Things suck. But Canadians, they rally. They just say, yeah, I know that this sucks, but we gotta go. So giver, give it your best shot and we’ll be okay.

I think that is a very good reminder. It’s a positive, optimistic view of what it means to be who we are, and it resonated,

Lucy Hargreaves: and I think it’s a really important point. We have to remember who we are. Canada [00:07:00] is a nation of builders. Like it was forged by explorers. People who were risk takers we’re a nation that discovered insulin.

We built a railroad across our country. We became a top global defense manufacturing hub during World War ii. So we have to remember and like remind ourselves that we’ve done ambitious things before and we can do them again, and that Canada is still very much a work in progress. We are a project, uh, still that is being built.

I think this is what resonates, especially with the young people who, you know, 18 to 35 year olds who are really gravitating towards the Build Canada movement is that they can be part of it, that they have agency and that they can actually get off the sidelines, get off the couch, get outta their house, and they can participate in this nation building project.

John Stackhouse: Tell us a bit more about the mindset that you’re. Challenging us all to develop, as I watch [00:08:00] what’s going on in the country, a lot of it is about building, but it’s frankly about other people building stuff somewhere else in the country. And that’s, that’s all very good. But there’s 40 million of us. And what kind of mindset do all of us 40 million need to aim for and develop to be a builder nation?

Lucy Hargreaves: There’s some principles, uh, that we sort of repeat over and over again. Bold, beat, safe growth is good. You can just do things. Doing things is better than complaining. It’s this kind of mindset that, you know, when you see a problem or you, you see an issue in your society or your community and you’re, you’re frustrated by it, that instead of complaining about that, you can actually take action.

And that’s what we encourage at Build Canada. And that’s kind of that. Mentality that we’re encouraging across the country, we can go for gold. And I think as a nation and as individuals, uh, many times we are satisfied with going for bronze or silver and not striving to be the [00:09:00] absolute best and to win.

Daniel Debow: We cannot wait for the government to solve every problem, right? People have to step up. That’s part of the ethos, and that’s just people saying, I, I don’t wanna sit around and complaint. I want to go do something. I wanna connect with my other Canadians and I wanna actually feel connected to other Canadians who do feel this way.

I’m not alone. I want it to grow. So I think that’s a big part of the mindset. I think there’s another part which is like, what does it mean to be a builder? And I think it’s a bias to action. You have to take a risk. You have to put yourself out there. Getting a bronze medal is as much effort as going for gold.

You might as well go for gold. Right? And reminding Canadians that they are actually amazing, can make great things, is a very powerful mindset that we can put in. We have to go be a force in the world. If you believe the world to harken back to a prior age needs more Canada, well then we have to go make it want what we have.

And that’s gonna be by becoming economically strong, it’s gonna be by becoming, uh, militarily strong. Like strength and sovereignty really are linked to those two things. They happen because of those 40 million [00:10:00] Canadians making individual choices every day to kind of act the way that we’re talking.

John Stackhouse: When you talk about Canada needing to be a force in the world, it takes me straight back to some of the builders we’ve met this season who are already trying to do that in very Canadian ways, in orbit, under the sea, and deepen the ground. They’re all trying to turn our unique advantages into things. We actually build own and export.

Rahul Goel: We already do such a great job as Canadians training our workforce. In fact, we train our workforce and it enables other countries to build their space programs. We have a massive exodus of talent, of capital, of sovereignty, of national pride.

So all of those factors led to the founding of North Space. The amazing thing about building capabilities in space is that it spans the entire spectrum. Highly specialized key roles that, you know, Canadians are really, really good at and creating opportunities. But at the end of the day, the retention is really the problem.

David Shea: One of [00:11:00] the great advantages that they have in Newfoundland when we talk about hardening technology, building technology, proving that it can work. If it can work off the coast of Newfoundland, then it can work anywhere. It is one of the harshest climates in the world. When you go out on the ocean, it is not long before you are in the middle of the North Atlantic.

Eric Desaulniers: We’re optimizing the usage of this hydro to be carbon neutral. So having the four reason to buy in Canada, great geology to start with two hours away. We have a great industrial park in big and core with sheep, hydro, and all reagents and all the the right area to develop this safely. And then we have the right talents and we have the customer now in our backyard who really need graphite and they really need to diversify from a single source in China.

John Stackhouse: Space launches, subsea, robotics, critical minerals, those are very different sectors, but you kind of get the pattern, Canadians trying to turn our geography, our geology, and our grit into a [00:12:00] real edge in the world. For all those builders, how are you seeing momentum grow to support them?

Daniel Debow: I think you had Rahul from Nord space on there. Um, I was an investor prior space company in Canada from the CDL. Honestly, most of the time when I talked about it, people were rolling their eyes like, what are you talking about? A Canadian space company? That’s not a real thing. And I just don’t see that now as people hear about North Space and what they’re doing, uh, similarly, there was no way you could start a defense company in Canada even five years ago, and now that’s a possibility.

And they’re moving very, very quickly. And what’s important is they’re doing it in partnership. Like I see all sorts of military folk who are quite interested in like a new way, a new approach of doing these things. Dan and I are very privileged to be able to have incredible conversations across the country with some of Canada’s leading entrepreneurs and innovators,

Lucy Hargreaves: I’m encouraged actually on the attention now being paid to major projects and all of [00:13:00] the possibilities in the natural resources sector.

Both in oil and gas, but also critical minerals and mining. I think it’ll take a while for that to change, but it does seem like through the work that the major Projects Office is, is doing, and a lot of the conversations specifically in the critical mineral space, that there’s some appetite to, you know, go faster there.

And it’s so inspiring to me that I actually see these people just, they’re just moving ahead, right? They’re not waiting for the government to create a new subsidy program or a grant program or a tax incentive. Like in many, many cases, they are builders and they are just focused on moving ahead and getting things done.

Daniel Debow: I actually am very encouraged when provincial or federal leaders reach out and say, well, what are these ideas you have about ai? What are these ideas about exporting more lentils and pulses? What are these ideas about how we can open up our export of natural resources? How can we build more homes? Like those are positive things.

I’m not saying it’s the end of the story, but that’s optimistic to me.[00:14:00]

John Stackhouse: Those are great companies you’ve referenced. Fast growing sectors that Canadians can really seize on space. We’ve, we’ve been doing research here at RBC on the potential of the space sector, and I’ve been able to speak with investors in Europe and the US particularly, who are so keen to invest more in Canada.

They see the talent and opportunity here and as a country, I don’t think we’ve got our heads fully around the idea of private capital. Driving stuff, but it is that private capital that really accelerates things. And part of that requires us to think through what you might call the reward function. So there’s of course, the expression, no risk, no reward, but if you have no reward, you’re not gonna get a lot of risk either.

We need arguably different reward functions for entrepreneurs and the people who, who back them. Tell us a bit about how you’re thinking about the [00:15:00] reward function. And what Canada needs to do to up our game on that front in the years ahead.

Daniel Debow: We want Canadian entrepreneurs, whether it’s the people who created Mike’s Hark Lemonade, or the people who create Lululemon, or the people who create Cirque de Soleil or Shopify’s, like, we need those folks.

Those are great and those are capitalistic, uh, profit seeking enterprises. That’s not a dirty word. That should be a positive thing. You know, entrepreneurs are human beings. They have the ability more than most actually to be mobile. And I think that the, one of the things we have to do is the reward function has to be that you are socially rewarded.

You are a good part of the country. That reward function really does matter because it’s a cycle of everyone’s psyche. You ask the beginning, what’s the mindset? I’m like, well, geez. The mindset has to be that these are Canadian heroes. Now we can’t just say nice things though. And have photo ops, we have to actually back it up.

John Stackhouse: Well, if I can just jump in quickly, I, I love your passion, number one, but also it’s so critical how you’re laying this out. That reward is both tangible [00:16:00] and intangible, and they’re both incredibly powerful and we need to lean into both.

Lucy Hargreaves: Yeah. This is not just about financial rewards, and as Dan said, we’re not just talking about the founders. We’re talking about like the early employees who also leave relatively stable jobs and, and go and try and start new things. So we should celebrate and reward that. Financially speaking, what I say is, you know, we always need to remind ourselves as a nation that we don’t exist in isolation. We operate in a global economy, and we have to think about our reward and incentive and tax structure in that context.

Entrepreneurs have options. Many of them, you know, are very mobile. They can make different choices. Highly talented employees of companies can make different choices. We have the US right there. There’s a whole big wide world out there. And so we, when we think about our tax incentives and rewarding risk takers, we have to think about it in that global context.

We published a number of memos on [00:17:00] this, specifically on capital gains tax. We, um, had a great memo from Matt Cohen who’s, uh, with Ripple Ventures, uh, looking at how we can make our capital gains rewards, uh, and system not just on par with the us but actually more competitive than what’s on offer in the us.

The US has this thing called QSBS. Which is essentially their capital gains structure for small businesses. It’s incredibly competitive. It has a much higher capital gains cap of 15 million per company. This is the key thing Per company. Yeah. Whereas our capital gains cap in Canada right now is around 1.5 million, whereas the US has this 15 million cap that can be stacked across multiple exits, and so that’s.

It might seem small to, to some people, but this is like a real meaningful difference maker in, uh, people’s decision making for how much risk they wanna take. And it’s also, um, from an investor’s perspective, often investors [00:18:00] are, you know, looking for Canadian companies and Canadian founders to relocate to the US so that the investors can benefit from the US capital gain structure There.

Daniel Debow: Of course the only reason people build companies isn’t just to make money, but it is part of the reason, and we are fooling ourselves if we don’t understand that. We have to create incentives for our best Canadians to stay here. We have to figure out a way to do that if we wanna get our most amazing Canadians who wanna do this.

Also wanna say, this isn’t just about tech people, right? This is about. The folks who are losing their jobs, unfortunately, we want some of them to go start drone manufacturing supply chain companies, people who are in manufacturing, building next generation humanoid robots. We need to create opportunities across our stacks, small businesses that this is something that they can, and really, the, the balance of keeping a job versus trying something, it becomes overwhelmingly better that you’re like, I wanna try something more in society.

But you’ve got to remember that innovation is not something entrepreneurs do outta the goodness of their heart. It is something that’s done because they want to win. They either wanna win new customers or market share, or they don’t wanna lose that from someone else who’s [00:19:00] coming to eat their lunch, and that’s a good function for society.

John Stackhouse: Let’s talk a bit about hustle in the public sector. I think one of the many things Mark Carney has done to rattle cages has been to set real deadlines that many people, from what I understand, say, oh, that’s impossible. We’ve seen this in the, uh, in the energy agreement with Alberta. Some pretty huge things have to be done by April 1st and July 1st, and as you know, that’s the way the private sector works.

You set deadlines and you manage the work accordingly. It’s one of the basic principles of project management, but there’s more to it. There’s a builder mindset versus an operator mindset, and that’s something you’ve both stressed through. Build Canada. Help us understand the difference between the two and how a builder mindset can help the public sector.

Lucy Hargreaves: The culture of the public service and the incentive structure in the public service is one that [00:20:00] reinforces a risk averse mindset to operating. They are incentivized to be a steady hand to avoid risk and to not take bold bets that might get themselves or the minister or prime minister of the day into trouble.

So. I think it is a bit of a shock to the system for many public servants to have a Prime Minister kind of come in and have these ambitious goals and deadlines. But I think it’s a good thing. I mean, I think having deadlines and focusing attention on the things that really matter. We have to focus on growth and make the main thing the main thing.

And it seems like this prime Minister is, uh, you know, attempting to make the main thing, the main thing, which is the economy and driving the public service towards that. You know, we’ve been talking about a lot the reinvigoration of the interchange program, uhhuh, which is now called the Build Canada Exchange Program.

Yeah. The budget of this year, they re have [00:21:00] rebranded to call the Build Canada Exchange Program. Is, is there a copyright issue there? Everyone should use it. There’s no, they should use it. If it works, they should use it well for it.

John Stackhouse: Tell us a bit about the Build Canada Exchange program ’cause it’s a neat innovation?

Lucy Hargreaves: Yeah, so the interchange program, build slash Build Canada interchange, so it’s been around for a number of years in the public service and, and has been designed to bring in. Private sector experts on sort of like a secondment basis into the public service. To, you know, help deliver programs or provide specific expertise and it, you know, sort of an exchange.

So the private sector sort of better understands public service. Public service can better understand perspectives, uh, from various different industries. And so now this rebranding is build candidate exchange. And so the Komen is to bring in 50, uh, private sector experts into the public service. Across a number of different sectors for a period of 12 to 18 months and have them do a rotation within, within the public service.

This idea that you recognize that, you know, there’s various [00:22:00] sectors where you need help and that the help exists in the private sector, and, and finding ways to bring those people in, give them the right authority, and really, you know, set up the structure for good collaboration and sharing. I, I think is, is a great idea.

And I’m excited to see that, you know, hopefully get implemented pretty rapidly in the next few months.

John Stackhouse: It’s exciting to see these kinds of innovative approaches where the public and private sectors actually learn from each other instead of talking past each other. And it also reminds us that public service doesn’t have to be a 40 year career.

It could be a tour of duty, a period in your life where you step in, help build something better for the greater good, and then bring that experience back out into the rest of the economy. All season on Disruptors, the Canada Project, we’ve seen how that orientation towards the greater good drives the long-term infrastructure work that will shape our future.

From food corridors on the prairies to ports on both coasts to hydro and fiber [00:23:00] lines into the Arctic. The decisions we make now will define what kind of country our kids and grandkids in Hara. Canada.

Tamara Vrooman: Canada is a country with a large geography, but a small population, and so we literally need connectivity and transportation infrastructure to make our country work, and we certainly need that infrastructure to connect our country to the world.

We have the component parts. They’re just not integrated in the way that they could be to allow for that speed and resilience that the international trade market is going to demand.

Devan Fitch: We’re the size of the next five largest Canadian ports combined in terms of the amount of commodities that we move, uh, through the Port of Vancouver.

The terminals that we’re looking at right here, they were also built many decades ago, and they just don’t simply have the birth depth that’s required. You couldn’t pull up next to the container terminal because it’s just gonna bottom out on the, on the birth face there. We have to be planning for what the trade infrastructure looks like in 2050 and 2060, not in [00:24:00] 2026.

Murad Al-Katib: If I was Prime Minister for a day, I would spend a hundred billion on trade infrastructure. It will pay for generations to come. Supply chains are all about connectivity. Each link has to be efficient. Data and technology will also make that more efficient. So let’s seize that opportunity.

John Stackhouse: We just heard the voices of Tamara Ruman, Devon Fitch, and Marad Al Kaip.

They’re just a few of the builders and shapers we’ve spoken to on this series. Daniel, Lucy, if you’re in your twenties today listening to all of that, the stakes, the infrastructure projects, the need to think long term, what would you actually do with it? What’s your message to those younger Canadians about the decades ahead and the role they can play?

Daniel Debow: First message is they should go to Build Canada do com and they should sign up. Yeah, join Build Canada newsletter and find a way to volunteer. I mean, I say that in a little in jest, but in reality. Yeah, because that’s a great first step. That’s what we want. Sign up. I was actually shocked how many people sign up just to learn about how the government works.

[00:25:00] They’re like, I didn’t know what a budget is. I didn’t know this stuff. But what’s the main message? I mean, I look, I have four young kids. Just because there are challenges, that does not mean that there’s no future for you. There’s no hope for you. You have to be kind of a rational optimist that yes, there are challenges, but you can pull this off.

I think the second message is exactly that, that you have agency, right? You are not necessarily a victim. You can make change in your own life, in your own community, your own family, with your own friend group, and in fact, you have, at least in the digital realm, you have access to tools that were like truly science fiction.

You know, 50 years ago, 25 years ago, right? You can see people building tools with ai, learning how to do things that run circlers around the folks of us on this call. The third thing is you can’t be quiet. You have to actually say that, I want this to be better. And so if you’re willing to step up and say, I think we can do things different around transit or around youth employment, or around any one of the issues that matter to you, you can do it.

They should not give up. I mean, I think that is the [00:26:00] key, key message I would have for those young people, that they have a right to fight like hell and to make the project what they think it should be, and they can define the future.

John Stackhouse: Canada is a project and we all have agency to help build it. That’s a great message.

Lucy, final word to you?

Lucy Hargreaves: Yeah, absolutely. I have three kids that are a little bit younger than Dan’s kids, I think, but I think about them a lot. I think about their future a lot, and I have the privilege of being able to talk to a lot of the folks who have been coming to our Build Canada events across the country.

So hundreds of people. They’re so energized and so optimistic about the future. And so my message to them really is recognize that you are part of this incredible journey that our nation is on, and that you have a role to play. Canada is going places. Don’t aim small, you know, think bold and take risks.

There are so many ways to show up. To get involved. That is what actually makes change at the end of the day is, is [00:27:00] multiple people across the country showing up and speaking up for the future that they want. So I would encourage folks to do that. We can all do more love. All these messages about building a better Canada.

John Stackhouse: To quote your website, people want to join up, go to build canada.com. Lucy, Daniel, thank you so much for being on disruptors and for helping to build Canada. Thanks, John, and thanks for, for this uh, series. It’s been great. Thanks so much, John. Appreciate it. As we close out this season of disruptors, I wanna leave you with a simple thought.

Canada’s future isn’t something that happens to us, it’s something that we build through the choices we make, the jobs we take on, the risks that we lean into, and the communities that we strengthen. Each of us has a role in shaping what comes next. Yes, the world is throwing a lot of disruption at us all at once.

But Canada has the geography, the resources, the global credibility, and the [00:28:00] traditions to turn challenge into opportunity. And Canadians have the ideas, the ambition, and the talent to do just that. That’s what we call the Canada Project Canadians working together. To innovate, to compete, and to build.

If you’re looking for inspiration, explore more nation building stories and ideas at rbc.com/thought leadership and revisit the episodes of Disruptors, the Canada Project, an RBC podcast on Apple or Spotify, or wherever you get your podcasts. Thanks for joining us on this incredible journey and for being a builder.

I’m John Stackhouse. See you in the new year.

Disclaimer

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By Lisa Ashton, Director of Agriculture Policy, RBC Thought Leadership

U.S. President Donald Trump’s US$12 billion aid package for American farmers struggling with rising input costs like fertilizer and seeds comes with a sting for Canada. Trump is considering “very severe” tariffs on Canadian fertilizer to “bolster” U.S. domestic fertilizer production. 

This could prove to be an own goal for Washington. More tariffs on Canadian fertilizers are likely to raise prices for U.S. farmers in the short-term and could create volatility in securing long-term supply. The proposed move comes as the U.S. has few alternatives to Canadian fertilizer, while American farmers have limited leverage in the market and are price receivers. Here’s what is at stake for both the Canadian and U.S. agriculture sectors:

  • Canada accounts for 81% of U.S. potassium-based chemical fertilizer imports and tariffs would further raise costs along North America’s interconnected agri-food supply chain.1

  • The U.S. tried a version of this before: It imposed broad tariffs (25%) earlier this year on many Canadian imports, including potash and other fertilizers. After pushback from American farmers and industry groups, fertilizer tariffs were reduced to 10%.

  • Those moves proved to be a body blow as U.S. Import Price Index for chemical fertilizers rose from 164.5 in December 2024 to 186.5 in September 2025.2

    • The U.S. Prices Paid Index tracking costs paid by U.S. farmers rose to 149.9 in June 2025, up from 139.9 the year before. Over the same period, fertilizer costs were the primary driver for rising costs for U.S. crop farmers, up 11% in the index.3

  • Canada has the world’s largest potash reserves, with 1.1 billion tonnes of potash, which is 5x larger than U.S. reserves.4 Canada’s scale of potash mining by production volumes was 36x larger than the U.S. in 2024.5

  • Fertilizers account for roughly 30% to 45% of a U.S. farmer’s annual operating cost, depending on the crop.6 As farmers are vulnerable to volatility in input prices, they often can’t pass rising input costs onto consumers since many sell into commodity markets (i.e. corn, wheat, soybeans). That could challenge the U.S. administration’s efforts to reduce costs for farmers ahead of 2026 mid-terms with active tariffs on their inputs and threats of more.

  • The U.S. could carve out separate deals with Canada and Mexico says U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer. He said the Trump administration is leaving all options on the table when it comes to the Canada-U.S.-Mexico Agreement (CUSMA). Mark Carney was quick to dismiss the possibility of separate deals: “That’s not what they’re saying.”

  • Kirsten Hillman, Canada’s ambassador to the U.S. who played a key role in the CUSMA negotiations, announced that she will step down in the New Year. Hillman’s replacement has yet to be announced but reports surfaced that Mark Wiseman, former chief executive of the Canada Pension Plan Investment Board, is the front-runner.

  • Canada’s $153-million trade surplus in September blew past analysts’ expectations of a $4.5-billion deficit. Exports to the U.S. rose 4.6% (imports fell 1.7%). And exports to other parts of the world shot up 18.6%.

  • In the U.S. exports surged in September, resulting in the smallest trade deficit in 5 years.

  • And China’s trade surplus tops US$1 trillion for the first time. Despite trade tensions with the U.S., Beijing exported US$3.4 trillion worth of goods in the first 11 months of the year by finding, in part, new markets for its outbound shipments, including Africa (+26%), Southeast Asia (+14%) and Latin America (+7.1%).

By Jordan Brennan, Managing Director, RBC Thought Leadership

President Trump has been making the point that tariffs carry with it short-term pain for long-term gain. The data confirms that he’s got the pain part right.

Inflation: Since Trump’s so-called ‘Liberation Day’ in April, producer prices in the U.S. have moved meaningfully higher. The knock-on-effect: consumer inflation has grown for five consecutive months and now stands at 3%—a level not seen since early 2024.

Producer and Consumer prices march higher since liberation day

Consumer sentiment: According to the University of Michigan’s long-running survey of consumers, confidence is sitting at half-century lows. Four of the 10 worst monthly readings have come since Liberation Day.

Manufacturing: Far from rebounding, manufacturing employment—including politically-sensitive auto jobs—has worsened since January. The U.S. has shed nearly 50,000 manufacturing jobs this year.

U.S. Manufacturing Employment Deteriorates in 2025

The rejoinder from the White House is inevitably that the tariff policy takes time and discomfort is transitional. But voters rarely reward distant promises over immediate pain. And Trump has already started to ease off, recently slashing tariffs on beef, coffee and assortment of other grocery-store items. Expect more selective tariff relief—targeted by region and by product—as the midterms draw closer.