Speaker 1 [00:00:01] Hi, it’s John here. If you are like me or probably like anyone you know, you probably have done a fair bit of flying this year. Some are calling it the year of revenge flying after the pandemic and flying continues to be at the center of our culture. It connects us with the rest of the world and promotes tourism, creates employment opportunities, helps generate trade and acts as an enabler for economic growth and development. It also poses a number of challenges when it comes to climate. I got to thinking more about this in September at New York Climate Week, when I was sitting on an airplane at LaGuardia Airport looking at all the airplanes lined up to take off and those waiting to land and wondered, is this the most hypocritical thing I’ve ever done to actually fly to a climate conference? Or is there actually a way to use all the ingenuity that has made the airline industry so great for so many decades to create sustainable flying? There are currently more than 100,000 commercial flights a day, and that number will keep on growing as the global population grows and as people pretty much everywhere take up more flying. And with that growth, of course, there’s going to be more emissions. The airline industry is trying to do something about that. Air transportation currently accounts for about two and a half percent of global CO2 emissions. And that may be a bit of an understatement because all those airplanes not only emit CO2, they affect the climate in several more complex ways through the concentration of other gases and pollutants. Some of us may buy carbon offsets to help reduce the net impact of our flying, but there’s also some incredible innovations going on in the industry, particularly around sustainable aviation fuel. European airlines have been pioneers with SAF, and now the Americans are racing to catch up. Under the Biden Administration’s Inflation Reduction Act, the U.S. now has a goal to produce 3 billion gallons of SAF by the year 2030. Can Canada catch up, too? We’re a nation of travelers. We have to be given our geography, but we also have to recognize how fast the game is moving. What’s our plan? What are the risks if we don’t get it right? And how long is the transformation going to take on the ground and up there in the sky? This is Disruptors. An RBC podcast. I’m John Stackhouse. Sustainable aviation fuel is at the center of the airline industry’s race to get to net zero, according to the World Economic Forum. SAF as its known could cut emissions by up to 80% when compared to traditional jet fuels. Can it also play a bigger role in Canada’s own plans to get to net zero? And how will it change travel for all of us? Today, we’ll explore the incredible world of aviation and the strides Canada is making towards a more sustainable sky. We’ll be joined by two experts. Our first guest is Angela Avery, executive vice president at WestJet. Angela is an experienced airline and energy executive. In addition to her work at WestJet. she’s been appointed to the United Nations Compensation Commission and has served on several not for profit boards, including the Canadian Energy Law Foundation, the Calgary YMCA, Arts Commons and the Calgary Zoo. Angela, welcome to Disruptors.
Speaker 2 [00:03:25] Well, thanks, John, for having me.
Speaker 1 [00:03:27] I’m so excited to talk about sustainable aviation fuel. I can be a bit of a geek that way. You’ve had a fascinating career. I’m wondering when you first got interested in what people call SAF.
Speaker 2 [00:03:38] Well, I was interested in SAF when I joined WestJet, so I joined WestJet in February 2020 and I came actually from the energy sector. So was an area where I was already keenly interested when I arrived at WestJet because I knew there were limited ways that we can really decarbonize in the aviation sector. And so for me, I was really excited to bring some of the knowledge I had from the energy sector to the airline when I joined.
Speaker 1 [00:04:02] That’s a great crossover. I wonder if you can define and explain for our listeners what exactly is sustainable aviation fuel.
Speaker 2 [00:04:10] Yeah, sure. It’s really a plug and play fuel that we can put directly into our aircraft fuel tanks today, but it’s developed from different sources than Jet A-1 fuel, which is the traditional fuel used in aircraft. And so, sustainable aviation fuel just means that it’s developed in a more sustainable way using more sustainable feedstock. I can geek out with you, John, in relation to what that means in terms of feedstock, but essentially what we’re using for sustainable aviation fuel is right now a lot of waste products. So whether that’s waste cooking oil or waste animal fat, or we can use waste forestry products and other things to essentially create what is almost the equivalent of regular jet A-1 fuel that would normally be produced through oil and gas activities.
Speaker 1 [00:04:55] What’s the environmental benefit?
Speaker 2 [00:04:57] The environmental benefits, interesting one, because at the end of the day the emissions are pretty similar in relation to the emissions that are the result of the flying. The real environmental benefit is frankly the feedstocks itself. And so by using biomass, we are essentially recycling. And so instead of introducing a new carbon product into the planet, we’re recycling a carbon product that already exists. What we’re finding right now is 70% less emissions through the use of sustainable aviation fuel than traditional Jet A-1.
Speaker 1 [00:05:25] And right now, and presumably for the foreseeable future, this is a blended fuel like I may have in my car. Is that correct?
Speaker 2 [00:05:32] That’s right. Boeing and some of the other technology leaders right now are testing flights that would have 100% sustainable aviation fuel on board. But right now, most regulators are suggesting that one ought not to go above a 50% blend. And so oftentimes what you’re seeing is one and 2% blends because there just is not a lot of sustainable aviation fuel available. But even blending one or 2% makes a difference. And so that’s the kind of blends that you’re seeing. But the regulators cap us at 50%. But with the view that we know that some of our technology leaders in this space are going to get us to 100% at some point.
Speaker 1 [00:06:10] And unlike electric vehicles, the plane doesn’t change. The fuel tank doesn’t have to change either.
Speaker 2 [00:06:16] No. And that’s the real benefit and game changer with sustainable aviation fuel, it truly is plug and play technology. We don’t have to change any of the kit on the aircraft. The engine stays the same, the fuel tank stays the same. And importantly, all of the kit leading up to the actual aircraft does not have to change either. Neither do the pipelines that service those tanks need to change. And so from an environmental perspective, it’s extremely benign in relationship to a fuel switch.
Speaker 1 [00:06:44] I’m guessing the fuel supply, though, and all the technology that goes into that is more complicated. Can you walk us through what has to change in the supply chain to make this work, especially at scale for the whole global fleet?
Speaker 2 [00:06:58] There’s two real challenges right now with sustainable aviation fuel. Otherwise, frankly, we’d be all filling up our tanks right now with it. But it’s the ability to produce SAF at scale is one issue and then one that is interrelated is frankly the cost of producing staff. So right now, producing staff is about 3 to 5 times more expensive than putting jet A-1 fuel in our tank. And so it’s difficult for the airlines to sign up for increasing their costs that way. The cost of our fuel would, in our case at WestJet, more than double the cost of an airline ticket in Canada. And so when you look at where SAF is being produced right now, globally, it’s being produced in jurisdictions that have extraordinary policy supports for the production of SAF where the producers of SAF had the capital confidence to be able to invest in what they often call in the refining complex the pots and pans necessary to create this new bio fuel. Oftentimes, you’ll see across North America biodiesel is being produced from these refining complexes. Biogen could also be produced as long as additional kit were added to these refiners, but they need that capital to do so.
Speaker 1 [00:08:09] Who’s leading the way?
Speaker 2 [00:08:10] Right now, it’s some smaller producers in Europe are leading the way. We’re seeing the U.S. now catch up, though, in so far as they’ve got now, those new policy supports that they had even prior to the Inflation Reduction Act. But what we’re seeing is a mix. We’re seeing some startups and we’re also seeing some of the traditional energy companies stepping in a meaningful way. We know both are required for us to get to our very large aspirations of billions of liters of sustainable aviation fuel being produced on an annual basis.
Speaker 1 [00:08:42] And right now, WestJet has a dedicated route, San Francisco, to Calgary. What have you learned from that and what will be required to take that to other routes?
Speaker 2 [00:08:51] It was a great trial, so we did that earlier this year, and so we trialed this for a three month period. What we learned was a couple of things. Firstly, there isn’t still a huge demand by our guests onboard the aircraft to pay more for sustainable aviation fuel. So I think that we’re really going to have to make the case with the policymakers and with our guests in relation to the importance of us continuing to decarbonize the industry. The other thing we learned, frankly, was that there were very few routes that we could actually do this trial on there, very few places that WestJet flies where you can actually acquire sustainable aviation fuel. And so we very deliberately picked San Francisco-Calgary as our route because you can acquire sustainable aviation fuel in San Francisco. You can do that because California has been providing policy support for the development of SAF for now many years and nothing is commercially available in Canada. So any of our domestic flying, if we were to use SAF, would require us to actually transport staff to Canada, which also causes its own obviously cost and emissions’ impacts.
Speaker 1 [00:10:00] What are the risks to Canadian airports and Canadian travelers of us not keeping pace with the U.S. Right now? It’s limited supply. You mentioned San Francisco, but a number of the big airports like LaGuardia are moving in this direction. And presumably in a few years, there will be a network of hubs that have SAF across the U.S.
Speaker 2 [00:10:22] Well, I think you’ll see it’s just increasingly difficult for Canadian airports to compete for business. And so to be left behind in relation to SAF as well, I think you could see that demand over time could erode in Canada. And so I think that’s the real risk here. And one of the big risks, I would argue too, John, is just that Canada has this incredible amount of feedstock in relation to SAF. We’ve got all the ingredients here in terms of also having a really great capacity when it comes to technological know how. I mean, a lot of the green tech investments that are being made right now globally in decarbonizing the energy sector are happening here in Alberta and also across Canada. And so I would hate for us to leave that intellectual horsepower on the sidelines. Airports will be the beneficiaries of SAF and they could be left behind. But I think that there’s a whole Canada question here as well.
Speaker 1 [00:11:14] You’ve mentioned the subsidies now available in the U.S., is that all Canada needs to do is keep pace with what the U.S. is offering or are there other challenges for Canada?
Speaker 2 [00:11:24] I think keeping pace policy wise would make the difference, John. And I think that’s what the IADA, which is sort of the governing agency for all airlines, is called the International Air Transportation Association. That’s what they’re looking for. They’re looking for convergence of policies around the world because you don’t want to create winners and losers. Air travel is not a luxury. This is something that’s absolutely required in Canada. We have a gigantic country with limited infrastructure relative to our size. And so unlike Europe, I can’t hop on a train to go up to Edmonton, but I can certainly fly to Edmonton. And in my estimation, Canada has to keep up when it comes to airline infrastructure.
Speaker 1 [00:12:04] I’m interested in your experience with customers and our unwillingness, if I can put it that way, to pay a green premium, as some call it, when you think about marketing, sustainable aviation fuel or sustainable flying generally, what do you think will be the right triggers for consumers, for travelers?
Speaker 2 [00:12:23] I think it’s going to be a really tough nut to crack, John. I don’t think we can market our way into gas paying a premium necessarily for the use of sustainable aviation fuel. We’d like to provide that option because we will have some guests that wish to do that. We also already provide the opportunity for our guests to use carbon offsets, but we don’t find a tremendous uptake. I don’t think that’s a Canada problem per se. When I talk to fuel providers globally, there are very few jurisdictions where the consumer will pay extra for the biofuel option. And so I think we have to find a solution to the problem of the commons that’s a bit different than relying on the guests to uptake it themselves directly.
Speaker 1 [00:13:05] And that comes back to the public policy point you’re making. This is going to take a lot more, frankly, government involvement if we’re going to see the switch move faster perhaps than it has been. Assuming governments do move in that direction or help the industry and all of us travelers move in that direction. How quickly do you think this will change?
Speaker 2 [00:13:27] Well, I think it will change really quickly. In 2016, there were only 500 flights that actually used sustainable aviation fuel. And this year they’re expecting almost 500,000 flights. So we go to half a million flights from 500 flights in the course of just a few short years. And there is hyperbolic growth right now in the SAF side. Obviously, we’re going to have to grow faster and we’re going to have to decarbonize more swiftly. But from my perspective, we can be fast, followers in this space now. We are not the ones necessarily in the lab having to invent SAF. We can be fast followers.
Speaker 1 [00:14:04] I mentioned the transformation earlier, and that’s going to take probably 20 plus years to play out, just given the vehicle life for most cars on the road. Do you think the airline industry will transform faster than that? Is this something that will will change completely in the next decade, or will it also take several decades?
Speaker 2 [00:14:24] I think that we have a better opportunity to decarbonize faster in aviation because of SAF. So if we were relying on EV technology like we are in the auto side, I would be less bullish because there’s obvious challenges when you’re adding weight to the to the aircraft and there’s very limited sort of flying that can be, we think in the short term, replaced with electric flying. Right, we’re very fortunate, I would argue in the aviation front that we’ve got a technology that’s right here available to us that can quickly decarbonize by up to 70% on average, now, the flying that we’re undertaking.
Speaker 1 [00:15:05] Meeting my carbon footprint as a traveler would be 70% less.
Speaker 2 [00:15:10] Yes.
Speaker 1 [00:15:11] What a fascinating conversation. Angela, I wonder as we move towards close, if you could look into your crystal ball and tell us where you think aviation will be a decade out in terms of sustainability?
Speaker 2 [00:15:22] I’m really excited about where we’re going to be in a decade, John, because you’re seeing new technology, even when it comes to aircraft themselves, aircraft are oftentimes 40% more aerodynamic now than they were 30 years ago. And so when you think about your own car, the how fuel efficient it was ten years ago versus what it is today, we’re driving those technology improvements when it comes to our fleet. We’re driving those technology improvements, even on board the aircraft. You’ll see we don’t have TVs onboard aircraft anymore and most airlines don’t because that saves thousands of liters of fuel. The other thing on the sustainability front, John, that I’m most excited about is that we’re going to see more people get the benefit of air travel. Only 20% of the world has actually been onboard an aircraft. I’d like to see that number change. I would really like for us to democratize, travel for the whole world. And so it’s going to be an imperative for us to decarbonize at the same time we democratize, but to advance everybody’s opportunities globally. I think you’re going to see a lot more aircraft and you’re going to see a lot more sustainable flying by that aircraft in the next ten years. And I’m excited about that.
Speaker 1 [00:16:30] What a great and exciting vision that is to decarbonize while also democratizing travel. Angela, thank you for being on disruptors.
Speaker 2 [00:16:37] Thank you. I’m so glad you would have me.
Speaker 1 [00:16:41] Angela Avery is executive vice president of the WestJet Group. In a moment, we’ll hear from one of Canada’s other leading voices when it comes to sustainability in the skies. So stay right there.
Speaker 1 [00:16:58] Welcome back. Today, we’re talking about sustainable aviation fuels and how they’re disrupting the aviation industry with aims of decarbonization. Our next guest is Geoff Tauvette. He’s one of the leading voices when it comes to SAF adoption and implementation in Canada. Jeff is the executive director at the Canadian Council for Sustainable Aviation Fuels, otherwise known as C-SAF. He’s a commercial aviation and engineering professional who’s at the forefront of airline sustainability. With more than 25 years of experience integrating aviation, fuel procurement, environmental and climate risk management. He’s also worked to develop Canada’s first SAF roadmap. Geoff, welcome to Disruptors.
Speaker 3 [00:17:38] Thank you, John. Glad to be here.
Speaker 1 [00:17:40] You’ve had a long journey, if you don’t mind the expression, in the aviation world. Tell me when you first got excited about sustainable aviation fuels.
Speaker 3 [00:17:48] Sure. I think over my aviation career, I was one of the first to meld the Fuel and Environment departments together several years back and was able to live through all the various climate policy discussions that were occurring at the time. And in my previous role, I spent a lot of time figuring out how to manage that carbon portfolio and how to manage emission reductions, progress for airlines and sustainable aviation fuels. Really our only solution at the end of the day for aviation to achieve emission reduction. So using my background at the time in the fuel world, I integrated myself into the clean tech business or network anyways, in western Canada and really started to look at ensuring that we get a production of SAF in western Canada. Was my focus at the time.
Speaker 1 [00:18:37] And what along the way, Jeff, have been some of the bigger challenges and barriers to getting to more widespread adoption of SAF?
Speaker 3 [00:18:44] Yeah, well certainly cost is still a big issue and we do want to focus all our discussions on that. But it is, it is a very costly product today and that’s a factor, of course, of we don’t have a lot of it in the world. And so the hope is when we get to scale, we can reduce those costs. The other angle as well is really we’re missing a policy environment in Canada, a national strategy that will help us put in place the regulatory certainty in order to make those investments. It’s really bringing people together and figuring out which stakeholders have that magic value chain that that can bring cost efficiencies and bring production online. And that’s really why C-SAF or Canadian Council for Sustainable Aviation Fuels, is formed and has really sort of filled that gap.
Speaker 1 [00:19:36] I’m curious, Geoff, that we haven’t been more assertive on the policy front. Canada has an ambitious national climate plan that we have a well-regulated airline industry and a number of well-run airlines. One might have thought this is something we’d be at the forefront of.
Speaker 3 [00:19:53] Our C-SAF strategy, and we really highlighted this in the road map that we released in June. We’ve developed a plan to produce a billion liters, of SAF by 2030. The road map shows the pathway and the actions that we need to take in order to set in place those building blocks to ensure that we are able to secure those investments and move forward on investing. But again, it is costly. I mean, unfortunately, today the cost of SAF is 3 to 5 times more regular jet fuel. So the trick is how did the airlines work that in to their cost profile and how do we ensure that Canadians can still travel affordably? And I think you have to context how aviation works, who they’re competing against. And the U.S., unfortunately, today has a lot of policies in place that are impacting SAF production, SAF cost, and it really is causing sort of a competitive issue for for Canadian aviation.
Speaker 1 [00:20:57] What’s the risk to Canada and to Canadian travelers as well as the airline industry if we don’t get to that 1 billion litre goal that you’ve set?
Speaker 3 [00:21:06] Well, with what the U.S. has in place today, we’re worried that a lot of the innovation and production of sustainable fuels will occur in the States. And so Canada just becomes essentially we’ll send sustainable feedstock down south. Have the U.S. make the product and we buy back at a higher premium because the system that we’re in. And then, of course, you see the opportunities in the U.S. and Europe, where the aviation industry is decarbonizing as well. And does Canada get left behind? And then we’re not as competitive, if you will, in the future because we haven’t had the opportunity to decarbonize in a cost affordable way.
Speaker 1 [00:21:42] What do you think government can and should do in the near term to up our game?
Speaker 3 [00:21:47] Well, certainly we need some form of incentives to ensure that sustainable aviation fuel is produced affordably. The investment climate is not competitive because of the industrial policy that the U.S. has put in place. We need all the different types of feedstocks. We need all the different types of technologies to convert those feedstocks into fuels. Some technologies are more ready than others in terms of commercialization. So when you look into the future of the renewable fuel that is actually growing in volume is SAF. And so that that should provide a great business or future fit business opportunity for suppliers of SAF. Because we know it’s growing and this is what are tentatives in the roadmap is in fact is that this is a future economic opportunity for Canada. We can use our feedstock, we can essentially make it here and then because it’s growing in volume, we should be able to have in place a policy that sort of puts those building blocks in place to be able to scale, to create that opportunity here in Canada in the future.
Speaker 1 [00:22:52] You mentioned the need for incentives. I also wonder if there are technology developments on the horizon that maybe could reduce the cost of SAF?
Speaker 3 [00:23:01] So we are seeing those come forward for sure. There’s catalysts and all the chemistry that goes behind that is getting better. And so it is getting cheaper on that end of things. Our problem, of course, is that we’re competing against renewable diesel and some of the other fuels. And then the ultimate goal for aviation is to get to these fuels called power to liquid fuels. That’s where we’re using really a renewable source of hydrogen and a renewable source of carbon. And really the process is going backwards from regular fuel. How you have your fuel, you burn it, it releases a whole bunch of energy and it turns into molecules in the air. We want to take those molecules from the air and go backwards and turn it into a fuel. And the cool thing about that is, yeah, we need to figure out hydrogen. Yeah, we need to figure out how to get the carbon from atmosphere. But if we spend some time figuring out how to advance some of those medium term technologies a little bit more quickly, it puts us in a good position to get more quickly on to power to liquids as well.
Speaker 1 [00:23:58] You mentioned hydrogen. How far off are we from hydrogen being a significant component of this?
Speaker 3 [00:24:06] So hydrogen is is an interesting component of of all fuels, but certainly SAF. So, we need it today because we are going to need more of it to help us process some of this fuels into liquid fuels. There’s just a missing component in some of these biomass type of feedstocks. So definitely we need a good source of renewable hydrogen in the mix to help us convert these fuels and into SAF from a power plant perspective. When you see some of the technology reports, I think they’re figuring near the 2050s and beyond is where you’re going to see maybe some opportunities for aviation over the long haul to use hydrogen as an actual fuel. So lots of time will need to be dedicated, lots of risk involved. So we need to figure out how to sort of put that into market as well, which is why, again, SAF is that sort of go-to solution for aviation in the long term. It fulfills the emission reduction requirement, it’s safe to use across the variety of age of aircraft that are flying today. There’s a few missing elements, if you will. So we still need to blend it with regular jet fuel to make sure that it can function in the engines. And lots of work going on to ensure that we can use 100% SAF. So so no more blending. So that’s going to take a while and we just need to produce more of it.
Speaker 1 [00:25:24] Geoff, you’ve laid out a pretty rational road map. What do you think is the barrier to executing on that?
Speaker 3 [00:25:32] I think the biggest missing piece is just how do we set up a regime that supports the production? How do we ensure that suppliers get the right signal to be able to make the investment that airlines and their consumers can still be competitive at the end of the day and have an affordable product? How do we pull private investment into the fold to help develop some of this technology? And that’s all going to have to come down to some form of federal strategy that the provinces can then build on top of with their industrial strategies or some of the manufacturing afterwards. But without that clear signal on how we’re going to do that, we’re just always in a discussion mode in terms of how we invest, right? There’s just not enough certainty going forward in order to pull that required investment to make the production of SAF happen.
Speaker 1 [00:26:25] What a great call to action that Canadians have long been innovators and leaders in the aviation space. And Geoff, you’ve laid out an opportunity here for the country to take that into a new era of sustainable flying. Thank you for being on disruptors.
Speaker 3 [00:26:40] I appreciate it. Thank you, John.
Speaker 1 [00:26:45] That was Geoff Tauvette, Executive Director of the Canadian Council for Sustainable Aviation Fuels. We all know the climate is changing and of course, the world is changing. Today, we heard how the aviation industry is also changing. The big question I take away is can Canada move fast enough to keep up? I liked Angela Avery’s description of sustainable aviation fuel as a plug and play option. It’s something airlines are already doing. It’s something that the fuels’ industry is quite good at. It’s also something Canada can be a global leader in. We’re already a producer, as both Geoff and Angela explained. A biomass, the stuff that goes into fuel blends. And we’re a world leader and innovator in the fuel space. So how do we put together the right mix of technology, of commercial ambition, of consumer awareness, and a public policy that will help transform in a positive way the climate impact of flying? There’s a role for all of us to play because on the climate journey, none of us can afford to be just passengers. Until next time. I’m John Stackhouse and this is Disruptors, an RBC podcast. Talk to you soon.
Speaker 2 [00:27:58] Disruptors and RBC Podcast is created by the RBC Thought Leadership Group and does not constitute a recommendation for any organization, product or service. For more Disruptors content, visit our RBC.com/disruptors and leave us a five star rating if you like our show.
Category: AI, Technology and Innovation
Speaker 1 [00:00:01] Hi, it’s John here. Welcome back. This is our seventh season on Disruptors, and we have some exciting insights and big ideas that we think are going to disrupt the market this year. So let’s jump right in. When you think about prediction. What comes to mind? Or what about disruption or innovation or maybe automation? If you answered eye to any of these questions, you’re not alone. This truly was the summer of AI, and there’s a tech wave out there that’s surging. And a lot of us are both excited and worried about what it will mean for our jobs, for the economy, for our communities and, yes, the planet. And while these tech advances have immense potential, we all need to think harder about how they’ll be applied and where the advantages will be. There’s a new think tank at Toronto Metropolitan University called Dais, and they put out a really important study this summer that found only 3.7% of Canadian firms had deployed AI in their business in any capacity — 3.7%. When compared to other advanced economies, Canadian business may be at the back of the pack, but this adoption rate is pretty uneven. It’s been more rapid among big firms, those with more than 100 employees, where 20% said they’re already using AI compared to only 3% of the smallest firms. Adoption has also been leaving some equity seeking groups behind, businesses owned by women, for instance, or indigenous peoples, and people living with disabilities are far less likely than other businesses to currently use AI. So what can Canada do to better innovate and fill these gaps? We know that Canada is a leader in AI science. We have many of the world’s best AI scientists and several of the top universities when it comes to research, we’re a podium nation. But when it comes to application, we’re going to have to step it up and do a lot more to take advantage of this tech revolution. How can we put A.I. to use, whether it’s in business or in health care or education? How can we ensure that those uses are advancing Canada’s prosperity? And in true Canadian fashion, how can we do all this in a way that is fair and ethical? This is Disruptors. An RBC podcast. I’m John Stackhouse. We’re in the early stages of what seems to be a generative AI revolution, and it’s been remarkable to watch its rise and how quickly its evolving. At scale, AI can be integrated into pretty much any organization, and as it’s value to our daily lives and the economy grows. It’s also the topic du jour among regulators as they race to realize its impact, both good and bad. To help us make sense of it all, I’m joined today by two pioneers in Canada’s AI sector. Our first guest, Nick Frost, is the co-founder of Cohere, a Canadian startup that provides natural language processing models to help companies improve human machine interaction. As you’re about to hear, Nick is an optimist. He envisions a world where humans can rely on AI largely like personal assistants, to make life easier. Interacting with it as much as we do with our cell phones. Hey, Nick. Welcome to Disruptors.
Speaker 2 [00:03:30] Hey, thanks so much for having me, John.
Speaker 1 [00:03:31] It’s great to have you on the podcast. I’m so excited to learn more about Cohere because it’s such a fascinating and impressive Canadian company that’s now being noticed around the world. But before we get into the Cohere story, let’s start with some basic definitions of AI. I find it’s a term that everyone loves to say. It’s getting buzz everywhere, but not a lot of people can define it. Can you just give us a quick and dirty definition of AI and also generative AI?
Speaker 2 [00:04:00] Yeah, for sure. So in general, when people talk about AI in a historical context, what they really mean is just computers doing things they didn’t expect computers could do. So in today’s moment, when someone talks about AI, what they’re almost certainly referencing is neural networks, which are a form of machine learning. And specifically, if they’re talking about generative AI, they’re talking about the ability for neural networks to create various forms of media that they thought only people could make. That’s writing sensible text, answering text questions, doing any kind of text based intellectual task. There’s image generative AI increasing, there’s video and audio, but all of those are powered by advances in neural networks and various forms of machine learning.
Speaker 1 [00:04:44] That’s a great, succinct definition. Tell us a bit about Cohere. Maybe start with the origin story. What was the launch of the company?
Speaker 2 [00:04:53] So the launch of the company came out of a realization that Aiden, our CEO, Ivan, and I had several years ago. So Aidan was a coauthor of a paper called Attention is All You Need, which was a machine learning paper which introduced a new type of neural network specifically for language. The realization was that, hey, this tech is really powerful. It can do really great things, but it’s very difficult to create a large language model. It’s even more difficult to make sure that it’s deployed in the right environments, that it actually solves problems for people. And we were at Google at the time and realized that, you know, this incredible technology was not going to be available to the broad public and to every company unless there was a company like ours that set out to make this stuff ready for enterprise and ready to solve business problems.
Speaker 1 [00:05:46] Of course, a lot of people hear AI and they immediately think of the machines taking over that this is going to eliminate jobs, whereas you’re integrating it in things that are already going on and just making them more efficient, more productive, and presumably helping people do more. How do you think through that challenge of technology, both as a disruptor and enabler?
Speaker 2 [00:06:06] I think whenever you have a technology as impactful as this, it will do both those things. I think it’s really important to think about the consequences of your creations as a technologist. These days there’s a lot of talk around existential risks posed by artificial intelligence. I think a lot of that is is kind of misaligned with where the technology is today. And I think our time is better spent thinking on the more immediate things that will be impacted. So that is things like job retraining programs to make sure people know how to be augmented by this technology as opposed to replaced by it means coming up with good policy to make sure that these things are deployed in a way that benefits the entire Canadian populace.
Speaker 1 [00:06:49] Can you give us a couple of examples of how limbs are transforming in a positive way, jobs, companies, activities out there?
Speaker 2 [00:06:58] Yeah, absolutely. One of the things that at Cohere we’ve worked on a lot is something called retrieval augmented generation. So this is where instead of just having an LLM write you a paragraph, you have it look through a whole bunch of documents, write a paragraph based on the information in those documents and cite its sources. This is a real breakthrough because it allows you to like, you know, actually trust the things that are coming out of this LLM because it’s telling you where it got this information. That I think will massively impact people’s ability to do research and synthesize large documents. So, for example, like writing a summary of an article, that’s a really great use case of LLMs. Or answering a question based on like a whole bunch of documents, other things like, you know, predicting how the stock market is going to go tomorrow. The input is not text, the output is not text. And the information that you’d need couldn’t possibly be given to the LLM anyways because there’s things that influence that that are not written down anywhere.
Speaker 1 [00:07:56] That’s a great description. I often think of those moments that we all encounter every day when someone says, let me get back to you. I don’t know. And whether it’s a call centre rep or could be a lawyer or it could be a doctor who says, like, I’ve got to go look something up. Well, yes, saves the time. And then all the energy that goes into that.
Speaker 2 [00:08:15] Absolutely.
Speaker 1 [00:08:16] You talk about Cohere’s global reach. Tell us a bit about how Canada looks to you in terms of applications compared to other markets that you’re in.
Speaker 2 [00:08:27] I would say that Canada is always Canadian. We’re always a little more hesitant to deploy new technology, and that is often to our fate. Like that’s often a good thing for Canada. That often means that things get rolled out and they go slightly better having watched the mistakes of others. But I do find that when talking to people in other parts of the world, they are more willing to like jump on a new technology and deploy it and make slight make mistakes and course correct as they’re going.
Speaker 1 [00:08:55] What sectors do you think need to lean more into this than others?
Speaker 2 [00:08:59] I would love to see all knowledge, work and white collar work lean into this heavier. I think there’s a real opportunity for this to empower people and free up time for us to do the things that we’re really good at and allow LLMs to do the things that they’re really good at. Any work whose input is text and output as text, I would love for them to be working with this.
Speaker 1 [00:09:18] Great way of framing a text in, text out. In technology, there’s often this saying that the second mouse gets the cheese. We know what happens to the first mouse going into the mouse trap. And that’s true of some technologies. But this may be different. There’s also a bit of a frenzy out there, as you as you know, around AI. Some may see it as a bubble. Others may just see it as the growth curve that’s playing out. But I was struck visiting a number of companies in Silicon Valley in the late spring, how many were repositioning themselves as AI firms, but they were effectively just enterprise software firms. How does that affect your thinking as you build out the company? When you see all these large companies well capitalized and have repositioning themselves as AI companies and here you’re a scrappy startup going up against them. Is that a challenge for you as you think about your growth?
Speaker 2 [00:10:14] Yeah, I think undeniably there’s a lot of hype. People are really, really excited about generative AI. A lot of that excitement is warranted based on the impact of this technology. It does really cool stuff. It does stuff we didn’t think computers could do. It continues to surprise me, a person who’s been working on this for many, many years now. But some of the hype is hype. And some of the companies out there who are just selling a traditional SaaS offering that is useful and adding value, recently feel the need to shoehorn generative AI in so that they can, you know, capture a new cycle or capture some investment. We could go back and create a history of the past several decades and name which technology that was happening to in any given year. This year it’s it’s generative AI. I think from our perspective, it’s cool to see people excited, but we’re focused on how this technology delivers value. We’re focused on trying to build something that is useful to people and not just capitalizing on the hype.
Speaker 1 [00:11:14] You mentioned that even you get surprised by some of the progress, what in the last year has surprised you most in terms of what generative AI has been able to do?
Speaker 2 [00:11:24] One of the things that surprised me recently was that our model’s ability to make citations. So it was a few, a year and a half ago or something, and we were first playing around with this retrieval augmented generation. So you give it a document, ask a question, get the answer from the information in that document. And that worked quite well, but it works way better than I thought it did. And now not only can I tell you, hey, this is the answer, it can tell you, and I got it from this paragraph or I got it from this document. And that’s a very complicated problem.
Speaker 1 [00:11:53] Nick, we’ve only scratched the surface of AI’s potential in this conversation. I wonder, as you look to the future and say, think out, five years, where do you think we’ll be?
Speaker 2 [00:12:05] Yeah, I think we will be in a world in which your primary interaction with a computer will be based on language. I also think you won’t think about it very much in the same way that you don’t think about the touch screen and you don’t think about the graphic user interface. I think we’re going to move to that. So I think you will open up a computer, there’ll be a chat box or a microphone for you to speak into. You’ll ask your computer to do things. It will do it for you, and that will be your daily interaction.
Speaker 1 [00:12:37] That sounds very positive. Nick, this has been such a great conversation. We could go on and on, but mindful of your time and we want to thank you for being on Disruptors.
Speaker 2 [00:12:47] Thank you for having me. Really enjoyed it.
Speaker 1 [00:12:50] When we come back, we’ll meet someone who took a career pivot from entertainment law to artificial intelligence and is now at the global forefront.
Speaker 1 [00:13:07] Welcome back. Today, we’re talking about AI and Canada’s standing as a podium nation in AI research and advancement. Our next guest, Jordan Jacobs, is at the forefront of applying AI to pretty much every sector. Jordan is co-founder and managing partner at Radical Ventures in Toronto. It’s now considered the world’s largest AI venture capital firm. He also co-founded the Vector Institute, a world leading AI centre that empowers researchers, businesses and governments to develop and adopt AI responsibly. Jordan also helped author Canada’s first national AI strategy. Jordan, welcome to Disruptors.
Speaker 3 [00:13:46] Thanks for having me.
Speaker 1 [00:13:47] Oh, it’s great to have you in the conversation. I want to start with a bit of your own background because you’ve had a fascinating career. Tell us what lured you into AI?
Speaker 3 [00:13:55] Yeah, I started my career, actually, securities learning financings for tech and media and moved into a group that we built at the firm. I was at doing tech in the entertainment and sports. After a number of years, I left and set up my own firm. But really to do more entrepreneurial stuff that led to building a media company. I made a TV series with Elton John and Elvis Costello called Spectacle that ran around the world. And in the course of that, we partnered with a charity, Bono’s charity, Product Red. And the guy who was running that charity, and I, became very good friends. And we had this idea for basically a new type of social network that would be focused on cultural content. And I’d been reading about deep learning, and I was, you know, thankfully naive enough to not understand it hadn’t really worked in the wild, but it was largely being led out of Toronto by Geoffrey Hinton. One thing leads to another, decide to sell the law practice I had in the media company and go focus on this. My partner quit Product Red where he was the president, and we meet our third partner, Tomi Poutanen. And Tomi had studied with Geoff in the 90s before going and running search in the Valley at into me and Yahoo! And then became the ranking engine of Bing. The big breakthrough in AI wasn’t until 2012 when Geoff and two of his students won a Stanford competition that proved that deep learning was better than other approaches to image understanding. That was basically the moment that caused this boom that’s happened over the last decade. So we started off in our and our first hire was out of Geoff Hinton’s lab, and when we hired him, a lot of friends in tech said, Oh, you do not know what you’re doing. You have no product, you have no data. You do not hire the machine learning Ph.D. first. And our answer was, well, we’re going to architect a system that’s going to produce the signal for him to use. So that was really the genesis of my departure from law and going and doing an AI start up before modern AI worked.
Speaker 1 [00:15:47] Jordan, tell us a bit more about the Radical story. What inspired you to launch what you’ve now described as the world’s biggest AI VC firm?
Speaker 3 [00:15:55] Well, we had built and the AI Company, we had been spun out into a second company called Layer 6. We were ramping up in our sales and during the fundraise, a few things happened. One is we kept having successively higher offers for acquisition from a big tech company. And on the fifth offer, you know we had just again said to them go away without thinking about it. And they came back with a sixth offer. And I turned to my partner Tomi and said, you know Tomi we should talk about why we’re saying no instead of just saying no. So let’s think this through. And we came to a few conclusions. One is we really did believe then that AI would change everything. Second, the pan-Canadian strategy and the Vector Institute had been launched and we’d seen that it was winning talent and it was changing the conditions on the ground in Canada. Third, we realized there was no other VC in the Western world that was focused on AI. And then lastly, something really important happened which ties back to Cohere, which is we read a pre read of the Transformer paper. It Was written in 2017 by a group at Google Brain that included Aidan Gomez who’s now the CEO of Cohere. That paper was basically designing a new architecture for neural nets and we thought, this technology is going to get adopted quickly inside Google. It will probably take another five years to get adopted beyond Google. And then from that moment, it will be a ten year replacement cycle of all the software in the world. So we sold the company at the beginning of 2018, told the buyer, We’re going to go do this. When I left about six months later to launch Radical, we’ve been investing as angels for 70 years. At that point we had a little version of Radical, we were running on the side with our own money and some other individuals, but the first institutional fund was May of 2019, the US $325 million fund. We deployed into 27 companies in the first fund. Raised the new fund. It’s a $550 million fund. We’re now at about a billion US AUM. Our performance has been great, teams amazing. So, it’s been a fun ride. And then of course ChatGPT happens. ChatGPT came out exactly five years and two weeks after we had that prediction that it would take five years to get beyond Google. And what we’re seeing now is this adoption curve being straight up and into that ten year cycle of replacing all the software is happening probably at a faster cadence than we expected.
Speaker 1 [00:18:21] Some people look at that acceleration as a bit of a hype cycle. AI has been through cycles going back to the 70s and 80s. What makes this time different?
Speaker 3 [00:18:31] If you measure it in very short term, there’s too much hype. Medium and long term, I think it’s actually under hyped. People don’t understand how impactful this will be on our lives, on our health, on climate, on basically everything that you can think of that we do out there as humans and all these things we could never do before. So the reason it’s different is it works. What’s really interesting about the technology is all the things that people are not yet paying attention to. Designing molecules for material science to cure diseases. It can be creating new materials that we couldn’t create before or would take years to create that you can create now in a couple of hours. For energy, for aviation, all kinds of other applications. If you are an industrial company, you’re going to have AI that is in your factory assembly line monitoring the equipment and predicting where there’s going to be a breakdown before it happens. It’s going to supplement all of your back office functions for every business, whether it’s accounting software, HR software. So I would say every business is going to be touched by this because even if they’re not deploying it into the core of what their business is, their first thing, be using it in the back office functions because it’s just going to be part of the software suite. Anyone who’s got data, I think can deploy immediately, AI, or certainly over the next few years as the solutions get developed for their business.
Speaker 1 [00:19:49] Where there’s data, there should be AI. That’s a great, great message. Jordan, I want to take you back to 2018, because you said at the time that Canada was uniquely positioned to become a world leader in AI. Do you still believe that?
Speaker 3 [00:20:03] Yes. First of all, a lot of the stuff was invented here or by Canadians. So the research pedigree is elite in the world. And I think that first strategy that was called the pan-Canadian AI strategy, the government adopted in 2017 that we helped author, I think it has worked incredibly well in retaining talent and bringing in new talent. It’s not well recognized in Canada, but when you travel outside Canada, everyone says that strategy worked and that there’s now, I think, 40 plus countries that have emulated it, U.K., France, U.S., China. And I think that is the foundation for the ecosystem. The opportunity to then commercialize and build big companies around it is something that we have to do, it’s happening, but we have to continue to double down and do a better job of.
Speaker 1 [00:20:51] How do we do that at a high level? How do we have that mindset shift in business or in public sector organizations, hospitals, schools and other groups that could benefit from AI?
Speaker 3 [00:21:02] The first thing was we needed to have the practitioners, the researchers, the students you know, the profs, in proximity to businesses so that when businesses realize they need this stuff, they can go hire from down the street instead of having to recruit Google Brain or DeepMind across a continent or an ocean, because that’s really hard. So getting people who are local was important. So that, I would say, is largely solved as long as we continue to support those institutes and the development of that talent. Beyond that, Canadians are historically conservatives in adopting new technology. We’re laggards in spending on research and innovation inside corporations. The problem withAI is it’s very different. A.I. is basically learning software. And so when you deploy it, it starts to learn from your data as a company or your customer experiences, whatever way you’re deploying it. And it’s getting better and better and better. So if you are a company and your competitor is deployed AI and you haven’t, they’re not just pulling away, you know, in the number of months that they are ahead of you. It’s actually a curve and they’re pulling away faster and faster and faster. So how do we get people to adopt faster? You have to show them the return on investment for them doing it and what the benefits are to them in terms of their competition or avoiding disruption. But ideally, you want to show them how it makes them more money or saves them money. What we tend to find is that Canadian companies don’t like to buy until there’s a stamp of approval from the US. We have to change that mindset. We have to get Canadian companies willing to step out a little bit sooner. One party that could do that as a reference customer is the government. In truth, in technology, the US government is very involved and very often is the first buyer, whether it’s through DARPA or just becoming a customer and deploying things at scale. In Canada, we’re terrible at it. So I think the Canadian government being better at buying from Canadian companies. I’m not suggesting they buy stuff that is worse quality. I’m just saying they give it equal shake. Second, I think the government should develop incentives for Canadian companies to buy Canadian technology. So those are just two very quick things that I think can be done. There are others, too. Building capacity in compute. In order to build AI companies now you need access to massive compute. There’s much more demand then supply. The government could step in, for example, and be a bulk buyer on behalf of Canadian businesses. Government doesn’t have to spend in incremental dollars. It’s just fronting and being a guarantor of payments. So having the government as a guarantor of that in a bulk buyer I think gets better pricing and also guaranteed access for a country of Canada’s size. I think there’s there’s an advantage in having a bulk buying power for business and research.
Speaker 1 [00:23:58] Jordan, before we move to close, I want to talk about one more application, which is climate, and that’s going to be a special focus of disruptors this season, including the intersections of AI and climate. I wonder if you can share some insights on where you think AI can play a more constructive role in helping us take on the climate crisis with more urgency.
Speaker 3 [00:24:20] Yeah, I think it has to be a very important part of both addressing existing issues and also help improving things going forward. So we’ve invested in a couple of different satellite companies, one called Nuance Space. The first platform they’re building is for fire prediction and detection, early detection. Basically, they’ll put up a constellation of satellites around the world that’ll be able to detect forest fires before they get out of control. We invested in another company called Climate AI that predicts the weather and climate up to ten years in advance. So their first customers were in the food space, seed growers right through end users of the supply chain who can redistribute their food because they understand it’s going to be drier or wetter in a particular place. We are right in the middle of closing a deal right now with a company that is using AI to determine what existing materials can better do carbon capture at scale. And so that’s an interesting one because it has the chance to actually reverse the effects of climate change instead of just addressing the implications of climate change. So I think we’re going to see more and more of those kinds of companies, the ones that are trying to fix the problem, not just address the problems that already exist.
Speaker 1 [00:25:39] And what a great opportunity for Canada, given the strengths here in both AI and clean tech. So lots more to come on that. Jordan, last questio if we’re lucky enough to have you back on the podcast a year from now, what do you hope will have changed?
Speaker 3 [00:25:55] In Canada itself, I’d love to see faster adoption by companies and by governments of our local world leading AI solutions. There are some companies here that can become absolutely huge global champions. I’d really love to come back and be able to tell you we’re well on our way to a much faster adoption curve by Canadian businesses and government of this technology. I think it would be good all around for the economy. We should be one of the key pillars on earth when people think about where is AI built, based and growing. Canada should be among a couple of places in the world that are thought of that way. And we’re there, but we have to really double down on it.
Speaker 1 [00:26:33] What a great call to action. Passionate but focused. Jordan, thank you so much for being on Disruptors.
Speaker 3 [00:26:39] My pleasure. Thanks for having me.
Speaker 1 [00:26:43] There’s no doubt that this is the age of AI, and when Canada looks into the AI mirror, it’s critical that we do so through a human lens that is responsible and sustainable. The technology has incredible potential, as we’ve heard, to revolutionize health care delivery and diagnosis, transform supply chains and strengthen the pace of learning in schools and of course, improve the productivity in pretty much everything we do. AI can also help us tackle the bigger systemic challenges that we face as a country and as a world. Climate change, lagging economic growth, health care inequality, and so much more. The question isn’t can we do it? It’s, can we do it responsibly? And can we apply it fast enough to bring meaningful change when the world needs it? This season promises to be our best yet. We’ll be speaking with incredible innovators and disruptors with big and bold ideas who are already making waves across Canada and around the world. So be sure to follow us wherever you get your podcasts. And while you’re at it, why not leave us a review? We’d love to hear your thoughts. Until next time. I’m John Stackhouse and this is Disruptors, an RBC podcast. Talk to you soon.
Speaker 3 [00:28:01] Disruptors and RBC Podcast is created by the RBC Thought Leadership Group and does not constitute a recommendation for any organization, product or service. For more Disruptors content, visit RBC.com/disruptors and leave us a five star rating, if you like our show.
John Stackhouse [00:00:01] Hi, it’s John here. I hope you had a great summer. And what an epic, even historic summer it was.
SFX [00:00:07] More than 6,000 separate wildfires have burned all over the country.
John Stackhouse [00:00:13] Heat waves, wildfires, storms.
SFX [00:00:15] Canada has been overwhelmed.
John Stackhouse [00:00:18] It was like Mother Nature and Planet Earth were reminding us that, no matter where we are or what we do, the climate is changing profoundly. And the costs are growing. There was something else going on this summer that was also anything but natural. It was the explosion of ChatGPT. Now, Generative AI has been a thing for a while, but it was this summer that it really began to take hold. It feels like we’re on multiple collision courses as a society and this possible collision of climate and computing is what we’re going to explore on the upcoming season of Disruptors, an RBC podcast. We’ll ask “how can advanced technologies like ChatGPT help humanity but also help the planet?” I actually got thinking more about this during a double billing of Barbenheimer, that other great summer phenomenon. A lot’s been said about Barbie and Oppenheimer. But what I found kind of interesting was the existential tension between humans and technology in both films. As a species, we’ve long wrestled with the God complex and our ability to both create and destroy. We’re seeing that in climate, of course, and we may be seeing it in AI. But there’s also that constant human urge for progress. To not just build, but to share and nurture and grow. And we’re going to need a lot more of that for climate and for A.I. and for so much more. In AI, the race is on for supremacy in both adoption and regulation. Generative AI is a part of every business and sector. Large language models like GPT are already enabling the application of Einstein-level IQ at scale. And with investment increasing, regulators are confronting the challenge of how to slow AI’s rise. In climate, there are equal challenges and opportunities. We’re now a year into the age of the Inflation Reduction Act, when governments are spending record amounts and driving up regulation as well to accelerate climate action. Clean tech is taking center stage pretty much everywhere in the world. Countries are competing to dominate in batteries and EVs, leading critical minerals and safeguard domestic energy supplies. The future really is now. Here in Canada, the economy is thundering on as we confront the challenge of managing record population growth amid a historic housing shortage.
SFX [00:02:51] Canada hit a new milestone officially surpassing 40 million in population.
SFX [00:02:57] Chat about interest rate hikes, being able to afford housing has been on the top of everyone’s mind.
John Stackhouse [00:03:02] Our race to net zero is accelerating with Clean Electricity Regulations, record funding for decarbonization and incredible innovation in every sector. Companies and consumers, investors and innovators are all recognizing that we’ll need technology to ensure those investments advance progress in the way that policy won’t. As workers return to the office and students return to campuses and classrooms, Generative A.I. is arriving in full force to turn traditional ways of working and learning on their heads.
SFX [00:03:32] GPT, a search bot that responds with full text and analysis on a wide range of different topics.
SFX [00:03:40] Chat bots came out. Kids are wondering, “can I use this for homework?’ Teachers are wondering ‘how do I need to adjust my classroom now that this technology is out there?’
SFX [00:03:48] Because it’s really going to impact every industry from customer care, to transforming data centers on logistics, to medicine, to manufacturing, to energy, to the automotive industry, to aerospace communication.
John Stackhouse [00:04:01] So where does Canada fit in this age of disruption? We’re a podium nation in AI research, but can we use that to be a leader in AI applications? We’re a podium nation in energy systems. Can we use that to be a leader in energy transitions? We’re a podium nation in food production. Can we use that to be a leader in climate smart agriculture? Right now across Canada incredible innovators and disruptors are chasing these questions and we will spend the coming season chasing them for answers. So please join us for season seven of Disruptors, Canada’s leading business podcast coming this fall. Wherever you get your podcasts.
Speaker 1 [00:00:01] Hi. It’s John here. If you had to do a word cloud for 2022, I suspect talent and labor would somehow pop large. Everyone knows there are labor shortages out there, and every organization across Canada seems to be hunting for talent. And there are few avenues as promising for that as Canada’s international education system. I recently had the chance to sit down with Martin Basiri to talk about these things and more as part of the Business Higher Education Roundtable. That’s a group of business and post-secondary education leaders who are trying to build greater connections between employers and educators right across the country. Martin is co-founder and CEO of Kitchener, Ontario’s ApplyBoard. If you haven’t heard of a play board, it’s a great Canadian success story. It has an AI enabled software platform that lets students from around the world quickly identify and apply for university or college programs across North America, the UK and Australia. In seven years, Martin, who moved to Canada as a student from Iran, has grown apply board to more than 1500 employees and attracted more than $600 million in venture capital. In this special live edition of Disruptors. We tackle how Canada compares to other countries in building a pathway to citizenship for immigrants and especially those who come here as students, and how companies can do a better job of attracting and retaining this global talent. Martin is part of that story, so please have a listen. Martin, it’s great to be with you, as always. You helped us at RBC produce a report that was published a few weeks ago called Course Correction, that looked at the state of international students in Canada, not only from the perspective of the education system, but from the economy. I don’t think it’s widely known that about 20% of permanent residents now come through our school system, and that’s about double what it was a decade ago. This is 170,000 new Canadians a year are coming out of our post-secondary system. That’s extraordinary. It indexes even higher for STEM courses. So when we hear there’s demand for all sorts of STEM skills, it immediately points to the need for international students. You’re part of that story. Maybe you can just quickly kick us off with a sense of how you came to Canada as an international student.
Speaker 2 [00:02:24] Yeah. Thank you very much for having me here, everyone. This is my pleasure. I came to this beautiful country about 12 years ago. I grew up in a I don’t call it poor, but lower middle class family in Iran, where my parents were educator. And I wanted to just code and build software and hardware, and it wasn’t that much opportunity there. And I was building as much and University of Waterloo, like Vivek is here today. It gave me my life. It gave me a scholarship to come to Canada. And I only paid for my ticket. And, you know, I sold my car and I had $6,000 in my pocket. I came to this beautiful country and my aunt came to pick me up. And when we came out of Pearson and we were going north to Richmond Hill, I fell in love with Canada. I love everything and I have two younger brothers that I help by raising them was, Oh, I have to bring them here too. So right there I started like looking for ways how I bring them. Now, the problem is I don’t have money. They don’t have a scholarship. They didn’t think I had a lot of inventions or stuff in my high school and my bachelor, but they were in high school and so I found this way of bringing them to Canada. It was very creative, very cheap, and I convinced my parents to sell all of the retirement homes, whatever they saved in the life, with the hope that, oh yeah, don’t worry, they’re going to find jobs here and I’ll, I’ll support them anyway. When they came to Canada, it took about a year and now everyone wanted to know, how did we do that? And they became customers. And coming from not having money, it was the best thing. We were like, okay, sure, I’ll charge you and I help you as well to pay for their tuition fee. And so I’ve done it a little bit. Then I graduated, went to us just for paperwork because I wanted to start a company. But as international students, when you graduate, you can’t start a company that you’re you have to work for someone else. And I was like, if I have to work for someone else instead of I stay in Canada, let’s go to us. It’s a, you know, so I went there. Then naturally I went back to entrepreneurship. Now I’m in U.S. is stuck. I can’t come to Canada. My brothers in Canada, no, they graduated from college. They can’t come to us. So we’re like, okay, what do we do? Events back to helping other students get started, apply work. And this time we were like, whatever we were doing, manually coded, recoded, and we put all of the admission information of universities and colleges in one algorithm, and it does something like a, like a book income. So it just comes out. For example, I’m from Nigeria, this is my credential and it is how much money I have. I want to study business, maybe Saskatchewan, maybe for example, Windsor. It shows exactly what the university or college, what program they offer. But the deadline was a payment, everything. And they can apply to all of them with one application right now is also does it for US universities, Australian universities and UK universities. And it started working. Then the University of Waterloo again came to our rescue, helped us out. We gave us free office at Velocity. We’re very thankful for that and we stayed there 2015 for about a year. Then we became 20 people. They kick us off. So go graduates, go find your own office and then then apply. We’re like, we went and we it took four years to get to the point that we can raise institutional money. It was so hard. And then after that, life got a little easier for our money point of view, but harder from a responsibility point of view. So right now we help, I think, 425,000 students. So far, of course, not all of them are getting Visa for Canada, US, UK and Australia. We vote for about 90% of universities and colleges. So I think almost everyone except one university here we work with and is a very hard problem. Very challenging. Which is good because it’s always like some problem to solve.
Speaker 1 [00:06:41] Is amazing story and congratulations on on your success although I think you’re just getting going. Remarkable. You’ve built in seven years. We wanted to have this conversation not only just to hear your story, but you’ve got a great window on what’s going on in the world and where international students are coming from, where they’re going, and what some of the challenges are in between as we come into a new school year in the fall. Now, what are you seeing out there in the world?
Speaker 2 [00:07:09] So let’s look at Canada as a as a company. So we are only as good as our people. Our fertility rate is 1.47 means we are not replacing our population. We are in huge deficit for about 50 years and it’s just getting worse is not coming back up. So if you rely on immigration, normally we bring people in their thirties as a skilled immigrant, a better ways to bring people for international students when they come. And they they’re normally in their twenties. They adopted a country of ours. And by the way, they’re more likely to have children because they come at that earlier stage, which is good, because we want as a country to be sustainable. We don’t want to always rely on one generation immigrants. We want bring them earlier to be sustainable. So it’s an amazing fact. And also international students and work people who we bring with work, they’re double more productive to economy than a normal immigrant. So perfect. International student is what we have to like work. But what we need to do, we need to make our government, our job market and our universities all align. So we have to see what do we need in terms of different areas in labor market in, for example, 2030 and after then work backward universities teach those ones and government incentivized do the right incentivize. So what we see government done, beautiful government of Canada done beautiful. They came with this idea of what if we give every single international students postgraduate work permit three years. You started two year of college or two year of university. They give it to you, boom. And that’s why Canada became almost the first thing it was at the same time that in UK conservatives came. So Theresa may thank the UK numbers Australia. It was Indian government to start having tension with Australian governments. So the students start coming and then of a boom. It started from when Donald Trump got elected because everyone now we are the only country that everyone come. And Canada, we went to that beautiful growth. And then what happened is gentlemen from UK, which by the way is working with apply for right now George Johnson is a younger brother of Boris Johnson said oh let’s copy Canada so they have now for year for graduate or fair mate and UK start booming but what a what a very big difference. And then so UK it started going up from 2019. They achieved their 11 year target of 600,000 international students from 237,000 in less than three years during pandemic years. So to give you like she was talking about the time of visa right now an average visa has taken four months in Canada. The diversity of markets, six months. Think about if you want to show up in fall semester, you need to have your visa already for 1st of March university. Sometimes don’t even open their acceptance till then. How can you already applied? So what does it mean? Means uncertainty of visa, uncertainty of time. So what is happening right now? UK and Australia is cooking all of the best talents. So the top talents are not coming to Canada. So we should expect to see more suffering happening in U15.
Speaker 1 [00:10:37] So we’re still getting the numbers in aggregate, but the quality is is changing.
Speaker 2 [00:10:41] Quality changing and you will see more of a more shift. So right now, colleges are about 50% body of the all international students, universities are only 25%. You will see more of that going to the colleges. So more and more, we see universities come down, colleges go up, and the total, the quality also go down. Even though Canada is the cheapest among just four countries, we are the cheapest. We have the safest. But it is funny because we have this metric in Norway, all the universities, the colleges want diversity. And in India we have this pin drop area that they’re historically very tied with Canada and they always want to come together. And it’s unbelievable. Even from Punjab area, the top of the funnel is weakening. Even Panjab students who are, of course, in friends, family, everyone here in Canada, they don’t want to come here anymore. Why not? Because first four months wait for a visa, which means you already have loan or where your money is taught for months and months. Second, even the minister himself or the most expert Irctc members sit down here and you give them the best students they can say if these are students, get visa or not complete is objective. There is no rule. We sent to exact same students. Sisters. One girl. Grade 11, one grade 12. Going to the exact same high school, same. That same high school from Iran. One of them in four days got the visa. One of them is seven months, got rejection.
Speaker 1 [00:12:17] Photos and to Canada.
Speaker 2 [00:12:18] Yeah. So what does it mean? Is like one of them went to one office or the other one went to another officer. So when is unpredictable then? The visa rates are either 48% or if you are a top talent visa rate of your case, 99%. Visa rate of Canada is 48%. Why would you put your life and everything one year, one and half year of your life to maybe you come over there? And this is a stat that shocked everybody. 80% of the visas in UK are done under five days. 80%. We are average four months right now and the other 20%, you may say, okay, so the other 20%, how long does it take is an average 16 days. So they’re the this to this is 16 days.
Speaker 1 [00:13:08] Or is this four months?
Speaker 2 [00:13:09] So Australia now came they gave the visa fee their first. Even Western Australia government is incentivize recruiters in other countries they pay them commission to send them as students and they have the cheapest. UK is about 50% on average more expensive. Australia is about 70% more expensive. So people are going to more expensive destinations. And unfortunately what was our mode which took us. It got copied and they just made it better. You committed for years. Now Australia can with six years postgraduate work permit and said oh if you study a stem that I need or health care I give you six years. So now you are a student. You are comfortable as you can go anywhere in the world, no longer bored. You can go to UAE, you can go to a Singapore visa. The UAE right now is under 30 days there, like zero income tax. Come here. Why should you come to Canada, if you may, after a year and a half, you may at 48% get a visa.
Speaker 1 [00:14:18] One of the challenges we may not appreciate in this country is that the past decade of international student flows is not going to be what the next decade looks like. We in Canada relied heavily on Chinese students and that worked very well. There was a system and culture that worked exceedingly well for a lot of Canadian schools, as well as the students gone, as you say now we’re heavily reliant on India as a primary source of students. That’s starting to face challenges. Do you want to share some insights into what you’re seeing from the Indian market?
Speaker 2 [00:14:48] Yeah. And 23rd of September, the foreign minister, the foreign affairs minister of India issued an official notice that Canada is now no longer safe and they see hate and crime is exactly what happened 11 years ago. 50% of our total international students coming from India, we are too reliant on one country. And on top of that, 66% of colleges and universities and if you look at trends, is not like diversity to get better, diversity get worse. Two out of three students that go into our colleges can vanish and it it vanished in Australia. So here’s a difference between international students and something like banks or a SAS product. SAS product, you get someone, you have them for years to keep using your software. International students, you can be the top today every year you need to find newest do this next year all can go so our entire sector not only we didn’t build diversity right now UK if you relax there are international students and three years of pandemic when we went down and we still don’t know if we should give them online or offline, they went from 37,000 217,000 international students from India. As you guys know, China since 2017. Then Canada and China, they have tension is just on decline. You 15 going to hurt to the most because they’re especially non undergrad they rely on the Chinese students they priced it up so much that only Chinese and Korean, Japanese, all three of them vanished. The only other students that they were going was Saudi Arabia. That what happens with Saudi Arabia, that sector 90% vanished. 90% of US students vanished overnight.
Speaker 1 [00:16:40] Many of these challenges are solvable. Let’s start with the the visa challenge, because in some ways this is what apply board solved for a similar challenge. It’s technology and and matching systems. What can we do quickly to reduce the visa stress?
Speaker 2 [00:16:57] Put the responsibility on universities, colleges and the sector same way that works in UK and say that work in Australia. So what they do they say. University so right now so let’s say I’m a university I can give anyone a letter of acceptance. I don’t bear any responsibility. If they get my acceptance, they come and they don’t show up. In fact, majority of universities don’t even report to government if their student showed up or not. I don’t bear any responsibility for their students. Have money or not. Nothing because the government don’t ask them. Of course, no one take responsibility for something that they are not asked for. But let’s look at the UK and Australia. Universities are responsible to check so many things like financial interview with students, integrity of students, everything and government become like a randomly check a student and they say University, be careful, you should not have more than 10% rejection. You need to tell me every single semester if the students attending your school or not. Can you believe we have 330,000 students we bring to the country? No. University? No. How many students got their visa? How many students got visa with their acceptance? Nor the government know how many of this the students are actually studying. So the solution is what Minister Champagne said on the when we met said Don’t come to government with your problem, come, come to government. The solution is us. You and universities go to government said this is the solution. Please use it and let us take some of that burden from you because government right now they’re saying the reason that you have delay is there are so much of checks they have to do their fraud and we don’t have enough labor in place to do that. So that’s phase one just to solve to the problem.
Speaker 1 [00:18:44] So let’s let the schools take responsibility for the students.
Speaker 2 [00:18:47] Not only as schools, as schools, banks and private companies and all the middlemen, whoever is doing the test companies, the test of language like a tougher party. And it’s those companies that they administer this test. They have to take responsibility. Everyone makes them responsible. And it very simple, like, for example and by the way, we have all the technology for it in Canada. It’s funny like apply, but we are a Canadian company and we are like a product of this. We have the technology universities have the manpower universities already checking the transcript of the students why someone else should exactly do the same job, you know.
Speaker 1 [00:19:25] So it sounds simple. Why? Why isn’t it happening?
Speaker 2 [00:19:29] Maybe one is like, first, that shift of mindset of come to government, the solution of the problem. I think we as a sector, we are always like raising the problems we never got together of say, hey, let’s ten of us solve something and go. And it has worked before like we have done is here see I can they provided pilots that now is permanent. Right. So we know it’s possible. I think one of them is on us that we have to get united together and go. The other thing is on government, I think our government is our government is and they do have to like be more accessible to the sector to listen to them and provide things like during the pandemic, we see how much their delays cost. Our data shows that on average, around 30% of us students who are supposed to start fall semester, they didn’t get their visa. And I’m pretty sure all of you guys are have that problem 30%. And the funny is majority of universities and colleges try to say mandated I only going to do in-class not going to do it online and by September 1st 30% of us do the law show of what should we do okay online again and they have problem with the academy teachers and everything else.
Speaker 1 [00:20:49] We’ve got just a couple of minutes left to if we can resolve these challenges and pain points. What are the bigger issues that Canada needs to think about in the decade ahead in terms of maintaining our leading position when it comes to international students?
Speaker 2 [00:21:03] Yes, we need to align what business at the end of this story. As in Canada, we want top talent and as universities we want our alumni to be fine. Very successful drives right now. Great that we bring a lot of STEM students, but that’s not enough. Like we bring 52% of our students are studying business. They’re only 20% of the jobs are business. That sounds right. We need to create way more software developers and way less project management. I can’t call head of nursing of Ontario, but you guys can’t. We need to push them so you can have. Nursing student hundred 10,000 health care need right now in Canada 12% of job can you if we don’t have nurses, we’re going to die. If you go to a hospital, I go to a hospital. We’re going to solve this. And not only that. Also, we need to like push on blue collar workers. Now, you remember they’re talking about we don’t have truck drivers. We don’t have people like do piping hatchback has a huge shortage in things and colleges are perfectly established to to create trades. But trades, we are very behind. And I think Canada can be the leader on that. That’s second. Third. We should do what worked. We should be takes like for example if you go right now computer science you 15. We should give them six years postgraduate work permit. Why should we give them same advantage if they got a two year college of study, for example, business or their studies four or five years for computer science that we know the society need or nursing so we can incentivize them for Canada need. The good news is the three database that we’ve done that the study we know exactly with a very good accuracy what Canada needs in 2030 every year. So we know what is the need of Manitoba in 2030. These are the jobs so we can work backward. The schools in Manitoba teach this and then alumni become more successful.
Speaker 1 [00:23:14] All of these challenges come down to information flows between students, educators, governments, employers. What’s just as we wrap up. What are the one or a couple of things that Canada can do to elevate our game in terms of sharing information and using technologies like you’re developing?
Speaker 2 [00:23:33] I think our brand is everything we’ve seen on us. How brand is matter. So does it matter? You are the you could be the biggest economy in the world. If you feel if people feel unsafe or unwelcome, they don’t come. And we took advantage of during these years, all these talented people came to Canada. It was because us was unsafe or unwelcomed. The biggest asset of Canada is our brand for safety. So right now, when India last week said, oh, Canada is not safe for Indian students, very valid response. There was a couple of videos. They’re sending visuals right away. React to the students. The market can shift overnight. We should react. Is that. No, they’re welcome. And in fact, we want them here. They’re going to be CEOs of companies. They’re going to be the head of ITC of the companies. They’re going to be the nurses. They’re going to be successful people. We need to as a sector and this is not on government. I think it’s on us. Every of us have to take responsibility. And one other thing, if I add at the end of the story. What applied to exist for and what the universities and colleges exist for. We are all here to serve as students, to educate the board, and I think we have to understand international students is extremely lucrative business. But at the end of the story, it’s a business for educating the world. So if you have a greater responsibility to making sure every single of those students are successful in their lives.
Speaker 1 [00:24:57] It’s a competitive in an increasingly competitive world, especially in in education. And Canada needs to be more ambitious. That’s one of the messages you’re saying and you. Martin, reflect that ambition. You’re a great Canadian story. But when Martin saw the ads, just to give you a sense of his ambition, when he saw the RBC boardroom, he said, I’m going to have a board table bigger than that, apply board.
Speaker 2 [00:25:21] So you.
Speaker 1 [00:25:24] May have a buyer.
Speaker 2 [00:25:25] Hundred thousand to get through the fair.
Speaker 1 [00:25:28] But that kind of ambition is great to see so alive and well in the country. Martin, thanks for being part of the conversation.
Speaker 2 [00:25:36] Thank you for having me. Thank you. Thank you so much.
Speaker 1 [00:25:43] That was Martin Basiri, co-founder and CEO of ApplyBoard. Thanks to Martin for sharing his inspiring story with our listeners. Stay tuned for our upcoming special three part series called The Growing Challenge. In it, we explore how Canada can lead the world in food production using cutting edge technologies, data systems and smart thinking to help feed a growing and divided world and do so sustainably. You won’t want to miss it. Until then, I’m John Stackhouse, and this is Disruptors, an RBC podcast. Talk to you soon.
Speaker 3 [00:26:17] Disruptors, an RBC podcast is created by the RBC Thought Leadership Group and does not constitute a recommendation for any organization, product or service. It’s produced and recorded by JAR Audio. For more disruptors content, like or subscribe wherever you get your podcasts and visit rbc dot com, slash disruptors.
Speaker 1 [00:00:00] Hi. It’s John here.
Speaker 2 [00:00:02] And it’s Theresa.
Speaker 1 [00:00:03] Theresa? When I think back, way back to my childhood, there’s a saying I seem to remember hearing a lot, which was waste not want not. In fact, it seemed to be a daily message at the dinner table that scraps of food could be much better used elsewhere in the world if we kids didn’t appreciate them.
Speaker 2 [00:00:22] Yeah. And I mean, the numbers are shocking, John. According to the Boston Consulting Group, about one third of the world’s food is lost or wasted every year. And the UN’s Food and Agriculture Organization estimates everything that’s lost or wasted is enough to feed one and a quarter billion hungry people each year. But before we go any further, it’s worth clarifying some terms. Food loss is something that happens at harvest or soon. After all, food waste happens after the food reaches retailers or consumers. And so if we eliminated both food loss and waste, so many hungry people would be fed, which is especially important given how many people are facing food insecurity.
Speaker 1 [00:01:00] Plus, there’s a huge opportunity to reduce greenhouse gas emissions if we can reduce these totals because food loss and waste create 12 megatons of emissions every year across Canada, landfills are literally filling up with food. Metro Vancouver, to take just one example, estimates that up to 30% of the garbage sent to landfills is organic waste.
Speaker 2 [00:01:21] Canada is among the worst countries on the planet when it comes to food waste. Not so fun. Fact Did you know that the average Canadian household throws out a staggering 79 kilograms per year? That’s compared to 59 kilos in the U.S., according to the UN’s Food Waste Index Report. But businesses have a part to play to. More than a quarter of all food waste comes from restaurants, while 13% comes from retailers.
Speaker 1 [00:01:46] It’s a massive issue throughout the food system, but there are some elegant solutions emerging from the farmer’s field to the grocery store to our plates. And each of these solutions has the potential to reduce loss and waste and reduce harmful greenhouse gas emissions throughout the system. And that’s what’s on our table today. This is Disruptors, an RBC podcast. I’m John Stackhouse.
Speaker 2 [00:02:17] And I am friend Theresa Do. Welcome to the final installment in a special three part series that we’re calling The Growing Challenge. And it we’re exploring how Canada can lead the world in clean, green agriculture using cutting edge technology, data systems and smart thinking to increase yields while reducing our environmental impact. Last week we talked about some of the technological solutions aimed at reducing emissions on Canada’s beef and dairy farms. But the issue of food waste and food loss is arguably an even bigger challenge to be solved. After all, the less we waste, the more resources we save, the fewer emissions we put into our atmosphere and the better able we are to feed a growing planet. In the first episode of this series, we introduced you to Sonja, who she’s a managing partner at Boston Consulting Group, who is investigating this vital question How can Canada produce more food while slashing GHG emissions in the process? As Sonja explains, the twin issues of food waste and food loss have to be central to that discussion. Food waste is something that actually happens all across the value chain, from everywhere, from production, all the way to the food that we waste at home. And that makes up about 10% or so of the agricultural emissions.
Speaker 1 [00:03:36] That’s a significant number. But I also wanted to know how much food, waste and loss happens at each stage of the value chain, from producer to retailer to consumer.
Speaker 2 [00:03:45] A good chunk of that comes from the on farm production. So what happens is farmers will actually grow food that is just not for whatever reason harvested or if it’s harvested, it may just not be brought to market. Then that happens for many reasons, including labor challenges. There may be fluctuations and variability in prices in the market, or there just may not be a market for the farmers to sell into. So it’s actually more cost effective for them to just leave the food there and there aren’t any penalties for doing so in terms of processing and manufacturing. Now mostly we’re pretty efficient at food processing, but there are byproducts of processing. So as we make food, things that come off that could potentially be leveraged because there’s still sort of food stock, but they may not be today. So that’s another source of waste. And then really the big chunk of waste. So, you know, close to 40% or so will be from sort of what we think of as restaurants, grocery stores, and then ultimately consumers at home. And that’s everything ranging from, you know, if you just think about the food that you’re leaving on your plate when you go out or when you’re at an event and there’s the buffet that set up, you know, not all of that food gets eaten. It gets thrown out to the food that just goes bad in our refrigerators because we bought too much or we didn’t get around to eating it. John This gets back to that saying you mentioned off the top waste not want not all that food we buy at the grocery store or in a restaurant that never gets eaten. And that 40% number that Sonia mentioned, it’s seared into the minds of many of those who work with food day in and day out. Like our next guest. Hi, Meeru Dalwala. I’m the co-owner and chef of Veggies Restaurant here in Vancouver as well. I am the founder of my Banbury Organic Baby Foods Meeru, along with her ex-husband Vikram, which runs one of Canada’s most acclaimed Indian restaurants. Mira is a child of immigrants, and her upbringing has shaped her entire attitude towards food waste. So Mom and Dad grew up in refugee camps in Old Delhi because of the war of partition, and so it was a little bit more direct for me growing up. We weren’t allowed to waste food. We could we could do a lot of other things. I remember I shoplifted once at the age of ten and I got in trouble for shoplifting. It was candy bars because we weren’t allowed to eat candy bars, but I got in less trouble for shoplifting. Then I would get in trouble for not finishing my dinner. This is super relatable as a child of refugees myself, not wanting to waste food is related to living with a scarcity mindset. You don’t waste food because you can’t afford to, and if you do, it means you’re depriving your family or your future self of nutrition, which risks your ability to survive another day. So I can very much understand why Mira takes the issue of food waste so seriously, as do many of the people she works with. We had a restaurant in Seattle called Shana Restaurant from December 2012, all the way through to 2015. And half of my kitchen staff I hired, they were refugees from Ethiopia and Eritrea, and the other half were new immigrants from India, all women on opening night. From my point of view, it was a fantastic evening. And then at around 12:30 a.m. I found my Ethiopian and Eritrean staff by the Compost and they were pulling out all this meat, all this meat going to the trash. And I said, It’s the compost. And they said, No, compost is trash. I don’t see any goats eating this right. We don’t see any cows eating this. They were tearfully indignant. Then I looked in it to. Well, there’s a lot of lamb popsicles in there. It was uneaten. I can’t even just jump in here. LAMB Popsicles are one of Mira and breadcrumbs, signature dishes, fresh cut racks of lamb with vinaigrette, cream sauce. That sounds so good. Honestly, finding those in a compost bean would seem like some kind of environmental food crime. And that’s when I looked at that and I thought, how must this look to people coming from? And we all know about the history of famine in Ethiopia and Eritrea. And I that’s when I thought, oh, this is just I’m so embarrassed at all levels. But at that point, I was more morally embarrassed for is now it’s not just about pointing your finger now. It’s just a logical climate change issue as well.
Speaker 1 [00:08:09] That’s a profound story, Teresa. And being confronted with our own waste by people who have seen famine up close. It’s a real wake up call.
Speaker 2 [00:08:17] Very true. So Muro says that she is very committed to reducing food waste and also to solving foods, climate challenges in terms of emissions. She thinks that part of the problem lies in the fact that consumers have trouble connecting the dots between food waste and climate change. It’s an out of sight, out of mind situation. Maybe it’s because we don’t see the visual of it getting wasted. Maybe because right now we’re not feeling the impact of food waste in terms of climate change. Maybe we just need it, for lack of a better phrase, thrown in our face. The obviousness of we’re thinking about how do we cut down our carbon footprint? But maybe food is so cheap that we’re not thinking about the fact that when you buy that steak or you’re buying that chicken in the store, a lot of fossil fuels have already gone into putting it there in the supermarket. The plastic wrap on the chicken is there, the raising of the chicken, the fertilizer, the feed, the pollution going into the river, transporting it. Then we’re purchasing that chicken. It sits in our full fridge and then we realize, Oh, the best before date was two days ago. Then we’re worried about getting food sick and then we actually toss the chicken.
Speaker 1 [00:09:31] So maybe there are some ways to address that in the grocery store. Things like labeling the detail, the carbon footprint of that package of chicken breasts to use mirrors. Example, if you gave an indication of how far that chicken has traveled from farmer to grocer, it might help build awareness right at the point of sale. But how does that awareness then translate into the restaurant environment? How do you reduce waste there when the order of the day is giving customers what they want? Here’s Meru again.
Speaker 2 [00:09:59] We restauranteurs. The smaller we are, the more efficient we tend to be with our money is tighter, right? The smaller you are, the less staff you have, the tighter you have to be. We’re pretty consistent at veggies, so that really helps the restaurant. When you are consistent, when you know, okay, we’re going to do approximately within $500 or within $1,000. We’re going to do this much business on a particular night. It’s a lot easier for us at the restaurant. We can choose what we want to purchase and get deliveries and things done. So on the back side of the kitchen, we have minimal, minimal food waste at the restaurants. Our food waste comes from the customer point of view. Now, that’s a hard one because in the past 15 years, maybe even 20 years, the U.S. and Canada, we’re competing with these big corporations, with all you can eat for 699. And people are expecting this bang for their buck when they go to the restaurant. And especially for us during tourist season in the summertime, there is this preconceived notion that Indian food is like an all you can eat buffet. That really resonates with me, John. Every time I travel, especially to the U.S., but really all across North America, I can’t help but notice how big portions have become.
Speaker 1 [00:11:14] For some reason, many consumers have come to value quantity over quality. When it comes to dining out, it’s something Miro thinks about a lot.
Speaker 2 [00:11:22] I have been working a lot in the past couple of years of trying to figure out how do I do it? That the customer is paying what the customer should pay for the food. But the food isn’t cheap enough subliminally to that customer that they have no problem leaving an entire lamb popsicle on their plate or asking for more naan and more rice and then just leaving that rice and not on the plate. We actually look at our compost every single night to determine, just to have a look at it and just say, okay, this is what customers today wasted.
Speaker 1 [00:11:54] Have you tried scolding your customers the way your parents did?
Speaker 2 [00:11:57] Well, Vikram is pretty good at that. Finish your plate. But customers don’t mind being teased about, you know, what they’re wearing. But morally, it’s hard to tease the customer.
Speaker 1 [00:12:07] So instead of teasing or scolding customers, Mira and Vikram try to educate them about food waste for some of their charity fundraising dinners, for example. Mira uses ingredients from a nonprofit in Vancouver, the Food Starch Foundation. It collects so-called rescue food from local grocery stores and.
Speaker 2 [00:12:23] At the very end when I announced that you just ate a meal prepared from rescued food and even rescued food. I don’t like that word because it has like some charitable component to it. You get very high quality food that grocery stores deemed not worthy to sell anymore because of this best before date or because it didn’t look the way a consumer wants it to look. And thankfully, I got it. I was able to host a fundraiser. You were able to experience what this food is. I mean, it’s great to see the look on their faces.
Speaker 1 [00:12:59] I’ll bet they’re a little surprised, but also impressed. Emmy RU hopes it causes people to really think about their habits.
Speaker 2 [00:13:05] We need to change our eating when we go to restaurants and we need to change our purchasing. When we go to the grocery stores, we need to become a little bit smarter and wiser about how we purchase food and our fears of getting sick. As Mira says, we need to change how we eat and go to restaurants, and we need to change how we shop when we go to grocery stores. But of course, there’s another critical player in this revolution, and that’s the producer who supplies those restaurants and stocks, those store shelves.
Speaker 3 [00:13:35] I’m Randy Huffman and the chief food safety and sustainability officer at Maple Leaf Foods.
Speaker 1 [00:13:40] Maple Leaf Foods is one of Canada’s largest and oldest food producers. Dating way back to 1927 and as a food producer. Maple Leaf knows full well that its activities have a significant carbon footprint. But Randy Huffman told us that Maple Leaf is also aiming to become, quote, the most sustainable protein company on earth. And a key ingredient in that plan is cutting its own food waste in half.
Speaker 3 [00:14:03] Back in about 20 1415, we began to set long term environmental footprint goals focused on how our operations impact our utility usage, such as natural gas, electricity and water. But we also recognized the importance of food loss back in 2014, and we set a goal to reduce our impact, to reduce the amount of food loss and waste from our manufacturing system by 50% by 2025. That was a goal, we said, based on a baseline in 2016. Since 2016, we’ve accomplished a 36% reduction in food loss and waste in our system. So we’re on track to meet our target of a 50% reduction by 2025. We’ve got work to do, but we feel confident we’ll hit that.
Speaker 1 [00:14:49] Of course, targets are great, but implementing those changes on a tight timeline is another matter. I asked Randy how he’s planning to achieve this audacious net zero goal, and specifically what role food waste plays in the effort.
Speaker 3 [00:15:03] The products that we produce have a very defined shelf life, and depending on the category, it can be from, you know, a week or two of salable shelf life to several months. But in all cases there’s an end to the life of that product. So probably the most meaningful approaches that we can take to ensure that the product maintains its quality and maintains its quality characteristics and consumer acceptability throughout the shelf life have to do with improving our hygienic conditions in our facilities. So improving the microbiological status of foods that we produce. And we’ve made dramatic strides in that. Second, we packaging the technologies and the ways that we packaged foods today compared to five, ten, 20 years ago, is is dramatically improved. And so packaging can play a role in improving the quality of the product through the consumer’s use of that product.
Speaker 2 [00:15:59] Essentially, he’s saying that quality foods, cleaner facilities and better packaging make food last longer. That all checks out because the longer food lasts, the less likely it is to get thrown out. But there must be some waste that occurs in other areas of Maple Leafs production process, right?
Speaker 1 [00:16:15] There is. That’s why it’s often called shrinkage in the retail world. When something falls off a conveyor belt and onto the floor, for instance, it gets deemed unfit for human consumption. It has to be thrown out. But as Randy says, through regular food and waste audits at its plants, Maple Leaf has been able to tighten its production processes and reduce some of that shrinkage.
Speaker 3 [00:16:35] Those audits continue every year, and they identify best practices or engineering changes that we can make to our equipment that reduce the amount of loss that occurs in the system that Maple Leaf Foods were big believers in. You manage what you measure. That that concept and principle helps us strive for improvements. One example that comes to mind is very simple mechanical approaches to preventing product from falling off of a conveyor. Let’s say once we started measuring this, it became more important to our teams. And then we began to address, well, how can we create that guarding on that conveyor to be more effective and not have that inch gap where food can fall through?
Speaker 2 [00:17:21] One thing I thought was interesting in our conversation with Randy was how he highlighted generational changes in the reasons why food gets wasted. He says, For one thing, we’re much more conscientious these days about spoilage.
Speaker 3 [00:17:33] In the past, food spoilage was a much larger contributor to waste, and my parents grew up in the Depression era. My dad on a dairy farm. And now when it comes to assessing whether or not deli meat is safe to consume, my mom, she would say, never eat slippery me how we think about freshness and shelf life and quality of food products today. I know many consumers are driven by what’s on the label, the use by date. In fact, our food systems have become so efficient at producing food that it has a long shelf life and it has technology over the course of history. Recent history has led to dramatic improvements in the life of the foods that we consume. Yet we still have a major problem.
Speaker 1 [00:18:17] It’s an interesting observation, Teresa. In the past, food got wasted due to things like poor refrigeration or production processes. But back then, consumers valued food, especially during economic crises like the Great Depression, when there was so much scarcity. Canadians waste more than 50 million tons of food. Every year. This suggests that the source of the problem lies at least partly in the attitudes of consumers.
Speaker 3 [00:18:40] I think prior generations, our parents generations were much more cognizant of the value of food and were less tolerant of approach we have today where, you know, there’s just not as much appreciation for the value of food and what goes into getting it to a consumer’s home. I think back in those days, people were much more aware of that and reducing food loss in the home.
Speaker 2 [00:19:03] It’s true, although I do have to wonder about the impact inflation is having. Food may be relatively cheap compared to historical highs, but it’s getting more expensive by the day. Data released by Statistics Canada this fall suggests the price of food purchased from stores is now rising at its fastest pace since 1981, up more than 11% year over year. You have to think that maybe those increases will force consumers to be smarter about what they buy and don’t buy. And to that point, John, who better to ask than somebody from Canada’s top grocery chain? Stick around for that conversation and more right after this short break. You’re listening to Disruptors an RBC podcast. I’m Theresa Do. I’d like to share with you our latest Proof Point report from RBC Economics and thought leadership that dives into Canada’s provincial finances. All provinces from coast to coast have recently recorded surprisingly high revenues, thanks in part to elevated commodity prices and soaring inflation. But how long will this revenue windfall last? We predict that the looming economic downturn and higher interest rates will soon tip the scale for provincial governments. To learn more, visit RBC E-commerce Thought Leadership. Welcome back to the third and final episode in our special series on the future of Canadian Agriculture, The Growing Challenge. Today, we’re looking at the issue of food waste from several different perspectives, from the role played by consumers to producers to restaurateurs and retailers. We just heard from Randy Huffman of Maple Leaf Foods, who told us about how Canada’s leading food producer is reducing waste and loss throughout its production system, thanks to data driven decision making and cutting edge technology. But remember that stat Sonja, who from BCG shared with us that 40% of waste comes from a further down the food chain from restaurants, grocery stores and ultimately consumers at home. While this means that grocery stores in particular have a vital role to play in helping to move the needle.
Speaker 3 [00:21:12] My name is Kevin Groh. I head up an area called Corporate Affairs for Loblaw Companies Ltd.. And Corporate Affairs is really the company’s relationship and communication with stakeholders right across the spectrum. So from the people we work with, to the folks in our stores, to suppliers, governments, communities, and that’s an increasingly tightly connected activity to the things we’re doing around the environment, fighting climate change and also priorities around advancing social equity.
Speaker 1 [00:21:43] Kevin says grocery stores are in a unique position to gauge changing consumer choices about climate change and sustainability. Everything from how we shop, whether it’s in-store or online to what we buy organic vegan, gluten free meat or dairy to how those items are sourced are all part of the food shopping equation. As the Loblaw Group of companies moves to become a net zero operation. Kevin says they’re looking at the many ways they can reduce waste in stores and throughout the supply chain.
Speaker 3 [00:22:12] As we look at our company purpose. We talk about helping Canadians live life well. And it’s really evident how you might do that if you’re Loblaw and you operate the largest chain of both corporately owned and independent grocery stores across Canada and also the Shoppers Drug Mart chain. So we came up with five crisp commitments. One is to fight climate change and the other is to advance social equity. And beneath those are really specific goals and activities around. On the climate side, bringing our carbon footprint to zero, getting to net zero greenhouse gas emissions position and then food waste are. Our goal is really simple, which is we want to send zero food waste to landfill by 2030 and all of those things we believe link back to helping Canadians live life well. The interesting thing is many of them intersect. So if you look at carbon, for instance, we want to have a net zero carbon footprint within. That is certainly going to be consideration of food waste and the negative impact that food waste going to landfill has on the environment. Similarly, on some of the commitments we’ve made around social interests, namely the health and wellness of families, there is a very direct connection between food waste and that category of social equity, which is think it’s morally offensive that businesses or people are throwing out food that can be otherwise consumed, particularly when we have levels of food insecurity like we do in Canada.
Speaker 2 [00:23:41] That last point. Food insecurity is a really important one, John. When we talked with Sonja from BCG, she told us a shocking fact. Nearly 16% of households in Canada were food insecure in 2021. That means that nearly one in six Canadians doesn’t have access to enough safe and nutritious food to meet their daily needs. And the soaring cost of food isn’t helping. But Kevin says a food waste for grocers is also a sign of a business that’s not running particularly well.
Speaker 3 [00:24:12] I guess if you look at food waste, fundamentally, you could almost say that that the existence of food waste is a business failure for a grocer. So if you talk to ten grocers about the idea of food waste, most of them will start with the statement, something like, you know, we’re in the business of selling food, not throwing it out. Many years ago, we met internally and actually met with others in the industry to wrestle the challenge of food waste and the fact that, you know, it’s not only morally objectionable, but from a business perspective, the less food waste we create, the better our business is running. And in those conversations, we took a baseline of our food waste from 2016 and said that we would cut it in half by 2025. And we came out of the gates really, really strong. And within a matter of a couple of years, I think we had cut our food waste by about 75% in our corporate stores. Those are the ones we effectively own and operate that aren’t independently run. And it was a really great achievement. And it it sort of gave us the ambition of saying, you know what, we’re going to up the goal and we’re going to say by 2030, we will be sending no food waste to landfill.
Speaker 1 [00:25:19] And that’s where innovation comes into play. Loblaw has partnered with a wide variety of startups delivering tech solutions. To the food waste challenge and to research. There are innovations that provide benefits to the environment and substantial savings to consumers.
Speaker 3 [00:25:33] One of the innovations we’ve been looking at and have actually tested with great success is Flash Foods, and that’s an app based program that actually gives people access to food in our store at discounts as great as 50%. And the selection of those items really has to do with an algorithm that assesses whether we have ordered too much of something and the likelihood that that product will sell by its best before date. And as items sort of approach their best before date, but are still very safe and healthy to eat, they’re made available at deep discounts. And we found that it’s an interesting microcosm of the bigger challenge, which is we don’t want to create food waste. Ideally, the things on our shelves we’d like to sell and not throw away. And people are very inspired by discounts.
Speaker 2 [00:26:22] I get that. I mean, who doesn’t appreciate a good deal? Right.
Speaker 3 [00:26:26] And I think when you look at the issues behind food waste, whether it’s the negative business implication of throwing out food or the negative social implication of throwing out food, flush foods has been a bit of a sweet spot solution that checks a lot of those boxes.
Speaker 1 [00:26:42] Flashfood was introduced in more than 500 Loblaw stores, resulting in the elimination of more than 5 million kilos of potential food waste in 2020. So some pretty significant savings there, but the benefits are also being seen up and down Loblaws supply chain.
Speaker 2 [00:26:58] Kevin told us the company is working with growers to help market imperfect produce to consumers. You’ll remember hearing about that concept of rescued food from Marion’s Alala so it’s a similar idea at Loblaw. The company is taking fruits and veggies that might not fetch a full price and giving them a new lease on life.
Speaker 3 [00:27:16] We’ve actually packaged it up to say, Yeah, this potato looks a little strange, but it’s perfectly edible and healthy and we’ve packaged that under the no name naturally imperfect line. So there’s a there’s an effort there to just think slightly differently, both at the at the brand level, but also at the consumer level to capture what otherwise might become waste or in another part of the country. We’ve been partnering with a group called Loop Resources to literally collect our food waste and take it and turn it into animal feed for local farms. So there are there are ways to address the challenge and where food waste is inevitable, we’re working to make sure that it’s not inevitably the landfill. The other areas that we’ve worked on include Zoo Share, which is a partnership with the Toronto Zoo to take our food waste and their anim on manure, combine it into a biogas that is renewable energy fed directly into the grid.
Speaker 1 [00:28:11] Theresa We’re hearing this again and again about biogas and the opportunities throughout the food system to turn waste into energy.
Speaker 2 [00:28:19] It really gets back to that idea of a circular economy, John, where surplus food or waste from farms, grocers and wholesalers is finding new purpose while helping to reduce harmful emissions. And that commitment to a circular economy is something that consumers can also tackle in their own homes. You don’t have to wait for your favorite retailer or restaurant to take that action, as our next guest proves.
Speaker 3 [00:28:41] Hi, I’m Jeremy Lang. I’m the founder of Pila and we are working on creating a waste free future. So we do it by creating everyday products or everyday waste, and our goal is to eliminate £10 billion of waste. And we started with plastic waste and now we’re working on food waste to help keep food waste out of the landfill and get it back to the soil where it belongs.
Speaker 2 [00:29:00] Sheila produces a smart countertop, composter called Lomi. It holds about four liters of waste and takes between three and 15 hours to break it down, depending on the type of material that’s compared to the weeks or months it takes. Conventional composter. Jeremy says the need for his product was obvious because our landfills just aren’t meant to handle the millions of tons of organic waste they get every year.
Speaker 3 [00:29:23] When plants and animals die, they’re supposed to go back to the earth. When we send them to a landfill, they biodegrade anaerobic with no air and they create methane, which is way worse than CO2. Food waste rotting in landfill creates roughly seven or 8% of all greenhouse gas emissions. So it’s a big problem to solve. So anything that we can do to help nature get that food waste, keep it out of the landfill and put it back into the soil so it helps to create healthy topsoil, which helps to grow healthy plants. And it’s like nature’s fertilizer, the end product. You can sprinkle in your garden and you can sprinkle on your lawn. You can avoid the compost facility altogether and go directly into the soil. We’re saving emissions by preventing that greenhouse gas emission, by preventing and are avoiding the landfill, avoiding that food waste from rotting landfill, and by creating healthy topsoil, which helps to sequester carbon from the atmosphere.
Speaker 1 [00:30:14] It sounds like a great consumer oriented innovation. Theresa And according to Jeremy, more than 100,000 households are now using Lumi to reduce their food waste.
Speaker 2 [00:30:23] That’s quite impressive. John, I can’t believe we’ve reached the end of this series. We’ve covered so much ground, and yet there’s still so much more to say. When I think about that big number that more than a third of the world’s food is lost or wasted every year, it really strikes a chord with me. Reducing waste seems like low hanging fruit, to use another food pun in our battle to get more food into the hands of those who need it and to keep our greenhouse gas emissions in check.
Speaker 1 [00:30:54] But before we wrap up, Teresa, I’d love to hear your thoughts on everything we’ve learned in the series.
Speaker 2 [00:30:58] There’s a lot to digest here, John, but what stands out to me the most is how incredibly high tech agriculture is, which of course, is evidence everybody working in the space and not that much to those outside of it, like I was until I started doing research on it. And we were only able to touch a little bit on this in a previous episode. But the future of food is unreal. Lab grown meats, cheeses, even chocolate one day could be available at a restaurant or bodega near you. Not to mention the vertical farms that are already offering fresher local microgreens at the grocery store. It makes me feel like we can really transform how we produce and consume food to be way more climate conscious and meaningfully reduce our emissions. What about you?
Speaker 1 [00:31:43] I keep thinking about change, and if we’re going to tackle climate change, we all have to think about how to change the way we produce food, the way we transport food, the way we consume food, and how we can better preserve food. Fortunately, there are technologies emerging in all sorts of fascinating ways. I think about how the past decade of innovation or a couple of decades really has been rooted in software and how much innovation in the decade ahead is going to be based on hardware, especially in the ag and food sector, where we’re going to need new machines, tools, devices to transform and change all that we do with food. And that’s what Canadians for generations have been great at. So for Canada, it’s game on.
Speaker 2 [00:32:28] And just to cap off with the focus of today’s episode, I think about food waste or rather not wasting food a lot in my daily life. It’s fascinating to me that food waste is both one of the easiest aspects of emissions to address because it’s directly under our control and also one of the hardest, because it’s about changing our behavior and our attitudes, which are very sticky.
Speaker 1 [00:32:49] Absolutely. We love on this podcast to talk about technology, but technology doesn’t matter if we don’t think a lot harder about all of our own behaviors.
Speaker 2 [00:32:58] So we’d like to offer a huge thanks to all our guests for sharing their insights with us. We hope you’ve enjoyed listening to the series as much as we’ve enjoyed putting it together. And if you’d like to revisit some of our past episodes or you just want to keep the conversation going, visit RBC dot com slash thought leadership. Until next time. I’m Theresa Do.
Speaker 1 [00:33:18] And I’m John Stackhouse. This is Disruptors, an RBC podcast. Talk to you soon.
Speaker 2 [00:33:27] Disruptors, an RBC podcast is created by the RBC Thought Leadership Group and does not constitute a recommendation for any organization, product or service. It’s produced and recorded by Jar Audio. For more disruptors content, like or subscribe wherever you get your podcasts and visit rbc dot com, slash disruptors.
Speaker 1 [00:00:01] Hi, it’s John here. Happy New Year and welcome back. We’ve been warned for years that the point of no return is coming. Sea levels are rising. The Earth is warming. We’ve seen thawing permafrost and large scale die offs in coral reefs. And even parts of the Amazon are experiencing increased episodes of drought. Okay. That’s a lot of despair. But guess what? There’s also hope. We know the problem. And more than ever, we know a lot of the solutions. Critical policies are actually in place and a very key element. Money is on the table to fund innovative technologies that can change our world. The US is making its largest investment ever. The European Commission has pledged to mobilize at least €1,000,000,000,000 in sustainable investments over the next ten years, and Canada is ponying up, signaling the next federal budget, along with commitments from key provinces, could set the course of public spending on climate for years to come. But it’s not enough. Now it’s time for the private sector to put those billions of dollars to work and add many billions more. The future is here. The question is how can we disrupt it before it disrupts us? This is Disruptors. An RBC podcast. I’m John Stackhouse. Today, I’ll be speaking with two people who decide how billions of dollars are invested in green tech. I’ll be joined by Elliot haTO, a managing director at Beyond Net Zero, a global growth equity firm with $73 billion under management. But first, I’d like to introduce Dr. Andrew Steer. Andrew is the president and CEO of the Bezos Earth Fund, created by Jeff Bezos in 2020. It has $10 billion that has to be disbursed as grants to address climate and nature within the current decade. Andrew, welcome to Disruptors.
Speaker 2 [00:02:07] Thank you very much, John.
Speaker 1 [00:02:08] I want to start with the Bezos Earth Fund. What is it? And maybe give us a sense of the vision behind it?
Speaker 2 [00:02:14] Well, Jeff Bezos allocated $10 billion to be spent down this decisive decade on the challenges of climate change and nature. And so it’s an exciting venture. It sounds like a lot of money and it is a lot of money. But actually, compared to the need, of course, it needs to be leveraged so that we can get real change because this is the decade that will determine whether or not we succeed or fail.
Speaker 1 [00:02:43] So is it that critical that those sorts of investments, that scale of investment be made this decade? Because if it’s made a decade hence, it’s too late?
Speaker 2 [00:02:53] Well, next decade will also be critical. The problem is, if we don’t do it right this decade, it will be impossible to do next decade. So that’s why this decade is is really absolutely critical. We we simply have to get down to net zero. When we talk about climate change and we simply must reduce the incredible loss of nature which is going on at the moment because these two problems multiply themselves and we’re heading to a bad place. We live in this highly paradoxical world, don’t we? We have never had the progress. You know, the average person today lives 20 years longer than when I was born. Poverty has fallen from 80% of the world’s population to less than 10% of the world’s population. Amazing achievements. But the price we’ve paid has simply been too high in terms of losing species, losing natural habitats, polluting the atmosphere. And we can do better.
Speaker 1 [00:03:56] And Jeff Bezos, I mean, he’s celebrated widely for a level of thinking and ambition that is all too rare in this world. Can you give us a bit more sense of how that ambition applies to climate work?
Speaker 2 [00:04:08] Well, I mean, it is wonderful, isn’t it, that wealthy people decide to give back. And it’s wonderful how a growing number of high net worth individuals are seeing these big problems that are needing to be addressed. And Jeff Bezos himself obviously has a way of thinking. I mean, he is somebody who has taken on problems that at times seem impossible and systematically gone about addressing them so that we now have the ability to do things that we couldn’t do before, having really transformed entire industries. And so bringing that mindset to these incredibly, you could say, wicked problems, solving climate change is the greatest collective action problem, as many have said sort of in the history of the world. It’s got everything that makes it difficult. It’s got into temporal inequities, it’s got current inequities, it’s got deep moral issues, it’s got massive technological issues, it’s got complex financial issues, and it’s got huge political questions that need to be resolved and all of that kind of free rider problems that we know about. And so, my goodness me, we need the best brains as well as the best money to address these issues.
Speaker 1 [00:05:27] But I guess in some ways you’re not solving that problem. Jeff isn’t solving that problem. You’re trying to find support, invest in the many folks out there who are developing the ideas and solutions. And I’m curious what kind of mindset you strive to bring to that. You know, I’ve heard the fund described as one that supports ideas and not just projects. That’s got an appeal. Not always easy to invest in ideas on, unfortunately, but it probably takes a different approach than building a company or running a project. Can you give us a bit of insight into what kind of thinking you and your team tries to bring to the challenge?
Speaker 2 [00:06:03] Well, we try to identify and monitor the roughly 50 to 70 major transitions that are required this decade and next. You know, the big blocks of we’ve got to totally transform energy. We’ve got to rethink our food system. We’ve got to think about forests. We’ve got to think about our cities. Within each of those, there are five or six transitions, which in and of themselves are pretty major. We’ve got to get. Rid of the internal combustion engine. We’ve got to shift diets towards more plant based. We’ve got to do about 50 things of that level. And what we do is we co-manage with the World Resources Institute and some others something we call the System Change Lab. And what we do with those, we monitor those 50 to 70. And we ask the question, how close are they to tipping points beyond which change becomes irresistible and unstoppable? And what are the barriers to get there? Our job is to be pretty forensic about where we go in using both money and convening power and influence Power. It could be to finance primary research. It could be to finance political advocacy. It depends on the issue, and it depends upon precisely where they are in that trajectory towards a positive tipping point. So when you mentioned we like to address ideas, this is again, is something that Jeff Bezos, you know, will say let’s not allocate funds in our efforts to issues or even to targets. Let’s allocate them to ideas that will get to those targets, that will address those issues.
Speaker 1 [00:07:46] And the ethos of the fund, primarily one of technology. That technology can and will solve this. Or do you believe that we also need culture change, behavior change, even social change, and not rely on those magic bullets of technology?
Speaker 2 [00:08:02] We absolutely and utterly require cutting edge technology and behavioral change. And indeed, as we move forward towards the end of the 2020s into the 2030s, behavioral change is going to become more important is probable that people in Canada and certainly in the United Kingdom, where I come from originally, we have reduced our greenhouse gases quite a lot. The average citizen has no idea it’s happened because they haven’t had to change their behavior. As we move forward, we are actually going to have to change our behavior. Now, technology is still incredibly important and we couldn’t have a chance of addressing climate change. You know, if you look at the cost of, say, solar energy, I mean, since Jimmy Carter put solar panels on the roof of the White House in 1979, the price of solar has fallen by 99.6%. So there’s actually been a wonderful revolution that’s intellectual and economic. I mean, even ten years ago, the entire economics profession felt that, my goodness me, it would be nice to do something about climate change, but we’re going to have to pay a cost in terms of lost competitiveness, lost economic growth. And now because of cost changes, because of technology changes, because we’ve learned about what policies work. It now turns out that actually smart, strong climate action leads to more economic efficiency. It drives new technologies, it opens new opportunities, it shifts expectations. So there is a much better future. So you get more competitiveness and you can get more growth. Now, we don’t want to be Panglossian about this. It’s not all win win. There are losers. And that’s where politics comes in.
Speaker 1 [00:10:00] Well, exactly. This is political and I mean that in a positive way because it’s about collective decision making, which is reflected in in our politics when we do it well. But we don’t do politics very well in many countries. How are you thinking about systems change in the political arena or the collective decision making arena that can perhaps accelerate some of the other investments that you’re making?
Speaker 2 [00:10:25] Well, I mean, this is a very difficult issue. We’ve certainly put quite a bit of resources already into communications. Last year, we invested quite a bit here in the United States trying to clarify the narrative about good climate action leads to a good, better economy. And we we invested in targeted messaging through various media, television, social media, basically bringing data, bringing the data and evidence and bringing human stories as to what works. I think generally the environmental movement has been trumped by more sophisticated communications and political skills from the opposition.
Speaker 1 [00:11:16] I want to shift to the idea of of of leverage. People will hear that you are investing $1,000,000,000 a year and think that’s a large amount of money. And of course it’s a huge amount of money. But the need out there for the transition is going to be kind of in the 5 to $10 trillion a year range globally. That’s how much capital needs to be invested. So we all need to be thinking more about leverage. And I’m curious what you’re seeing and learning about leverage in your own climate work.
Speaker 2 [00:11:45] Well, most philanthropy has been unleveraged, so a dollar into good health gives a dollar of good output. In good health. You know, you build a hospital, you build a school, you build whatever. Unfortunately, because the problems are so great, we need to do better than that. Now, you can leverage in several ways. You can leverage through de-risking private investment. And obviously the Royal Bank of Canada has done incredible work on that. Many investments in sustainable development need some de-risking. One could do that very directly, but one also can, if you like, do the policy side, which is also leverage. I mean, in many ways that’s the most effective leverage of all if one invests in reshaping policy. So what we try and do for every single investment we ask, well, if you like the direct impact and then what’s the second order impact that would encourage others to do it? And another I mean, another form of leverage is simply doing something that is so successful that then through the right kind of communication, it can then become irresistible. So we’re experimenting with all kinds of ways of doing it. So as an example, last year we really wanted to take on the most difficult issue of protection or conservation that exists, which is the Congo Basin, which is, you know, unbelievably precious. It absorbs more carbon than the Amazon Basin and the Southeast Asia tropical forests combined, and yet it’s under massive threat. And obviously there are all kinds of governance issues. So we gave funding to about ten different world class organizations and we said, look, the deal is each of you are very, very good at certain things. Your job is to work on those and be accountable to to us for what you do. But in addition to that, for the first time ever, let’s work as a team together. So if you’ve got the CEOs of ten internationally recognized organizations together with ourselves, then suddenly you get some European governments that say, actually, we’d be like to be part of this. And then you can go and see any head of state in the Congo basin that you want and you start sort of thinking differently about, my goodness me, if we only we could get the the head of the office, the head of the country all the way down and have something joined up, my word, that could be real leverage.
Speaker 1 [00:14:20] But that spirit of collaboration is really at the heart of leverage. Leverage isn’t just a financial equation. It’s about bringing together different forces and empowering them, but also using them together to do things that none could do on their own. And it makes me think of the Electric School Bus initiative, which I wanted to ask you about, because that’s a it’s a really neat and ambitious project aimed at decarbonizing the entire U.S. school bus fleet. Curious how you see it as a template for more collaboration, especially between public and philanthropic forces?
Speaker 2 [00:14:51] You’re absolutely right what you just said, John. I think I mean, if you look at almost any of the problems that we’re trying to deal with, there’s no one organization. There’s not even one group of organizations. It’s basically a sort of multi-stakeholder solution. And you need governments and you need, you know, NGOs, you need citizen group, corporate sector and so on. And actually the school bus situation in the United States, a very good example of that. There are 480,000 school busses in the United States. If you are a poor child from a poor county going to school in a bus in this country, because remember, schooling is a county level responsibility, you breathe air from diesel fumes. That is basically like being on the street in New Delhi. I mean, it’s really bad for health. So this has a social justice element to it, a health element. And this is one of the very first conversations that I have had with Jeff Bezos and Lauren Sanchez about when I was in my old job. And it was like, wouldn’t it be exciting if we could do something that would have a health benefit? But not only that, it would have a climate benefit, it would have an intergenerational benefit. It would it would actually also help create an industry in this country, because 96% of all the electric busses in the world were built in China. And then on top of that, by the way, during those long, hot summer months while school busses just sit there, they actually don’t sit there if they’re electric because they become a giant battery. And because 480,000 batteries, when you take electricity off the grid, when it’s cheap and plentiful, you put it back on the grid when it’s not, my goodness me, that saves dozens of power plants being built. But you can only then do it if the state level gets engaged, the school districts get engaged, the industrial and financial sector gets engaged. And so what we did, we worked on legislation and now there are, what, $12 billion that’s been put into this, something like that through the new Biden administration. And little by little, you start seeing, my goodness me, we could put this jigsaw puzzle together. Not us. I mean, you said earlier we don’t take any particular credit for this, although I think we’ve played a very good role. We’re part of, if you like, making sure that the pieces of the jigsaw puzzle sort of come together at the right time in the right kind of way.
Speaker 1 [00:17:24] This point about multiple benefits from multiple our allies is really critical and often lost on climate policy, where many people, for understandable reasons, see the objective as critical enough on its own to be the only ROI, if you will. That’s important, but that’s not necessarily the case for all sorts of people in society who have multiple needs. And the more that policies and investments can help address those multiple needs rather than be a kind of a single solution oriented one, probably the better we all are. And I’ve been seeing more of this in the biodiversity space, and I raise that because our last episode of 2022 was on biodiversity, and you and I met for the first time at the Montreal Biodiversity Conference and it was there that I got to more deeply appreciate the intersection of climate change and biodiversity and how they both lead to benefits in each realm and are interconnected in all sorts of ways. And I’m curious, Andrew, how you see those two challenges intersecting and how we can do more.
Speaker 2 [00:18:28] Well, you’re absolutely right. And by the way, your podcast edition on that was wonderful. I think that conference in Montreal was extremely important and I think combining that with COP26 in Glasgow, which for the first time sort of recognized we can’t solve climate change unless you also protect nature because it’s there’s more than one third of the solution. And the same goes the other way round. You can’t protect nature unless we address climate change, because with the way that climate change is going, we are losing nature at an even more rapid rate. And it’s really been wonderful to see just in the last 18 months culminating in in Montreal, we’ve seen this sort of willingness to think of these two as integrated. And your points about, you know, multiple benefits are incredibly important. You know, they call them co-benefits. And in many parts of the world, you know, if we want to deal with climate change, you know, don’t enter the policy door through the climate change door, enter it through health or entry through nature.
Speaker 1 [00:19:32] We’re sort of time, unfortunately. But I also was just reflecting we’re still in the early days of January, and therefore I want to seize on the New Year spirit to ask you, as you look through 2023, what your maybe greatest hope is for the year and also what your greatest fear is.
Speaker 2 [00:19:50] Well, look, this is a year where things are going to need to start improving. We got data just today on greenhouse gas emissions in the United States. Greenhouse gas emissions went up last year and things need to change. I am deeply hopeful that actions that may take a year or two to have bite, they are going to start having impact this year. I think some of the decisions made in Glasgow and in Sharm el Sheikh will start to bear fruit in the United States. Obviously with the additional funds that are being put forward. I mean, historically important. We are going to start seeing some progress. But look, we are in a hugely uphill battle. We’re in this paradoxical world where, if you ask two experts say on climate change, you say, how are we doing? And one will say, it’s amazing. You know, costs have come down 99%. We’re doing this. It’s really great. Others who say, you know, we’re a bunch of lemmings going off a cliff the end times and which how could they both be, right? Well, they actually are both right. They are both right. We are doing better and better than we are dog chasing a bus and the dog is going faster and faster. And we are saying we are running so fast is great, but the bus is accelerating away and so the dog can’t keep running faster. The dog has to get its own electric bike. You know, we need a new instrument. And I’ve got a feeling that we’re getting towards the stage where. Will accept that fact.
Speaker 1 [00:21:17] What do you think those dogs need to do in 2023, above all else?
Speaker 2 [00:21:21] We need once and for all to recognize that no individual government or even government can solve the problem. We need to sit down around the table and we need to get the real decision makers to say, okay, if the issue is electrification of transportation, what do we need to do? How do we how do we have a rational conversation? It can’t simply be preaching. It’s got to be a multi-stakeholder approach. And I hope and pray that we’re heading towards that kind of new it’s really a new governance system. And I think there are signs of hope. But, you know, there’s still a far, far more risks than most people are aware of.
Speaker 1 [00:22:08] In a site governance system going to have to come from government or from collectives of government like the U.N., or is it going to come from philanthropists, private actors, business and other coalitions?
Speaker 2 [00:22:20] I think it’s already starting to change. I mean, it is quite interesting that if you go to the United Nations General Assembly now, you’ll see a much, much richer approach. You’ll see young people. You see businesspeople. Governments have to accept it. But often governments, you know, don’t always lead. They are responsive. And so the business community, I mean, it’s albeit difficult, it is stunning when you think about it that now $130 trillion of assets under management are now committed to net zero. That would have been unthinkable. Now it’s very, very difficult to implement it. And there’s some rocky things going through right now, but we now need to come through that and say, look, you know, we know it’s difficult, but now let’s really redouble our efforts. And I’ve got a feeling that that’s happening. And, you know, I don’t want to flatter your country, but I do think actually some pretty exciting things going on in Canada right now.
Speaker 1 [00:23:20] What excites you most in terms of what’s happening in Canada?
Speaker 2 [00:23:22] Well, I think, for example, on the nature side, the announcement that Canada made on massive new protected areas, I think anywhere in history on the first day of the COP and led by First nations, very, very exciting. I mean, talk about multi-stakeholder. I mean, so interesting seeing First Nations seizing and being given authority to manage natural resources, which they are very good at, at managing. That would be just one example.
Speaker 1 [00:23:58] It’s those coalitions likely and unlikely that are keeping us moving forward as bumpy as rocky as that road can be. And I’m grateful that the Bezos Earth Fund is leading a lot of those coalitions. Andrew, And that you’re you’re a champion of so many. Thank you so much for being on disruptors.
Speaker 2 [00:24:15] Thank you, John. We love listening to your podcasts.
Speaker 1 [00:24:19] That was Dr. Andrew Steer, president and CEO of the $10 Billion Bezos Earth Fund. Up next, Ellia haTO will join us to talk about how massive investments in technology are changing the fight against climate change.
Speaker 3 [00:24:37] RBC Tech for Nature. Is there a $100 million by 2025 multi-year commitment to accelerate tech based solutions that help preserve the world’s greatest wealth, our natural ecosystem? We work with partners to leverage technology and innovation capabilities to help solve pressing environmental challenges. This program is a key element of how we are delivering on our climate strategy. The RBC Climate Blueprint RBC Tech for Nature is now accepting funding applications until February six. Apply now to partner with us and create a more sustainable future. Visit RBC dot com slash tech furniture for more information.
Speaker 1 [00:25:12] Welcome back. Today, we’re talking about how Canada can emulate the most comprehensive climate law in American history, the Inflation Reduction Act, or IRA. Our next guest is Eli Aheto. He’s the managing director of Beyond Net Zero, a global growth equity firm that invests in companies to develop innovative climate solutions. Eli, welcome to Disruptors.
Speaker 4 [00:25:34] John Thank you so much for having me. It’s a pleasure to be with you.
Speaker 1 [00:25:37] I want to start with Beyond Net Zero, and if you could give our listeners some background on what it is and what it’s all about.
Speaker 4 [00:25:44] Sure. Beyond Net Zero is the climate investing team at General Atlantic. I think folks may recognize General Atlantic as a 40 year old global growth equity firm. We’ve been investing in leading businesses in digital sectors for most of our history. And the climate initiative is one that’s fairly new in the last two years. But we recognize it as one of the most consequential opportunities in business today and also one of the most consequential opportunities in society. And so we think that there is a significant need for capital to help drive the growth of businesses that are putting out products and services that help people decarbonize either their operations, their livelihoods. You know, all sorts of activities that need to have reduced greenhouse gas emissions. And so we’re pretty excited about the opportunity ahead of us both, because there’s a real social dimension to what we need to accomplish. But we think it’s a fantastic business opportunity where there are entrepreneurs creating products and services that are saving customers money, which is really exciting, at the same time helping them reduce their greenhouse gas emissions.
Speaker 1 [00:26:48] I want to get into some of those examples and opportunities, but wonder first if we can talk a bit about the macro environment. Of course, the Inflation Reduction Act or IRA, is clearly injecting a lot of capital into American opportunities. But at the same time, we’ve got a lot of challenges and headwinds in in markets generally. How are you looking at the macro environment for investing in 2023?
Speaker 4 [00:27:14] You know, it continues to be a challenging market as an investor. Obviously, we’ve had markets falling over the last year. In some sectors we still have high valuations, which those two things don’t seem to go together. In the climate sector particularly, we’ve still seen high valuations that haven’t yet reflected where the public markets are. But at the same time, we’re seeing markets that are growing quite dramatically. So if you think about, for example, EV charging infrastructure, that’s a market that Bloomberg thinks will grow 80% year over year, and that’s despite the macro environment. More broadly. If you think about solar, the IEA has just increased its estimate of solar buildout for the next several years by 20% globally. That’s a pretty big step up in one year. Part of that is an adjustment that is a consequence of the IRA. Part of that is an adjustment that’s a consequence of energy security in Europe. And part of that’s a consequence of the decreased cost of renewable power. And so there are a lot of tailwinds that are driving forward the climate opportunity, despite what is still a volatile and in some ways rough macroeconomic environment.
Speaker 1 [00:28:22] Well, it has been a pretty rough year that maybe now in the rearview mirror a bit longer than that than a year. And for some that brings back memories of earlier clean tech wrote Wonder in your mind what makes this time different?
Speaker 4 [00:28:36] I think there are numerous differences between clean tech 1.0 and where we are today. We have now ecosystems of entrepreneurs, financiers, scientists, academics, policymakers who have experience in climate. We didn’t have that last time around. We have now technologies that very importantly are mature and are cost effective. We have now entrepreneurs focused on business models where they are delivering a cost savings to consumers. We have now financial markets that are ready, willing and able to finance businesses that have demonstrated they can be profitable at scale. And we have obviously a desire for consumers to decarbonize and mandate from corporates to decarbonize their supply chains. We have a political support that we didn’t have in the first clean tech investing boom. And so it’s a it’s a radically different environment.
Speaker 1 [00:29:34] Did IRA change your fundamental outlook? Did you wake up in August, September, whenever it hit the headlines and think, Wow, I’ve got to rethink my portfolio and my allocations? Or is it more kind of a marginal benefit than that?
Speaker 4 [00:29:47] There’s no describing the IRA as being marginal. It clearly was an overdue substantial statement around what the U.S. was going to commit to relative to climate change, and it created the incentives in several different sectors, some of which were already active. And so I mentioned distributed generation. You know, we’ve been very keenly looking at transportation, electrification. So it will create great tailwinds for those sectors. But those sectors were already moving forward. I think in things like hydrogen and carbon capture, it has changed the game. So anywhere from a 60 to 70% reduction in the levelized cost or the, you know, the cost for those technologies. And so you’re seeing right away companies announcing large scale manufacturing facilities, new hydrogen facilities. You’re seeing people announce new battery facilities, you’re seeing folks announce new lithium mining operations. And so I think the IRA has very successfully catalyzed those harder to abate longer duration and somewhat less mature technologies to make them economic and help them scale. The IRA was a game changer in a lot of ways. Now for our portfolio, I don’t think it changed what we’re doing. Mostly we are focused on mature technologies, businesses that are scaling, and so these were businesses that were successful pre IRA, but there definitively is a wind at their back with the IRA.
Speaker 1 [00:31:16] But as you look at options, as all investors are doing and will continue to do, what do you see as the needs for Canada to become a greater pull for investors like you?
Speaker 4 [00:31:28] The key for us is is business models with scale. And so obviously relative to the US, Canada has a smaller population and a smaller economy by the numbers, but it’s still a very large country and the very clear regulatory frameworks and there are a fairly sizable and very attractive sort of income levels in Canada. So we would expect that those things will yield. Businesses that are serving customers decarbonize in attractive way. You could see easily businesses that are focused on electrification of automobiles being relevant in Canada. You could see easily businesses that are financing consumers to decarbonize, being relevant in Canada. And so I don’t I don’t think that there is any business that exists in the US that couldn’t exist in Canada. It’s just a question for us to go out and find those entrepreneurs and figure out how to convince them to partner with us.
Speaker 1 [00:32:20] And that’s a great message for entrepreneurs who may be listening that the world of capital is watching and ready to move and move very quickly in in this environment. Ali, as we move towards close, I wonder if you can give us a perspective on General Atlantic for our listeners who may not be familiar with it. It is one of the great names in investing and has been for decades. What excites you most About 2023?
Speaker 4 [00:32:46] I wouldn’t have guessed that we would have the tailwinds we have today. It’s the IRA is a big tailwind. Unfortunately, energy security as a as a concept is a big tailwind. The cost of these technologies keeps coming down. And every day I meet an entrepreneur who is, I think, cracking the code around how to bring decarbonization to markets in a way that’s attractive for the customer and for the investor. It is a sea change from what climate 1.0 was. But when you see that it’s possible to both bring your customer value, your investor value and society value, that that I think is a really attractive proposition.
Speaker 1 [00:33:29] That’s a great message to wrap up with Ali and a great message to begin the year with that there’s a lot of people out there cracking the code. Thank you for being on disruptors.
Speaker 4 [00:33:39] It was my great pleasure. Thank you so much for having us.
Speaker 1 [00:33:42] That was Eli Aheto, managing director at Beyond Net Zero. And before that, Dr. Andrew Steer, president and CEO of the Bezos Earth Fund. We’re at a critical juncture as a country with so much money being put into the advancement of renewable energy and electric vehicles, Canada is bound to feel the effects. It’s up to all of us not to sit back and watch from the sidelines, but rather take bold action, show courage and in the global race to net zero, even take the lead, it’s Canada’s opportunity. Join us next time for a special live on location episode from Davos, Switzerland. I’ll be there along with business and political leaders from across the globe for the World Economic Forum. And you can bet the climate crisis will be one of the hot topics. Until then. I’m John Stackhouse and this is Disruptors, an RBC podcast. Talk to you soon.
Speaker 3 [00:34:39] Disruptors, an RBC podcast is created by the RBC Thought Leadership Group and does not constitute a recommendation for any organization, product or service. It’s produced and recorded by JAR Audio. For more disruptors content, like or subscribe wherever you get your podcasts and visit our RBC.com slash disruptors.
Speaker 1 [00:00:01] Hi, it’s John here on this show. We’ll be talking about artificial intelligence or AI. But first, I want you to meet someone. Or should I say something? Hi. It’s an AI version of John here. It’s remarkable how much I sound like the real thing. Another remarkable thing I can do is write podcast episode titles. For example, our friends at the University of Toronto were kind enough to feed the interview you are about to hear through GPT three. Hi, it’s the real John again. GPT three stands for Generative Pre-Trained Transformer and it was created by Open AI, an organization founded in San Francisco in 2015 by Elon Musk and Y Combinator. Sam Altman. Elias Suzuki over there. Chief Scientist is Canadian. He’s a U of T alumna. He’s also a former grad student of A.I. pioneer Geoffrey Hinton, who we’ll hear about a few times in this episode. GPT three uses deep learning to produce text that read like it was written by a human and their daily to app is making headlines for its ability to turn text descriptions into hyper realistic images. We wanted to test this tech marvel, so we took the interview that you’re about to hear and gave it to GPT three and came up with a clever title. AI. We weren’t as prepared as we thought. No kidding. Hi, it’s me again. A.I. John. A.I. has proven itself capable of many things, like reading and delivering a podcast, introduction and writing great titles. But has it proven to be the game changer many thought and promised it would be? I would say no, or at least not yet. Thanks for that Amy. GPT three also generated concise summaries of the interview you’re about to hear. One in particular reads A.I. is not going to figure out the complexities of health care. It’s a matter of time for organizations to experiment with A.I. to figure out how best to use it. A.I. is a prediction tool to help organizations optimize against an objective function. But you decide. See if you agree with GPT. Three Thoughts on the topic. This is Disruptors, an RBC podcast. I’m your host, John Stackhouse. Today’s guest is one of the many people who sees the potential but knows we still have a long way to go. AJ Agarwal is a professor at the University of Toronto’s Rotman School of Management, a global center of research and teaching excellence at the heart of Canada’s commercial capital. AJ was named to the Order of Canada this year for his contributions to enhance Canada’s productivity, competitiveness and prosperity through innovation and entrepreneurship. Looking back, AJ admits that when he wrote his 2018 bestseller Prediction Machines, he overestimated how quickly A.I. led changes would come. This was the impetus for power and prediction. His latest book that looks at the economics of the systems in which technology operates. AJ may also be a familiar voice to our listeners as he was a guest on our special two part series called The Creativity Economy, which we produced last year. We recently got back together to talk about how Canada can stay at the forefront of air developments and how businesses of all sizes can stay ahead of the curve. Here’s our conversation. AJ, Welcome to Disruptors.
Speaker 2 [00:03:29] Thanks very much, John. Happy to be here.
Speaker 1 [00:03:31] You’re the founder of the Creative Destruction Lab. For those listeners who may not be familiar with Kdl, can you give us a quick sense of what it is and what motivated you to launch it?
Speaker 2 [00:03:41] Sure. So Creative Destruction Lab is a not for profit program found at the University of Toronto at Rotman School. And the mission is to enhance the commercialization of science for the betterment of humankind. So my Ph.D. dissertation was on the economics of commercializing early stage science, and I spent a few years at MIT, and my first faculty job was at Queen’s. So I moved back to Canada. This had become a topical issue in Ottawa that Canada was doing a good job on the science side, but not a great job at commercializing the science given my topic area. I started getting invited to various policy meetings and white papers and roundtables and so on, and I thought that was great. And after about ten years of doing that, I realized, Wait a minute, I’ve been doing this for ten years, and everyone’s still talking about exactly the same thing as when I first arrived in Ontario. And so that point, I decided I was never going to do another roundtable or breakfast meeting. I wanted to focus on actually doing something. And so when we launched Creative Destruction Lab, it was very small. There were 25 companies that came into the program today. There’s this year we took in 650 startups around the world, but when we started, it was 25 companies. And the idea was that there was a missing market for what we call judgment. Judgment is simply when an entrepreneur wakes up in the morning, they have a thousand things they could be doing and they think they don’t have the bandwidth, do all those thousand things. And so let’s say they can do three things. How do they pick from the list? Thus, judgment. You can’t go down to Bay Street and buy five units of judgment. It’s not for sale. And so that’s what in economics we call a market failure, where there’s willing buyers and willing sellers, but somehow there’s a friction that prevents the market from clearing. And so Creative Destruction Lab was designed to address that market failure that we bring together the inventors who need the judgment and the people who have the judgment.
Speaker 1 [00:05:31] Is that a natural extension from that into AI, which Sidel has become fairly well-known for, and what will get into more deeply in this conversation?
Speaker 2 [00:05:40] Yeah, so that was our first introduction to the modern incarnation of AI, which is through machine learning, is that some graduate students of Jeff Hinton, who’s a well-known professor, pioneer in deep learning. They came in 2012 into the first year of Creative Destruction Lab, and they introduced us to this new technique. In the beginning, we didn’t fully appreciate it, but they came to Creative Destruction Lab as a way to help them turn their scientific innovation into a business. In fact, the first one was a student named API Fitz, and he had come up with a way of using this new technique, using A.I. to predict which molecule would most effectively bind with which protein. And created a company called Atom Wise. So he brought that into Creative Destruction Lab and in the process introduced us to what would become a revolution in artificial intelligence.
Speaker 1 [00:06:29] I suppose there are. Just ask for your definition of A.I. artificial intelligence.
Speaker 2 [00:06:35] Sure. In terms of the characterization, this was the definition that we had in our first book, from an economics perspective, is we characterize a rise in A.I. as a drop in the cost of prediction. And so effectively, it’s the technology that makes prediction cheap. In economics, we do that with all technology. So we strip away the technical parts of a technology. And in economics we always ask the same question about every technology is what does this reduce the cost of? So semiconductors reduces the cost of arithmetic makes a metric cheap Internet reduces the cost of search costs, digital distribution of goods and services and AI reduces the cost of prediction over the.
Speaker 1 [00:07:21] Past ten years, there have been incredible advances in A.I., but it’s also not played out in the ways that many of us thought it might. AJ What over the last five years of AI’s development has surprised you most.
Speaker 2 [00:07:37] On the negative side? I would have thought that it would be far more prevalent, but it hasn’t transformed the world the way that we thought we would be further along in that transformation. When we wrote that book in 2018, on the positive side, there are some things like, for example, the large language models, Darley and and the various other permutations where you can type in a sentence describing a scene and it creates the picture and GPT three where you type in a prompt and it writes a paragraph or a page or multiple pages and it’s like autofill, except it’s rather than just filling in the rest of the sentence, it fills in the rest of the story. And so those things are, I would say, better than what I would had expected by this time. But from an impact on the economy perspective, it’s been significantly less than we expect and that’s really motivated the second book.
Speaker 1 [00:08:32] You have some really startling statistics in the book. One is that only 11% of corporations that are invested in AI have achieved success in scaling AI applications only 11%. These are big companies with lots of really smart people and capital and data to work with, and most of them are failing. Why is that?
Speaker 2 [00:08:54] Yes, that’s really the motivating question. The puzzle in the book is what happened as we poked and prodded and met with lots of people in industry who are working with AI. We came to the conclusion that we had severely underestimated the importance of all the other parts of the system that need to change above and beyond the actual prediction tool created by the AI. And in my view, this is really the key insight here from the book. We make this example comparison to electricity and how electricity took so long to take off. And the original value proposition for electricity was this was will save energy. And so let’s say you have a factory. It didn’t make any economic sense to tear out your existing infrastructure and replace it with distributed electricity. But as new factories came online and some people were willing to experiment with this new electricity, they started to discover benefits from the electricity above and beyond fuel savings. So, for example, in order to actually transmit the power to the machines in the factory, it would come into the building via a big steel shaft that would turn and power machine. And that thing was very heavy. And so it required a lot of bracing and quite a significant structural requirements to the building. As soon as you remove that. Buildings could be constructed much lighter. And so it just lowered the capital costs of building a factory. Secondly, because they wanted to keep those heavy shafts as short as possible, they would put all the machines as close as they could to the wall and they would build vertically. Once you remove that constraint, they realized it could make single storey buildings again, much cheaper for construction. And then perhaps the biggest advantage they discovered is that before they would power everything off a single shaft so that when one machine went down, the entire factory came to a halt. With this new distributor, electricity, each machine had its own power source. And so when one machine went down, the others could keep operating. And that made the whole thing a lot more productive. And so when you start adding up all those benefits, it became much greater than the energy savings. And so what they realized was the key benefit was not so much energy saving, which was the original value proposition, but instead it was decoupling the machine from the power source. But that was the real value proposition.
Speaker 1 [00:11:24] So the challenge really is the organization. It’s the systems, it’s not the task. And one of the other examples I’ve been reflecting on a lot from your book is IBM Watson. Does everyone remember IBM Watson It was kind of supposed to change everything just because it won Jeopardy. But there was a sense that health care particularly would be where IBM Watson would make the most profound change, as we all know, the inefficiencies of health care. Wouldn’t it be great if AI rooted and driven technologies could get us better? Health care for less money really happened because of the complexities, the systems of health care. Is that a forever thing with a complex system like health care, or is that just a matter of time for AI to figure out the complexities?
Speaker 2 [00:12:11] Well, A.I. is definitely going to pick out those complexities, in other words. So, John, about three weeks ago, my coauthors, Avi Goldfarb, Joshua Gans, as well as one of our colleagues at MIT named Kathryn Tucker. The four of us organized a conference in Toronto. Some of the top economists in the world focused on AI. And the second day, Watson focused entirely on A.I. and health. Since you raised the issue of health and if I were to characterize that day, I would say it was a mix of both elation and depression. The elation was all the experiments that people were reporting in of eyes that were performing really miraculously in health care applications. So superhuman, better than doctors in all kinds of, for example, diagnostic capabilities, being able to read medical images, pathology slides and eyes that are better able to predict mental health crises, attempted suicides than mental health experts, you know, all kinds of things that would make health care cheaper, faster and more accessible, especially to lower income environments. So that’s on the positive side. On the negative side, the reason it was depressing was because so few of these things have been demonstrated in any kind of application setting outside of the research labs because there are so many barriers to deploying them, these system frictions that they are not aligned with the incentives of hospitals or the fixes are not aligned with the incentives of doctors, of insurers. There’s all kinds of frictions that basically require an entire system level overhaul. And these people who have been working in this area, you know, see the benefits. They’ve measured how effective they can be. And yet they’re seeing them being dismissed in terms of application. And so, you know, the question is, what’s it going to take for a system overhaul? People were asking, what maybe, maybe in some other countries, maybe in lower income countries where there’s less regulatory barriers and people can try things more easily? We don’t know.
Speaker 1 [00:14:09] You also make the point in the book that AI’s success often requires experimentation. That’s probably true for all technologies, but especially for data based technologies and software. That’s harder to do in business and harder to do in business. That involves people even harder to do in a regulated business where human safety or privacy or other legitimate concerns are at play. Do we just have to give this more time than we may have thought five years ago? Or are there greater challenges then than time?
Speaker 2 [00:14:40] Well, certainly time is one. And also a disposition and willingness to experiment. I think a number of things need to come together in terms of leadership, whether it’s of a hospital or a health system and the capital and the willingness to experiment. And I suspect there’ll be some kind of catalyzing event where somewhere in one of the OECD countries, somebody will really push the boundaries, then they’ll demonstrate the benefits, and then others will follow.
Speaker 1 [00:15:11] If I’m running an organization, big or small, in any sector, if I’m listening to this and thinking about how this might affect whatever it is I do, how can I move faster without having to wait for that catalytic event or a crisis?
Speaker 2 [00:15:26] I think, you know, creating a an environment with a very purposeful process for running experiments. I think in most corporations there is not a culture of experiments, experiments with a purpose. In other words, we’re running this experiment to test this particular hypothesis. Once we learn the outcome of that, that reduces the risk for scaling it to this next step and then this next step. So in other words, there is a North Star that we are pursuing. Let me give you an example. Imagine going to the doctor and you go for a checkup and the doctor does their annual checkup and then says, you know, I think you’re going to get really sick in about three years. So, you know, thank you for coming in and we’ll see you next checkup. He would say, wait, wait, wait a minute. What do you mean? I’m going to get sick in three years? Aren’t you going to tell me what’s the matter with me? And aren’t you going to give me some kind of treatment plan? And imagine, Doctor said no, but you would think that’s crazy. It doesn’t make any sense. But that’s what the insurance industry does all the time. Let’s say you and I both want health insurance and let’s say my premiums are 25% more than yours. That’s because the the insurance company has made some prediction that I’m more likely to file a claim than you. And their capabilities today are so much greater than they were before. Now they’re able to make predictions down at the sub peril level. So in other words, like the likelihood that you’re going to have a leaky pipe that would cause a basement flood or an electrical fire, that they’re down at that level of precision in their predictive capability. And given that they’ve got that kind of predictive capability, they could figure out whether it’s worth it for, let’s say, you or me to buy a $500 device to do early detection of a leaky pipe or a device that you can plug in to your wall that gives you early detection of electrical fire. So those devices exist. You and I might see them advertised on late night TV, and we don’t know whether it’s worth it for us to buy that. But they know, Hey, I know what the risk is. I’m pricing your risk. John It wouldn’t be worth it for you to pay the $500, but. AJ It would be worth it for you because you’re at a higher risk for that kind of a of a peril. So they have that kind of information. And yet for the most part, the insurance industry does not do risk mitigation. And part of that is that the agents who sell us insurance, it’s not in their interest to offer us things that will lower our premiums. That’s going to change. So it means changing the cost structure. It means investing in risk mitigation solutions or partnering with risk mitigation solution companies and so on. It’s a different business model, but I suspect these will be senior leadership teams at large corporations, financial services like banking, insurance, automobiles. And it’s just hard to imagine a world, John, where like that we won’t ultimately go there. It will likely take time because of all the system changes that are required to get there. But the guys are laying the foundation for value propositions that are very different than what they were in the absence they are.
Speaker 1 [00:18:42] In just a moment, Professor Agarwal will give us his thoughts on how Ottawa is regulating and stimulating the innovation economy and how businesses can make the most of the power of AI predictions. Back in a minute.
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Speaker 1 [00:19:57] Welcome back. Today on Disruptors, we’re speaking with Professor AJ Agarwal on the success and failures of AI and how industries can make the most of this powerful technology. One of the takeaways for me from the book is the need to focus on value rather than cost. And too much focus was on cost rather than value creation. And I’m wondering how that changes in a post-pandemic reality, where resilience is as important for many organizations as, say, efficiency is. How do you think about the power of AI in that kind of complex economy?
Speaker 2 [00:20:36] I’m interpreting your question as resilience is more important today because we just went through COVID than it was pre-COVID, but we care about it more because it’s just more salient for us. And so that’s a change compared to five years ago. There’s an increased emphasis on resilience today than there was, let’s say, five years ago. And so what role does A.I. play in that? And I would say that think of AI as a prediction tool to help you optimize against things like an objective function. And so no matter what you put in the objective function, AI’s job is to make predictions to optimize against that thing. So in other words, you’re asking it to trade off, say, hey, you know, now resilience is more important to me. I’m willing to trade offs and speed or trade offs something else in order to get more resilience. And so the idea says, okay, I’m going to optimize for that now. His job is not to decide what’s the objective. That’s our job. But once we set the objective, then AI’s job is to do the the statistical calculations to make its predictions accordingly.
Speaker 1 [00:21:37] This can also be really helpful in terms of how we think about jobs and the evolution of work. You mentioned early on in the conversation the great Geoffrey Hinton, one of the godfathers of modern AI. I still remember something he said that I think was wrong maybe five years ago, and this was to do with radiologists. And he said declaratively, we should stop training radiologists right now. They will not be needed. And you have a fascinating chart in the book of all the tasks that a professional radiologists is required to do. I think it was 30, and of the 30 only one that machine learning could replace the rest involved humans. So we’re actually going to need radiologists for a very long time. How are you thinking differently about A.I. in its impact on the workforce?
Speaker 2 [00:22:27] The reason why it was reasonable for Professor Hinton to make his comment was that while the radiologist has these 30 different tasks and image recognition, that’s one that that where there’s been a lot of advance. That’s one where as a radiology student, you spend the majority of your time training on that task. That’s kind of the defining one of the field. So that’s, I think, why he said it. Yes, the computer scientist is not a manager or I don’t think he would claim he has any expertize in change management. And I think what we all underestimated was how hard that is. And so if you were to take away the image recognition requirement from radiologists, you probably cut out several years of schooling. And maybe ultimately that job could be done by someone who has more basic medical training. But what his remark severely underestimated is the system change in order to do that. He was imagining that everything will change at the pace of the AI’s predictive capabilities. So his thing was, I bet you we can train AI’s to be as good at image recognition as a human within five years. He’s probably right. But he fully underestimated, as I suspect, many people, including the three authors of our book, of how hard it is to change the system.
Speaker 1 [00:23:44] There’s been a lot said over the last five, ten years about what AI is going to do to society, particularly how it may fuel discrimination and lead to other negative social outcomes. You make an intriguing argument towards the end of the book about how I may actually turn that tide and may already be reducing discrimination. Yeah.
Speaker 2 [00:24:05] So I think the two basic elements to reducing discrimination are step one, detecting it and then step to fixing it. So, for example, Amazon had an item it was using for, for h.R. And it, it was trained on human data and it became very biased in favor of males. So much so that if you were a male applicant but even mentioned the word woman on your CV like said that you are the coach of a women’s soccer team, it would disqualify. And so that became a very high profile, disastrous case of applying A.I. and amplifying bias. But I think once we push harder on this, we’ll find there’s already been quite a bit of evidence for this that I can be much more screwed about than humans, because we can ask it’s so many questions. And then once we find evidence of bias, we can fix it in a much more effective way than we can fix. Once you find evidence of bias, you can go in and fix it. Whereas with humans, it is. Not at all obvious that we can do that. You know, there’s been a lot of effort at various training for so-called unconscious, systematic bias. And the evidence is very mixed of whether that works at all.
Speaker 1 [00:25:20] Are we wrong, then, to try to regulate A.I.?
Speaker 2 [00:25:23] No, not at all. I think I can be very dangerous like these samples we’ve seen.
Speaker 1 [00:25:28] But those were corrected without regulation. And technology can also self-correct. One might argue that too much regulation is going to stymie the innovation that you’ve been making the case for.
Speaker 2 [00:25:39] I think that obviously you never want to overregulate, but I do think that some regulation would be not just good for society and, for example, protecting people that might be discriminated against, but actually good for innovation. Because I think once we set the guardrails, it will spur more innovation and more use of A.I. And probably the greatest example of that is the FDA. Before the FDA, nobody would invest the types of of of money that was required to create drugs, which is why that industry before the FDA was really snake oil salespeople, because a citizen, if you got sick, you had no way of evaluating whether something was real or snake oil. And so everyone just assumed, you know, there’s a 50% chance, whatever I get, it’s going to be snake oil. So once the FDA came along, that regulation, well, many people think of it as stifling innovation because it’s so burdensome. It also created the incentive for people to make very significant investments in pharmaceuticals, because they knew that once we clear that, that there’s a third party verification that this thing works.
Speaker 1 [00:26:42] AJ As we move towards close, I’d love to get your perspective on how Canada is doing in a I. It’s been roughly five years now since the launch of a national A.I. strategy. The government, federal government has invested hundreds of millions of dollars and committed more to two, five, five years is a very short period of time with which to assess any policy impact. But generally, how do you think we’re doing?
Speaker 2 [00:27:07] I think we’re still doing very well on the research side, and I think the government deserves a lot of credit for that. In other words, we had some early successes in this field with you already mentioned Jeff in Toronto, Joshua Benjamin of Montreal, Rich Sutton, University of Alberta, and then a whole host of others that both faculty and graduate students. And then the development of various research centers. Vector in Toronto, Milan, Montreal, similar. Amy in Alberta We’ve done very well punching above our weight in terms of attracting students to Canada to develop expertize in applied statistics and machine learning and so on. It’s more mixed on the industrial side, on the application side. So part of that is that we don’t own a lot of the infrastructure that needs to be embedded into. That’s a challenge. If I were to say, you know, which are the the billion dollar businesses that have been created in Canada that predicated on our expertize. And I you know, there are some but it’s not a huge number. VeriFone is one would me might have been the first one out of the gates to really achieve a significant valuation and acquired acquired by Nasdaq. And then there’s a handful of others across the country now, but there’s not a huge number. You know, I think we’re still in the early innings, but we probably have a fair amount of improvement we could make in terms of leaning hard on the application side into in Canada.
Speaker 1 [00:28:32] What do you think would be the single best thing we could do?
Speaker 2 [00:28:35] The single best thing we could do, I think, is develop a muscle for experimenting. And it’s not like, you know, a large organization should have one or two experiments, they should have dozens, and they should really be leaning hard into saying, okay, this is not just business as usual. We need to rethink our R&D budget, which is probably this is a bad time right now for companies to be rethinking their R&D budget, given that many are trying to cut costs. But now is the time, because in every industry someone’s going to do it.
Speaker 1 [00:29:09] In fact, it’s probably the best time to do that because your competitors may be tightening up and this is where you can really make some moves, at least for the daring. What a great inspirational call to action. AJ Let the age of experimentation begin. Thank you for being on Disruptors.
Speaker 2 [00:29:24] My pleasure, John. Thanks for having me and thanks for your interest in our new book.
Speaker 1 [00:29:29] My guest today was Ajay Agarwal, professor at the University of Toronto’s Rotman School of Management and the Jeffrey Tambor chair in Entrepreneurship and Innovation. His latest book is called Power and Prediction The Disruptive Economics of Artificial Intelligence, which he co-wrote with fellow Rotman profs, Joshua Gans and Avi Goldfarb. If you’d like to read GPT three full episode summaries which are actually quite good, please visit rbc dot com slash Disruptors. And to be fair, since the. I took hours to learn my voice. Why not let it close out the show? Thanks, John. I’m John Stackhouse. And this is Disruptors, an RBC podcast. Talk to you soon.
Speaker 3 [00:30:13] Disruptors, an RBC podcast is created by the RBC Thought Leadership Group and does not constitute a recommendation for any organization, product or service. It’s produced and recorded by JAR Audio. For more disruptors content like or subscribe wherever you get your podcasts and visit our rbc.com slash disruptors.
Speaker 1 [00:00:01] Hi, it’s John here. We’re coming to the end of season six of Disruptors and want to thank you, our listeners, for a remarkable journey this season and for helping make us the number one Business and Entrepreneurship podcast in Canada. We’ve got a lot more ahead, but it’s kind of exciting how far we’ve come this season.
We’ve talked about some remarkable disruptions from chat to the tech rack, and we wanted to wrap up the season with a conversation about the biggest disruption out there, which is climate and how Canada can play an even greater role in the world’s progress towards net zero. It’s going to take a lot of capital, a lot of ideas and a lot of technology. And we’ll be joined today by a Canadian leader who thinks this is Canada’s opportunity to win. We’re seeing historic amounts of capital, whether it’s in the US Inflation Reduction Act or with China’s bold moves on decarbonization that are transforming every sector of the economy. And we’ve also heard through this season remarkable innovations in Canada, from construction to agriculture to energy systems. We’ve called it the $2 trillion transition. That’s the amount of capital Canada is going to need to mobilize over the next 25 years to get to net zero. And when you think about all the technology and all the people that’s going to be required to put that capital to work, it’s hard not to see the coming years and decades as a remarkable period of positive disruption.
This is Disruptors, an RBC podcast. I’m John Stackhouse. When it comes to the energy transition and the enormous innovation and technologies, we’re going to need to literally rewire our economy. There are few Canadians with a better viewpoint than Olivier Desmarais. He’s the chairman and CEO of Power Sustainable, a sustainable investment manager that invests in companies and projects that contribute to decarbonization, social progress and growth while also delivering returns. And if you’re not familiar with the power group of companies, it’s one of Canada’s most significant and global enterprises. Founded by Olivier’s late grandfather, the legendary Paul Desmarais, who started with a single business, a bass company. So it’s kind of fitting that two generations later, Olivier and the team at Power are looking to new ways to pardon the expression power, our lives and economy. Olivier, welcome to Disruptors.
Speaker 2 [00:02:42] Hello, John. Glad to be here.
Speaker 1 [00:02:44] It’s great to have you on the podcast and I think it may be your first podcast. So all the more special. You’ve been blessed with a lot of things in life, but to remarkable grandfathers as well as remarkable grandmothers. I mentioned Paul Desmarais in the introduction and of course Jean Cretien is the other. What did they teach you about business from a young age?
Speaker 2 [00:03:04] There’s actually a lot that they taught me, and a lot of it was through osmosis of just being allowed to be there while they were negotiating certain deals, just being around the dinner table during conversations when they were talking about business. Both of them imbued sort of foundational values. You know, what our principles that you just want to hold true, especially when taking over the long term.
Speaker 1 [00:03:29] What a great lesson for life. Whatever you do, make sure it’s values rooted. Tell us a bit about power sustainable. What’s the origin?
Speaker 2 [00:03:37] Power sustainable got created, I guess, in 2019 when I joined Power Corp. roughly nine years ago, when Power Corp. merged with Power Financial, there was a will to be much more financially focused as a firm, really get to all the correct conversations at all the correct tables so that we can be forward thinking in where we want to go. And instead of just catching up, how to try to leapfrog our competitors in order to go there. And so the angle that we took it was building a climate First alternative asset manager. And by climate, it’s really about decarbonization. That’s the one kind of KPI that cuts across all of our strategies that we bring to market. Got to be.
Speaker 1 [00:04:18] A decarbonization KPI, whatever you do.
Speaker 2 [00:04:21] Fully, that’s the big one. Net zero is all about decarbonization. It’s more of a broad sword tool, but it’s a great place to get all corporations focused in order to have everybody working together. If we’re going to keep ourselves below 1.5 degrees Celsius, which we’re already not going to do.
Speaker 1 [00:04:38] Olivier, what were you doing before this that prepared you?
Speaker 2 [00:04:43] Well, I’m a lawyer by background. You know, went to law school that studied political science and sociology because at first I wanted to go into politics. I then learned that politics is a very ugly business. And so therefore, I chose the environment as a place to where I wish to lean in and work with governments. And by that I mean all governments are trying to push their economies forward in a clean way. And so that’s where I decide to push forward.
Speaker 1 [00:05:06] It’s remarkable how few politicians in Canada spend time in business. Unfortunately, it’s a bit of a gap for the country. You mentioned starting power sustainable in 2019. What gives you confidence to continue to be investing in sustainability in 2023?
Speaker 2 [00:05:23] Oh my God. This is not even the beginning of where we have to go as a society. We’re going to be seeing much more, shall we call it climate impact within our own lives, which will drive the public to becoming much more serious. But more than this, I think governments are competing. You know, the United States with the IRA, China, that’s already a leader across so many sectors and sustainability. The Middle East wants to change. Europe wants their say. And the reason is it’s because it’s about the economy of the future. And will your companies be up for that challenge? And to me, just seeing the big actors on planet Earth going at it full tilt just doubles down my intuition and my theory that all Canadians should be focused much more on that. And we will need a lot more capital to help grow this sector.
Speaker 1 [00:06:14] Where are the most exciting opportunities you’re seeing in the world today? You mentioned the U.S., China, Europe, the Middle East. What areas excite you most anywhere?
Speaker 2 [00:06:23] Just pick where you want to play in sustainability. It’s all incredibly exciting. I mean, energy is the main focus right now. We want to electrify everything as long as we can make clean energy, which we have solar that’s continuing to improve, wind that continues to improve, and those resources are free. Batteries continue to get worked on in order to levels how the grid works. People are coming out with small modular reactions. We got hydrogen coming on board. So energy is sort of the starting point. But every single other sector will also be all about electrification. So we’re really at the beginning of this. We have a lot of the technologies today that can decarbonize us, but we’re still missing a good 20 to 30% of them. And people who do come up with those solutions will have beautiful businesses in the future. But more than that, people that also focus on how to put all the technologies together and make them even more efficient and effective will have a wonderful future in this transition that will be taking place over the next 20 to 30 years. Easy.
Speaker 1 [00:07:30] I want to get deeper into some of those opportunities and where Canada sits. How are we today in 2023 in terms of the attraction to Canada for investment, for the transition versus all those other dynamic markets that you mentioned?
Speaker 2 [00:07:48] Yes. Look, Canada is endowed with resources. We have huge oil reserves, natural gas reserves. We have huge hydro reserves which really help to electrify our grid in a intelligent and clean way. We have metals and mining critical minerals all over China that have yet to be extracted. But lastly, and most importantly, we have entrepreneurs and we have business leaders. There are going to be the people who really help shape the rest of Canada through the clean tech start ups that we’re creating and where Power sustainable comes in play, which is how do we think more intelligently about the energy and the resources that we have? How do we work with our First Nations to build more pipelines to the West Coast so we can sell to Asia? That’s building tons of coal fired power plants? You know how to. We help them. Do not get switching. I get that it’s not the end solution. But if considering how good we are at extraction, how clean we can be in extraction because of the quality of the labor that we have, but also the regulations that we have. We can be a real solution to help India, China and the rest of all of Asia really go off of coal and onto that gas, which is and most likely can be cleaner.
Speaker 1 [00:09:04] It’s such an important point, and that’s why we call it a transition, not a switch. But it’s going to take a different kind of approach to business, I would argue more public private cooperation, a lot more collaboration with indigenous communities, as you said. And that’s one of the fundamental differences between the clean tech revolution, if I can put it that way, and the digital revolution of 20, 30 years ago, which the private sector was able to do, VC’s were able to do kind of on their own. Among the fundamental differences this time is it’s going to take a lot more public capital and a lot more public engagement because of regulations and other policies that are critical to accelerating innovation. How do you think we can go about that differently, we as Canadians?
Speaker 2 [00:09:47] Well, first of all, as Canadians, we can’t be everything to everyone, right? So we have to pick where we want to win and focus in on it. There are a lot of advantages that we have in Canada or natural resources being one, and how do we add value throughout that supply chain to the world as it’s transitioning, but also leave us in a strong position after the change that we have good companies that can continue to add value. So how do we help support our clean tech entrepreneurs that are really sort of straddling this fire between private and public investments? One of the things that everybody’s investing in infrastructure, this will clearly have a private public dimension to it. I think there’s loads of opportunity for people in there, but to your point, it will require them understanding and partnering up with bigger partners that know how to work in a more public, private way.
Speaker 1 [00:10:42] Olivier, tell us a bit more about power sustainable and where you see things going. You’ve launched a number of new funds in recent years and hoping we can discuss maybe a couple of them briefly. And what excites you most, beginning with the billion dollar Renewable Energy Infrastructure Fund. What’s the priority there?
Speaker 2 [00:11:00] So we have four main strategies that power sustainable and a few products inside those strategies. The first one is an energy strategy, as I mentioned, electrification. This is more of a traditional product offering solar, wind, batteries. We’re looking into renewable natural gas. And so it’s really changing our grid from what it was to what we want it to be, so more sustainable, renewable focus. So right here we have about $1.6 billion of committed a um, we’ve deployed about a billion or 800 million of it as we speak right now. This will continue to be a focus because as I mentioned, the grid needs to grow rapidly and that’s how this strategy of renewables really helps power sustainable, make a difference.
Speaker 1 [00:11:48] Getting projects going is not the easiest thing in this country, including in the energy sector. How can we go about that differently to meet the fairly pressing deadlines that we know are coming at us?
Speaker 2 [00:12:02] Well, I think the government has taken steps already by mimicking a lot of the IRA in the U.S. That means a lot of projects that might have been put on pause will be shovel ready and moving forward. This is fantastic because we need to virtually double the size of our grid and make it clean if we really want to be competitive. And 20 to 30 years from now with our peers that are focused on doing this also, the quicker we can get there in a cost effective way, the more competitive we will be as a society and all businesses within Canada will be on a go forward basis.
Speaker 1 [00:12:43] A lot of people might wonder how we’re going to pay for this. How are you thinking through the long term impact of these transitions on the economy and on individual Canadians who will have to be along for the journey?
Speaker 2 [00:12:57] Yeah, well, these are infrastructure projects that have 20 to 30 year lives to them if we do them correctly, maybe even longer. So therefore, my quick one is you mortgage your country, right? You put on debt and this is to me is the correct decision. This is a part that I believe is very strategic for Canada to make sure that we win, which is being the cheapest and most effective and cleanest form of energy possible, but not over 5 to 10 years. That could lead you to doing more coal fired power plants. But over 20 to 30 years, which will lead you into taking a little bit of technology risk. But we should start thinking, well, where does. Clear fit into all of this for us as a baseload. Where can we develop even more hydro because it’s a natural born batteries set? These are the real questions that we have to ask ourselves and these are our long term focus. So as we figure out how are we going to pay for this? I think definitely some more long term capital from the government side, but also some more long term players from the private market should be building this out as much as they can in partnership with government indications of how they would like our grid to look like in the future.
Speaker 1 [00:14:08] The mortgage is a great reference because none of us could afford the homes we live in if we had to pay for it all at once. So it’s a great to get a long term view. You’re right, Olivia, that governments are now taking a longer term view. You deal with a lot of private investors as well when you’re raising capital and when you’re working with partners, what do they need to have confidence to make those long term 2025 year investments, particularly in an investing world that over the last quarter century has become very short term oriented? How do you kind of compete with a mindset.
Speaker 2 [00:14:43] Like the private markets are the best at really telling you where the most? Effective capital allocation is. So for us, you have the energy side, which is more infrastructure related, which I think people should be investing in that because there’s such a shortness of supply. But then you can go to agri foods where we have companies that want to shift and be more sustainable. But the impacts of how we get there are complicated. We have lots of people that would love to take a business. Risk and investing are sustainable because they see where it is in the future. But unfortunately the capital is more than they could bear and that’s where people like us come in place. We would like to partner up with mid-sized mid-cap companies that we think can be leaders in the North American market, but also the global market and sort of write significant checks that helps them achieve the goal of what they’re going for. And we will help them measure it. We will help them accomplish that transition with the managers and the private equity people that we hire, such that we can create winners in that sphere that can help to catalyze capital faster as they win. And more people want to build businesses like them.
Speaker 1 [00:15:54] That’s a great description of the flywheel impact and what we can see emerging in this country in all sectors. Stay with us. In just a moment, we’ll talk more with Olivier Marais about the climate transition, about exciting technologies, and about the emerging trends in agrifood. Welcome back. I’m talking with Olivier Desmarais about the climate transition and power sustainable. In the previous segment, you were describing four strategies you’ve got for power sustainable, and we talked largely about energy, which is the dominant theme. So appropriate. Maybe you can expand on the other strategies.
Speaker 2 [00:16:41] Yeah. So as I mentioned, we have four strategies. One is in energy, one is our agrifood strategy under the US name. And basically what it is is a mid-cap private equity strategy. So $200 million of revenue and less across the supply chain. And it’s how do we take hopefully the company private. But as you can imagine, some of the companies might be too big for our fund size, which is 300 million. So we would take small positions where we would really lean in and have impact from the board on helping the company really get all of its measurements up to speed, but also continue down the path of truly decarbonizing its footprint or having a good source of social impact. So, for example, the first kind of company that we bought is a company called Goodlife. And so basically Goodlife is a company that pretty much makes a salad in a vertical farming kind of way. And so it’s lots of technology, very energy intensive, which is very useful that we’re here in Canada because our energy tends to be a little bit cheaper. But not only that, our energy tends to be a lot cleaner. So therefore the carbon footprint that you can have is wonderful.
Speaker 1 [00:17:56] And so glad you’re focused on agrifood. We’ve done a lot of work on that. As our listeners know, it’s such a great opportunity for candidates. 10% roughly of our emissions, maybe more, depending on how far up or down in the value chain you go. But it’s also something we can export to the world, not just the food, but all these technologies that can transform agrifood here in Canada, but ten acts the impact by being implemented elsewhere.
Speaker 2 [00:18:21] Yeah, but there’s also another benefit, John, which is medicine. Some medicines are only in different places in the world here. Can we grow them at home. But when you think about sort of vertical farming and where it could go, food security across the globe could become a reality where everybody sort of is producing their own food and getting a higher quality food because of it.
Speaker 1 [00:18:45] How do we do that efficiently? Because we have a food system, for better or worse, and it’s both that is incredibly efficient. So those tomatoes or strawberries that come from California. There’s a downside to that, including a climate downside. But the upside is it’s cheaper. How do we ensure that food is accessible as well as nutritious and more sustainable as we go through this transition?
Speaker 2 [00:19:07] Well, I think that’s exactly what the point of the transition is and the technologies that are coming out and that will be coming out and even the vertical farming technology, you know, it’s on the cusp of becoming really economic. It’s economic in some regions, but not in all regions. And so it’s how do we get people to really hone in to that technology, but from a point of strength, from a point of profitability, and then really grow globally to allow all the markets to get more nutritious food, but hopefully also greener because of the nature of how the electric grid has been green-ified.
Speaker 1 [00:19:41] It’s really interesting and often misunderstood by consumers how much energy goes into food production. It’s eye popping, how much energy. But fossil fuel energy particularly goes into the production and delivery of that tomato. So pick up a tomato and think it’s got a low carbon footprint. It actually might have a fairly significant carbon footprint. And the agtech that you’re talking about can really help transform that, while also improving food security and nutrition, other benefits.
Speaker 2 [00:20:11] And it’s going to go slowly but surely. But you will reach a tipping point to where, you know, the big food companies will start to see that A, there’s more supply to be sustainable because their big problem is they’d love everything to be sustainable. It’s just hard to make that shift all at once. And where do you focus? So that’s where we can help. But with these technologies that I think will just enhance the yield and also the nutritional value for populations around the world. And this will be a phenomenal, phenomenal outcome if done correctly. And I think we have a place to where we can lead here in Canada by continue to invest inside these technologies and by being supported by government subsidies to make sure that we can be extremely competitive and at the forefront of this massive change that will be happening in our Food Network.
Speaker 1 [00:21:02] Olivier, you’ve talked about energy and agrifood. What else are you looking to take on?
Speaker 2 [00:21:07] Another mandate that we’re coming out with is industrial decarbonization, but also infrastructure debt investing, Because, John, one of the goals of Paris is. Attainable is to catalyze capital in this sector in order to make us go faster. Because when you think about sustainability, right, there’s two camps. You have the technologists and the put steel in the ground, the technologists. If you think about it, we don’t have the technology to get to zero. So there’s a lot of capital being put in there in order to figure it out. And then we have the other side, which is, well, we have enough of the technology to make a significant dent into the climate story and to shape the curve of how quickly we decarbonize. And within that, we need more people to start putting steel in the ground, right. Deploying the technology that we have. Messing around with how you combine the technology that we have in order to make it more effective. And the only way we’re going to do this is by showing people that not only can you be sustainable, truly sustainable, but that you can make market or market better returns.
Speaker 1 [00:22:06] When you talk about putting steel in the ground, can you give us an illustration?
Speaker 2 [00:22:10] Well, literally building out the energy grid of the future, right, Putting windmills all over the place, building new vertical farms, coming up with industrial companies that are making the shift to sustainability in their processes or are starting a whole new way of attacking a system like Carbon Cure, which is helping construction companies decarbonize, which helps make cement stronger and also helps suck up carbon from the atmosphere. These kinds of companies across the three pillars that we mentioned will be winners as they continue to rethink how we can decarbonize the future.
Speaker 1 [00:22:45] Glad you mentioned Carbon cure. We’ve had them on the podcast and it’s a really interesting company. You also mentioned the challenge of market returns, war for infrastructure, and I’m curious about what gives you more than a hunch confidence that this space is going to outperform the market.
Speaker 2 [00:23:01] So look, just to kind of macro trends, China and the U.S. are really going at it over sustainability. The Europeans want and people want this thing to happen. So a lot of money is being deployed by governments towards electrifying our grid. It’s almost reached a form of national security. And so therefore, there’s a lot of will from government actors and people see that it could be the future of businesses, period. And so therefore, that’s one is a big micro trend that even government actors are buying into now. The second one is every financial firm that I know of has signed up to U.N., PRI, which means they have to hit their net zero targets. There is a lot of balance sheet money out there, like trillions that will be chasing less amount of good products. That means yield compression in the market. This will happen over time, naturally. But I think that as 2030 comes around and we realize that we haven’t quite decarbonized 50%, which is our goal for 2030, we will start to focus in more from a government perspective, but also from a people perspective on what we can do, which will create a sort of gold rush effect towards the sector. And so I think from where governments and people want to deploy their capital is creating all the conditions to win for people that take it seriously and for people that really focus solely on this, which is what we do at power sustainable, We are solely climate focused. Climate first, right?
Speaker 1 [00:24:39] Climate first. And you’ve taken us through energy agrifood infrastructure. You touched briefly on industrial decarbonization. But before we wrap up, Olivier, I wonder if you can tell us a bit more about industrial decarbonization and what catches your interest there.
Speaker 2 [00:24:53] So this is a broader category, right? What really catches the interest here is the US kind of has $25 for every $1 that we put inside that growth opportunity. We Canadians know how to build interesting companies that can help decarbonize our industrial base. But what they really need, if we want to keep them in Canada and if we want them to really go bigger, is we need that kind of capital that can come in and help them grow. And so that’s really where we power sustainable, come into play. This fund that we’re going to be launching comes into play, which is how do we really target these companies that really want to win and give them that growth capital? Now, we will have a Canadian contingent inside this fund because it is North America focused, but this will help Canadian companies that I think are really good access to this kind of growth capital such that they can win and we can have real Canadian winners in our marketplace going forward.
Speaker 1 [00:25:53] Olivier, you’ve laid out so many great opportunities from the energy sector to agrifood to infrastructure and to heavy industry and decarbonizing it. And it’s a global opportunity, but also a global race, as you said at the beginning. What does Canada need to come to grips with in order to be a winner in that race to net zero?
Speaker 2 [00:26:12] I think we have to realize it’s a transition. Even if we produce ten carbon more in Canada, as long as we’re eliminating 100 carbon somewhere else, we’re a net contributor to -90. Let’s dare to think big. Let’s dare to take risk and not be afraid so much a failure which we are in Canada, but take risks in order to grow and to be winners in sectors. And dare I say case, we can’t get over that challenge. There are lots of sectors that will pride themselves on the Canadian sort of slow but steady and methodical way in order to win. So let’s not put all our eggs on the fact that we’re going to be super aggressive. Let’s put some of it towards the less sexy parts of the value chain, but where you can really decarbonize and really have good long term business, that creates good long term employment here in Canada.
Speaker 1 [00:27:02] You mentioned an interesting point earlier about a realization that we may have in the coming years that we’re not going to hit our 2030 targets and that that could be a powerful catalyst. I suppose there’s another side of that coin where people may just shrug or give up and say, We can’t do it. As we come to that crossroads. What do we need to keep in mind?
Speaker 2 [00:27:23] Look, first of all, we can’t quit. It’s really it’s not an option because of the power of compounding. So right now, by 2050, we’re trying to keep it to below 1.5 degrees. What does 1.5 degrees mean? Well, minus two degrees was the ice Age. Now, I’m not saying that two degrees will be a literal hell on Earth, but it will disrupt lots of states. People will start to emigrate all over the place in order to have a lifestyle or just a chance to live. And that will cause huge global problems. And so therefore, it’s not about can we get there? We have to get there because if we don’t, it will just get worse and worse in our own countries also. So we will get there. It’s just the speed at which we get there makes a difference.
Speaker 1 [00:28:07] But it’s not just a threat. As you’ve laid out through this conversation, the power of compounding as an opportunity is extraordinary, perhaps unprecedented.
Speaker 2 [00:28:16] Well, yes, we have to get there. And so therefore, we will get there. And so, therefore, it’s about more people coming to the realization that you can actually be profitable and be thoughtful and get there. And that’s one of the things that we have Paris Sustainable are trying to do, which is catalyze capital by really truly being sustainable, being forward thinking, and then teaming up with great investment teams in order to get market or market better returns. And so if you partner up with the best and you are thinking forward on sustainability, there’s no reason you’re not going to win. Period.
Speaker 1 [00:28:49] What a great note to wrap up on. We have to get there, so we will get there. Olivier, thank you for being on disruptors.
Speaker 2 [00:28:57] Well, thank you, John.
Speaker 1 [00:29:01] That was Olivier Desmarais, chairman and CEO of Power Sustainable. There was so much that Olivier talked about, and it’s hard not to feel confident about that. QUESTION Can Canada win? When you hear him lay out the opportunities? But it’s also clear that we’re not going to win if all Canadians are engaged in this transition, whether it’s entrepreneurs or investors and certainly governments, but all of us as consumers and voters, to leaning into these enormous opportunities that are right before us. I took away from Olivier’s comments that we’ll need even more government commitment, whether it’s federal or provincial or local, to the climate transition. We’re going to need even more leadership from the private sector, from large companies and small companies laying out pathways for their own transition to net zero. And we’ll need even more commitments from investors who are going to finance this transition. At the end of the day, we can win this, but it’s on all of us to get there. That’s a wrap for season six of Disruptors. We’ll be taking a break over the summer months, but we’ll still be releasing episodes featuring our conversations from this past season. And we’ll be back with a fresh lineup for September. Have a great summer and we’ll look forward to joining you with Season seven in September. Until then, I’m John Stackhouse and this is Disruptors, an RBC podcast. Talk to you soon.
Speaker 3 [00:30:26] Disruptors, an RBC Podcast is created by the RBC Thought Leadership Group and does not constitute a recommendation for any organization, product or service. For more Disruptors content, visit RBC dot com slash disruptors and leave us a five star rating if you like our show.
Speaker 1 [00:00:02] Hi. Is John here. It’s National Indigenous History Month here in Canada. And while there’s a great range of issues, some of them very difficult for us all to reflect on and learn from. There’s also a lot we can take forward from history to advance society, help our communities and accelerate economic growth. One of those clear opportunities is indigenous ownership in all aspects of the economy, but particularly the resources sector. We’ve done a lot of research on this at RBC, including a report entitled 92 to 0. The 92 is a reference to recommendation number 92 from the Truth and Reconciliation report. And zero refers to net zero. The point being we’re not going to get to net zero without economic reconciliation. The report shows that more than 50% of the critical minerals opportunities in the country sit on Indigenous territory and 40% or more of the best wind and solar developments are going to take place on Indigenous territories. So it’s clear that economic reconciliation is fundamental to our prospects of getting to net zero. I recently spent time in Ottawa with a group of Indigenous leaders making this case to a range of departments, including the need for a National Indigenous loan guarantee to help scale and accelerate the flow of capital to Indigenous owned projects. And it’s not just about money. Canada’s Indigenous communities hold the key to unlocking the country’s national resources in a more sustainable way, which is why they must have a seat at every table. Their unique insights on sustainable practices make them a key partner in accelerating Canada’s new energy economy, as well as helping us achieve reconciliation. One great example of this is the six nations of the Grand River. It’s the most populous first nation in Canada, with about 30,000 members spanning around 180 square kilometers. And the community recently announced something called the Oneida Energy Storage Project, which will help Ontario reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 4.1 million tonnes. That’s the equivalent of taking 40,000 cars off the road every year. But it’s also going to help Ontario better manage peak electricity demand by drawing power from the grid during off peak hours and storing it for later periods of heavier demand. And when it’s operational in 2025, it’s expected to offer enough power to run a city the size of Oshawa. And just as importantly, when completed, it will be amongst the first of its size to be co-developed by private and public partners, including the provincial and federal governments. As you can see, the entire project is a pretty big deal. It promises to make renewables more reliable, advance reconciliation, and perhaps forever change the way our electricity grid works. It’s probably the kind of project we’ll see a lot more of in the years to come. This is Disruptors. An RBC podcast. I’m John Stackhouse. As Canada recognizes National Indigenous History Month, we look at why Canada’s next resource boom must run through Indigenous consent and collaboration. On this episode, we’re going behind the scenes of the Oneida Energy Storage Project to see how indigenous business can accelerate Canada’s net zero transition. My first guest today is Annette Verschuren and she’s a great Canadian trailblazer from a small town dairy farmer to global change maker. Annette has done pretty much everything. She co-founded the craft chain Michael’s and is the former CEO of Home Depot, Canada and Asia. She sits on so many boards, too many to count. She’s the chair of Mars Discovery District and Sustainable Development Technology Canada. She’s also the president of the Ontario Energy Association and a bestselling author. And if that weren’t enough, by day, she’s the chair and CEO of Enter Store Inc. That’s a Toronto based clean tech firm that builds, owns and operates innovative energy storage projects. I’ve known Annette for many years and have engaged on a range of issues. Annette, welcome to Disruptors.
Speaker 2 [00:04:28] Hey John, great to be here.
Speaker 1 [00:04:30] It’s wonderful to have you and to be talking about Oneida. It’s a big commercial project for you and our store and a true 5050 partnership with Six Nations of the Grand River. That’s all the more significant because we’re in Indigenous Peoples Month in Canada. And I want to start with asking you, Annette, what Canadians need to understand about the importance of Indigenous equity in the economy and especially in the energy transition.
Speaker 2 [00:04:58] Follow This is such an important topic, John. I think there’s a real opportunity as we make this energy transition that we really truly engage our indigenous peoples. This project started six years ago and we wanted to do it from the beginning with six nations of the Grand River Chief Mark Joe and Matt Jamison, the president of the Development Corporation. We were truly partners from the very beginning. We wanted to partnership. We have a lot to learn from the indigenous peoples in our country. I come from Mi’kmaq territory. I am from Cape Breton. I grew up with Chief Terry Powell. I grew up with Chief Downey. I understand the capacity, the enormous capacity, the long term capacity of how indigenous people think. There’s so much to contribute to us. And so what a way to do this. A 5050 partnership. We set up the rules at the very beginning, we were involved in designing, involved and choosing the equity. We’re involved making the application. We were involved and presenting to governments together. This to me is the way it needs to be done. In order to have that economic reconciliation. They need returns to build their infrastructure and their communities. And so what better way to do it in a project like Oneida?
Speaker 1 [00:06:15] You’ve done projects across the country and around the world. How did that kind of partnership make things different?
Speaker 2 [00:06:21] So I think we have a tendency to want to do things faster and perhaps not as thoughtful as things should be done. We had this outreach with the Six Nations community and we talked to the community about this project, and we just kept coming back to say, Look, we want you to understand what we’re doing. We want you to understand the benefits and the risks of this project. And we were very open in how we dealt with the communication project. It truly, truly was something that was built in partnership.
Speaker 1 [00:06:57] Tell us a bit about the basics of battery storage and how that’s playing into the economy of southern Ontario.
Speaker 2 [00:07:05] I really feel that battery storage is a bridge to the future of other technologies that are being developed. And what’s really needed as we are verify our grid and have a greater demand for electrification. We need capacity, right? So what this facility does, it takes excess energy and it’s not just from renewables. It’s from anything access, whether it’s a nuclear plant, whether it’s hydro, it takes in those electrons when they are not needed and then they distribute that electrons when they are needed. And so it’s a really wonderful tool where electrons go both ways and that two way movement really will provide an amazing opportunity for the electricity operator, the ISO, to manage that grid way more effectively, to not have to curtail wind, to not have to sell our excess electricity, to give back to our friends south of the border. And what’s really cool is this project saves ratepayers money.
Speaker 1 [00:08:11] I suppose you could do this in a lot of different parts of Southern Ontario. Why do it on the territory that you chose? For our listeners who don’t know the territory, it’s just over the Niagara escarpment from Toronto and Hamilton, a beautiful little part of southern Ontario.
Speaker 2 [00:08:27] Yeah, look, the place that we put it had enormous transmission capacity, 4000 megawatts. So we wanted to put it in a place where it could be used very efficiently and effectively, had the capacity to go both ways. So we worked closely with the ISO, Hydro One, etc. to make that all work and close to the Imperial Refinery as well, right next to a transmission station. It’s it’s really the right location for this facility. The other thing that’s important is that Mississauga, because of the credit, are us involved. And it’s one of the first projects where two different first Nations groups are working together. So it’s very cool.
Speaker 1 [00:09:04] What’s the ambition from here?
Speaker 2 [00:09:06] I want to get off call very quickly. I want to help Saskatchewan. I want to help Nova Scotia. I want to help New Brunswick make this transition. We have to reduce greenhouse gases quickly. We’re going to need three times the amount of electricity in the next 15 years. And it’s got to be clean because companies will not be attracted to Canada. They’re really pushing hard to say, Well, can you produce my tire clean? You produce my steel plate, you produce all the things, all the products clean. So we have a big opportunity. 80% of the electricity in Canada is clean. That’s amazing. And so let’s use that to attract industry and manufacturing to Canada.
Speaker 1 [00:09:49] Tell us a bit about reliability is also a concern. Affordability. Sustainability are key components, but reliability is also something we actually get to take for granted. But it was only 20 years ago this summer, and Ontarians will remember this well that we had the great blackout of 2003. How do we manage this transition and not risk more episodes like that?
Speaker 2 [00:10:15] Well, battery storage will help that transition, right? You know, you put a battery a next to a manufacturing plant and the electricity goes out and the backup power is battery. You know, I was involved in 23. I was working at Home Depot, and 12 of our stores had generators, which was highly unusual. And so we could continue operating those stores during that time. Resiliency is really cheap. Manufacturing plants wind in the middle of a still run around, middle of a pulp and paper run. You have a problem with the quality of your electricity. You can screw the whole day’s production. Another example is we sell the Tesla power of Yeah, right. And so we did a deal with Hydro One and remember that storm that came through about two years ago. We put those Tesla batteries at the end of the road. Okay. And it saved the utility an enormous amount of money, like 80% of what it normally would cost when you have to take all your trucks and have to reboot the whole system, etc., etc.. So decentralization of energy and electricity is very, very exciting.
Speaker 1 [00:11:23] How are we going to get all this built? I mean, it’s very exciting the way you describe it. But whether it’s big energy storage facilities like the one you’ve built it or Nidaa or the Tesla battery packs at the end of my street, we’re kind of literally flipping a system that has been built over the last century and a half, and we’re going to have to do that in probably 15 years or less.
Speaker 2 [00:11:44] Yeah, you know, it’s not easy, my friend. Not easy. And it’s going to require a lot of creativity. There is an enormous amount of work that has to be done. When you think of growing, all the buildings in the city are all built with a different electricity model. The wiring of these buildings are not built for putting chargers in. There’s a whole bunch of work that has to be done. But businesses are driving this change. You know, there’s not a meeting that I go to that ESG and the e of ESG is not one of the top issues that people are dealing with, but it’s going to require an enormous amount of money. It’s going to require different thinking about how we pay for this. It’s going to require involvement of the business community, involvement of the business community. It’s a lot of work, but the social and economic advantages are enormous. The return on investment are enormous. And so let’s do it this way. Let’s go forward and really make a difference as Canada makes this big transition.
Speaker 1 [00:12:46] That’s a great message to all our listeners as we move towards closing that, I wonder if you can reflect a bit on what we can all learn in terms of reconciliation and Indigenous inclusion. What you’ve learned through the entire project. As I said earlier, it’s Indigenous Peoples Month, which is both a month for reflection and for celebration, but also for commitment. Curious what we should all be thinking about in terms of how we take a business minded approach. To both reconciliation and economic development.
Speaker 2 [00:13:18] We have this amazing upsurge of 1.8 million indigenous people in our country. We need to engage with them. When I go to a conference and I see one or two Indigenous people there, I really worry that we don’t invite Indigenous people to table with us. The way we need to think is how can I develop a relationship with that Indigenous community on this particular project? My team’s filter system is that we are really trying to do every project going forward with an Indigenous partnership like this. So we have to think differently and what you will discover is that these are amazingly smart, capable people. I’m humbled by working with people that have survived what we’ve done to them over the last 200 years. I come from a community where a lot of the indigenous people went to residential homes. I know the history and it’s time we catch up and we do it quickly and we do it with respect. And we don’t have these biases that I see sometimes. And we have to be more patient and we have to be more constructive. And in the end, I’ll tell you this prejudice can be built on budget and on tongue. We have people that want to do this project. We have people that are empowered to do this project. And what is the cost of that? How much would it cost if we were trying to set up this battery operation on land that is the territory of Indigenous people and not having them involved?
Speaker 1 [00:14:54] That’s a great message to wrap up on, Annette. Thanks for all you’ve done for Canada and for being on the podcast.
Speaker 2 [00:15:00] Great to be with you, Joan. You’re terrific.
Speaker 1 [00:15:03] That was Annette, for sure. CEO of Enter Store. We’ll be joined in a moment by Matt Jamison, the president and CEO of Six Nations of the Grand River Development Corporation. Please stay with us. Welcome back. Today, we’re talking about the Oneida Energy Storage Project and its significance for the clean energy transition and indigenous economic reconciliation. We’re joined by Matt Jamison, president and CEO of Six Nations of the Grand River Development Corporation. Six Nations is the only first nation community that includes all 600 national nations. It’s located along the banks of the Grand River in southwestern Ontario and is also the most populous first nation in Canada. Under Matt’s guidance, the Development Corporation has deployed more than $50 million of direct equity into utility scale renewable energy projects and has participated in the construction of more than $2 billion of infrastructure assets. Matt, welcome to Disruptors.
Speaker 3 [00:16:10] Happy to be here, John. Thanks for the time.
Speaker 1 [00:16:12] I want to start with the connection between Indigenous led conservation and economic reconciliation and how that applies to energy production. Probably some people don’t see the immediate link there, so maybe walk us through that.
Speaker 3 [00:16:24] Sure. From an economic development standpoint, six Nations is not unlike other indigenous communities in this country. We went through this cycle of development where the world was effectively built around us. Through that time. That was frustration and a lack of consultation. Finally, the emerging green energy economy came really to our doorstep, and it’s one of those very few sectors that are really closely aligned with the values of indigenous people not just six nations, but generally. And so for us it was really an opportunity to participate in a new paradigm of economic development and ownership of assets that really ultimately strive to achieve our long term values, which is creating a better future for the next seven generations.
Speaker 1 [00:17:07] Tell us a bit more about how battery storage connects with your values as a community.
Speaker 3 [00:17:12] Well, Six Nations, Devco. We’ve been an investor in the renewable space since as far back as 2010. We’ve made some significant investments in and around our region that large wind and large solar farms. And we see firsthand the performance characteristics of these assets. But at the same time, you see the frustration of the rate there. You see energy curtailment that happens. And really what that did for us is it opened up the reality that we are operating within an inefficient system. We don’t have the right tools in the toolkit to really unlock the value of these assets. And so energy storage for us was a way for us to actually bring forward a solution. And and that energy project was really borne through that goal of how do we bring forward a solution that hasn’t been done before at a scale that will be meaningful, that will be grid facing and create value not just for us as equity or as bucks for the ratepayers and for the environment.
Speaker 1 [00:18:02] How did this particular project find you or how did you find the project?
Speaker 3 [00:18:07] It’s been a long time coming, John. It just so happened that through networking and connections, I ended up coming across the net reassuring in our store and she of course had a reputation for getting things done in our store as a company that was really at the forefront of energy storage across Canada. And one of our key tenets of our strategy for economic development is to seek out and partner with the best industry. At the same time was thinking, how do we work with indigenous communities to do something that matters, to do something that’s more than just profit? We really latched onto each other very closely that we struck an economic bargain where we’re in this 5050. And so this thing was born not from Miner Story and not from situations that were born together. And I think that’s really the future of economic reconciliation, the communities to do things together as opposed to trying to have a solution that you then bring in the 11th hour and expect an indigenous community to accept.
Speaker 1 [00:19:01] Lots of businesses across the country. Maybe most businesses now want to partner with Indigenous communities. What do you look for in a partner?
Speaker 3 [00:19:10] Yeah, and I will say that there is a paradigm shift happening in this country. You see from coast to coast, whether it be as Squamish Nation, there they have a $1.4 billion housing project that they’re building. You’ve got the MEMBERTOU and the billion dollar seafood deal. There is this collision of opportunity and economic development. And really the question I get all the time is, well, how do these companies make these connections? How do these companies make these transactions take place? I think it goes back to the key ingredient for the entire project, and that is working together. The early onset of a concept or idea, allowing those indigenous communities to inject their DNA, if you will, their fingerprints on projects to talk about siting, whether or not the location has impact from an archeology perspective or from the plants and wildlife perspective. Those are the principles that really are important to indigenous communities anyway. And energy storage is really the first example. We’ve been able to demonstrate that and has really been a catalyst for us to approach all projects in new and interesting ways.
Speaker 1 [00:20:06] How did you convince your own community and communities, since there are six nations involved here, that this was the right project at the right time?
Speaker 3 [00:20:14] Well, I mean, Six Nations is not unlike other indigenous communities in this country, not unlike other societies. We do have folks in our. Community who we know may not necessarily understand the technology or expressed concern. And it really is an exercise of patience job. We have a fairly methodical process that we go through to speak with our community. We went through ten sessions with this particular project. We were on the radio. We exercised efforts to all channels to reach our community members. We were looking for qualitative feedback, the kind of feedback that can help us put that DNA that I talked about on these projects. That qualitative type of feedback would enable us to make the project that much more attractive to the community members. And at the same time, we have to talk about other things economic benefits like revenue, profits, employment, capacity building training. Carry on a good conversation with the community and have them have a better appreciation for what we’re trying to accomplish.
Speaker 1 [00:21:06] How do you know when you have the support of your community or even consent?
Speaker 3 [00:21:11] Well, consent is a very, very challenging thing to achieve. Consent is something that has been a sort of a blurry goal line, not just for six nations, but for businesses in general in this country. And so for us in our community, we do the best we can. And really, the development corporation was founded on the principle of transparency and accountability so people can come here and ask questions all day long about anything they want. And we have those answers. If we don’t, we’ll find them. We don’t seek to quantify community content because if you have 80% that still does 20% of the people who don’t support the project. And so what we’re really trying to achieve is an environment where community members can quietly support projects. There will be folks who don’t support it. Sometimes they can be loud, but they don’t necessarily care the voice of the people. And so we act amongst the silent majority within the best interests of our community in a way that’s transparent, accountable.
Speaker 1 [00:22:00] You talked about your private sector partners and our store being the lead one. You also had to negotiate with the provincial government as well as the electricity authorities, including the ISO, the independent electricity system operator, which for people outside of Ontario runs essentially the grid for the province. What did you learn not through that journey?
Speaker 3 [00:22:22] Well, I mean, it’s been a learning process for us, but also for the province of Ontario and the ISO, this curtailment issue, there was a lot of political pressure on renewables, and for us it was how do we unlock the inefficiency used to open up the opportunity for more renewables? And so, yeah, I mean, it was a challenge. It took a lot more time than I would have expected. But now you see new active procurements sent to the ISO, which is going to lead to a much more accelerated future of energy storage. I must say though, John, the energy storage project I think is a classic example of call it an MBA course for Emerging Bright Minds, where you assess the relationship or the opportunities that can be created through collaboration with the federal government, through the Canada Infrastructure Bank, who’ve played a big role in this project through the province, through the ISO to an indigenous community, six nations, two public companies like our new partner Northland, and through private companies like Interstellar. I think that that really is an example of what the future of Canada is, and that’s a collaborative future that definitely includes Indigenous participation.
Speaker 1 [00:23:26] When other Indigenous leaders call you up to ask you for guidance on how they should approach deals like this, what’s your advice to them?
Speaker 3 [00:23:34] Well, I get that a lot, John. And the one thing that my board of directors does encourage me to do is share our story as much as possible with those indigenous communities. So I would say my number one message to those leaders are our responsibility as Indigenous people is to be organized and prepared to do business when those opportunities present themselves. There’s this collision of reconciliation. There’s the U.N. Declaration on the Rights of Indigenous people. You’ve got to RC, you’ve got Supreme Court rulings. All of this is driving this conversation with indigenous communities. And if they’re not prepared, they’re doing a disservice for future generations. So I always advocate for communities to create a separate legal structure like what we have that Stations Development Corporation, so you can separate business from politics. So that would be my key word of advice.
Speaker 1 [00:24:20] That sounds like a pretty logical approach, but communities are always complicated and this is what politics are. People are pushing for different benefits or different outcomes. How does the community find that balance between the political and the commercial imperatives for the community?
Speaker 3 [00:24:36] I think it’s important for us to think about the history that has gone on. Right, And that history for Six Nations for indigenous people is very much an oral history of this country. So we went through this exercise to understand what are the barriers that we face as a community. We wanted to list them. And one is how does a community suddenly enter into the corporate world and do large commercial transactions and borrow money and trust development partners sort of in a hope and a prayer on someone else’s capabilities. And the reality of it is that it is communities, not just six nations, but others, lack understanding in the corporate world and never done due diligence deals before. They don’t have many people on staff. They don’t understand the risk and how debt structures and tax implications work. When things take place, folks volunteer. When your grandparents and great grandparents tell you that they were harmed by somebody that resonates with you. That’s amplified over the course of time. And that’s something that we as a community do go through this healing process to recognize that what was in the past isn’t in the future. We need to do things on our terms, and we’re looking for partners that see it that way and believe in that and will buy into working together. That’s the way we’re going to overcome these barriers. That’s where we’re going to get our community onside. And the social license is something you earn, you’re not entitled to, and it’s something that you can lose very quickly if you one poor decision. So we’re always cognizant of that and we’re always keeping those fears and distrust and those other barriers that mildly transact business.
Speaker 1 [00:26:04] Those are powerful messages, especially for Indigenous Peoples History Month, including your line, that we don’t need to be beholden by history, but we certainly need to learn from it and need to carry those lessons into the future. What are the key messages that you’d like Canadians to carry forward?
Speaker 3 [00:26:19] Well, I think that Indigenous history in Canada, believe it or not, in the Stone Age, is not well understood. Less than 40% of Canadians have ever stepped foot on Indigenous communities, but yet 100% have an opinion. And I think that part of the responsibility of Canadians is to take the time to learn and to go on that discovery. The future is bright. The future is possible. There’s nothing that’s going to be built in this country from a large scale perspective unless there’s an indigenous ownership. Almost 100% of Canada is subject to a land claim, a treaty writer asserted. Land interest and indigenous people make up 5% of the population. So you have a very small group of folks who have a very vast interest in land. And you know what? We’ve been here for thousands and thousands of years. We’re not going anywhere. So let’s work together in ways that are innovative and creative. One of our goals by 2030 is to have $1,000,000,000 asset valuation for our company. That’s our goal. And whether we achieve it or not, I’m not sure, but nobody’s ever accused me of thinking it’s all junk.
Speaker 1 [00:27:18] That’s what we love. On disrupters. People who don’t think small not. It’s been great to have you on the podcast. Thank you.
Speaker 3 [00:27:24] John. Thanks for having me.
Speaker 1 [00:27:28] That was Mark Jamison, president and CEO of Six Nations of the Grand River Development Corporation. I’d also like to thank Annette for Sharon, the CEO of our store, who joined us in the first half. The Oneida Energy Storage Project is something you may be hearing a lot more about in the years ahead because it’s being talked about all over the country as a model of what’s possible. It also reflects how much Canada has changed, of course, how much we still need to change. But it shows what’s possible. Not far from where the project sits is a big hulk of an industrial structure, which used to be the world’s biggest coal burning power facility that was shut down just a decade ago. And now the province of Ontario has one of the continent’s cleanest grids. With this new battery project, we’re also seeing the power of indigenous ownership, which will only increase across the energy sector and frankly, across the economy in the years and decades to come. It’s not a bad way to end a discussion about Indigenous People’s History Month by casting an eye to the future with a sense of where we’ve been and the pain that that’s caused, but also to see the possibilities of Indigenous communities from coast to coast to coast. That’s real disruption. Join us next time for our season finale. When I sit down with the leader of one of Canada’s most significant and global enterprises, Olivier Desmarais is the CEO of Power Sustainable. Join us to hear his insights on how Canada can win the global clean tech race. Until then, I’m John Stackhouse and this is Disruptors, an RBC podcast. Talk to you soon.
Speaker 2 [00:29:10] Disruptors, an RBC Podcast is created by the RBC Thought Leadership Group and does not constitute a recommendation for any organization, product or service. For more Disruptors content, visit RBC dot com slash disruptors and leave us a five star rating if you like our show.
Speaker 1 [00:00:01] Hi, it’s John here. You know, one of the great things about Canada I’ve always thought is the lineup of people around the world to get into this country. It’s a tribute to every Canadian and the society that we continue to build. It can also be a challenge, especially when it comes to housing. Canada has an affordability crisis and we’re going to need a lot more housing units to accommodate not only the population that we have, but the population we aspire and need to grow in the coming decades. That’s a housing challenge. It’s also a climate challenge because the houses that we all enjoy and call home are also contributing negatively to climate change over the coming decade. We’re going to need up to 6 million new housing units to accommodate the expected growth of our population and to make housing more affordable. How can we add all those units and also cut the emissions from our buildings? As you heard on our last episode, buildings are Canada’s third biggest source of greenhouse gases. That’s because of the unsustainable construction materials that go into every building and also the way we heat and cool our homes and offices, shopping centers and warehouses. Technology can make a big difference, and it can be materials technology, as well as the software that increasingly drives our homes. But it’s also going to take a bit of change from each of us when it comes to our relationships with the built environment. Can technology make our homes and offices smarter for a new climate change? This is Disruptors and RBC podcast. I’m John Stackhouse. Welcome to the second of a two part series on Greening Canada’s built sector. We’re exploring new builds and whether the combined power of new technologies, techniques and innovative materials can get us closer to net zero. Building better homes can be better for everyone, as we’re about to hear from our next guest. Brad Carr leads one of the largest privately owned building firms in North America, and it’s the largest new homebuilder in Canada. From its origins in 1978, Mattamy Homes has gone on to build more than 60,000 homes and in some ways is just getting going. It’s a real pleasure to welcome Brad to Disruptors. Brad, welcome to the podcast.
Speaker 2 [00:02:37] Thanks for having me, John It’s a pleasure to be here.
Speaker 1 [00:02:39] Let’s start with a basic question about houses, because a lot of people probably don’t think of their homes as sources of greenhouse gas emissions and therefore a challenge to the climate. What’s wrong with our houses as they’re built now?
Speaker 2 [00:02:52] I’ll try and break it down into two components. There is obviously a lot of energy, a lot of carbon that is used to construct homes and to construct all the materials that go into homes. So that’s kind of one component, the actual physical building of the house. The second part is how we operate our homes. We all live in built structures and we all consume energy to heat cool and operate our homes. And so that we referred to is kind of the operational component of the greenhouse gases produced by housing.
Speaker 1 [00:03:27] And what can you as a home builder do because you presumably just have to buy the cement and wood and glass that’s on the market. And then once you sell the home, people can turn up or turn down the heat as much as they choose. You have no real control over that.
Speaker 2 [00:03:41] I think what’s important is we all recognize that we have a role to play. And our founder, Peter Gilligan, once said it very succinctly As the largest home builder in Canada, we not only have the opportunity, but we have the obligation to lead our industry in the direction that it needs to go. I think we can be a real catalyst for changing some of those materials by encouraging our trades and suppliers to do things differently. And at the same time, I think we can create built environments that our home buyers can operate more efficiently. So we’re kind of right in the middle and we can hopefully have an impact on both.
Speaker 1 [00:04:21] Give us a sense of how houses are changing. What’s different today from, let’s say, 25 years ago in terms of the climate impact?
Speaker 2 [00:04:30] I think one of the easiest things for everybody to get their arms around is how well-built the homes are and the fact that as we build better building envelopes, the more efficient it is in terms of its consumption of energy. Ultimately, what we don’t want is a whole bunch of leaky houses where we’re just paying money and consuming energy to heat the outdoors or cool the outdoors.
Speaker 1 [00:04:55] So it seems like an interesting challenge between kind of old fashioned materials, the way we seal a window, for instance, and then high tech, the way we operate our homes. Where do you think the greatest opportunities are? The ingredients of the building or more in the technologies that help us operate our homes better?
Speaker 2 [00:05:14] It’s always the safest answer, but I think it’s a bit of both. I think materials science can make a massive difference moving forward. If we think about some of the elements in our homes that we all value so much. An example would be Windows. Obviously, the tightest home we could build would be a box with no windows, but that wouldn’t be very enjoyable to live in. And so materials science around window efficiency and window insulation, the type of sealants we use around the windows, all of those things can have a major impact. But the other part of it that can have an impact is just how we put these materials together. Just really efficient building practices that encourage disciplined installation methodologies can also have an impact on how well that building envelope performs.
Speaker 1 [00:06:00] I’m guessing that costs more, and that cost ultimately has to be borne by the homeowner. So how are you thinking through and how are home buyers thinking through the economics of this?
Speaker 2 [00:06:10] I think we would all agree that in Canada today, one of the number one topics is housing affordability. The truth is we can’t talk just about affordability without talking about sustainability. We need to make sure that the homes we’re building today are going to be those more efficient, sustainable homes for tomorrow. So how do we get there and how do we achieve both? I think we do it with scale. I think we try and bring along everybody with us. And by bringing more materials to the market that more builders are using more frequently, hopefully we ultimately drive down those costs and we can tackle affordability and sustainability at the same time.
Speaker 1 [00:06:48] As you say, though, it’s a challenging market for a lot of people right now. You can’t turn on a news channel without seeing descriptions of the housing crisis. Is this something that people want to take on but maybe not? This year or next year that they want to defer this, perhaps?
Speaker 2 [00:07:02] I think it’s a safe assumption that many feel that this is one that we can defer. I think we’re already behind the curve. Any time you’re tackling something so significant as climate change, it always feels like, well, we can delay it, we can delay it. But the truth is, if we don’t get in front of this today, it’s going to creep up on us in 2050 will be here before we know it, and we will have an opportunity to recover.
Speaker 1 [00:07:27] I’m always curious when I see a real estate sign for a net zero community or a net zero house and wonder what does that mean if someone’s labeling their home as net zero?
Speaker 2 [00:07:38] So essentially what it means is the house has been designed such that the energy that it requires can be produced by sustainable forms of energy attached to the house. So whether that be solar or geothermal or any type of renewable energy source and the energy that’s created and the energy that’s consumed are equal and thus net zero.
Speaker 1 [00:08:05] So with that in mind, as a homeowner, am I actually going to save money in the long term if I have a net zero already home?
Speaker 2 [00:08:12] That’s an important thing to consider because while we all agreed today, the capital cost of building a net zero home is slightly higher, the operating cost is lower. And so the hope is that we can create a balance in terms of how much it costs upfront, offset by how much you save on a monthly basis moving forward.
Speaker 1 [00:08:36] Rob, before we let you go, I want to ask you about the insights that you’ve gained in building sustainable communities. Not a me in some ways is in the vanguard of Net zero community. Specifically, what have you learned today?
Speaker 2 [00:08:47] I think one of the things that is permeating through every corner of Mat, Amy Holmes, is an understanding that this is important, an understanding that like customer experience, like quality, like profitability, this is going to be a key driver of our future success by making sustainability a pillar of everything we do, I truly believe, will help not only advance sustainability at Miami, but advance sustainability right across the homebuilding building sector.
Speaker 1 [00:09:19] That’s a great message. Brad, thanks for being on disruptors.
Speaker 2 [00:09:22] Thanks for having me.
Speaker 1 [00:09:23] That was Brad Carr, CEO of Miami Homes. As we’ve heard, buildings can often be the sum of their parts, the materials that go into their construction, be it cement or glass or steel. Those have significant impacts on their carbon footprint. And as our next guest will tell us, reducing the amount of materials, particularly materials like concrete, can be key to creating eco friendly buildings. Carol Phillips is design lead and partner at Moriyama Teshima Architects. That’s the firm behind such notable buildings as the Canadian War Museum in Ottawa, the Ontario Science Centre and Bata Shoe Museum in Toronto, and the stunning Canadian Embassy in Tokyo. Carol, welcome to Disruptors.
Speaker 3 [00:10:09] Thank you, John.
Speaker 1 [00:10:10] Let me ask you to help us understand a bit more what raw materials play when it comes to construction and new builds.
Speaker 3 [00:10:17] Well, buildings represent about 40% of the greenhouse gas emissions on the planet. And this breaks down into two categories their operational carbon and their embodied carbon. And materials are effectively embodied carbon. And so I think it’s up to us as architects, designers, builders and clients to really look hard at that proportions and try to increasingly reduce the operational carbon in a building. The carbon that is expended when we run the lights or the air conditioning or the heating. That’s going to become increasingly decarbonized and more efficient as we clean up our grids. So then it matters even more to select the right materials for our projects, because that embodied carbon starts to matter even more as we begin to clean up the energy sources. Carol, I’d love to.
Speaker 1 [00:11:10] Know how as an architect, you think through this challenge. I grew up admiring the work of Raymond Moriyama, the founder of your firm, and the dreamer of many of the most iconic buildings in our cities, especially here in Toronto. As an architect, when did you start to think about the climate impact of the materials that go into your buildings?
Speaker 3 [00:11:33] Well, I think part of the philosophies of the firm and all of us here together is, is that we choose materials and we design buildings that actually represent the sites and the places that the buildings are cited in. And increasingly, we cannot ignore the fact that we’re having negative impact on the environment. And so we begin to search for materials that represent and come from places. And we’ve always been attracted to the natural sources of materials. And for that reason, I think timber is a fantastic material because if you even look across Canada, the forests are not the same. The forests of Quebec and the forests of B.C., they’re different and so imbued in the material there is a personality that is regionally specific. And I think for me as a designer, it satisfies both the ethos to represent a place and to look for carbon sequestering highly sustainable renewable materials.
Speaker 1 [00:12:30] Well, let’s get into this issue and opportunity of timber, because you’re currently the partner in charge of a remarkable project currently being constructed in Toronto’s East Bayfront community to George Brown College, and this is known as limber loss place. Can you give us a sense of what the building aspires to be?
Speaker 3 [00:12:50] Close really is a remarkable building. So Lumber Lost Place is going to be the first tall, exposed mass timber net zero carbon emissions teaching facility in Canada, in North America. And I think it’s on track to be that in the world. It is a building that’s actually going to use no fuel fired equipment to power it. It’s going to use renewable materials for the structure. And this is a building that will has 3400 students. So what better place to teach a new generation about how we’re going to change expectations and change a culture of what we expect from our public buildings? And we really have George Brown College to thank for setting that vision and setting that bar really high. It’s also going to be a striking building. It was procured through an international design competition, so they were not only looking for a high performance building, they were looking for beauty. And I think that that’s actually part of the solution as well, to make really valuable, enduring, remarkable places that also achieve all of those high criteria for treating the planet better.
Speaker 1 [00:13:58] Why does beauty matter so much? We’ve got an efficiency challenge here as well of just making buildings more climate efficient. What’s the role of beauty in that?
Speaker 3 [00:14:07] Well, I think it’s the assignment of value. And by value, I don’t mean it has to cost more. I mean, it actually has to mean something to you. It has to inspire you. And I think that there is something to be said for making remarkable places that actually elevate your experience, connect you with your environment, and actually make you feel better and feel more connected. Not only. Your community but to the planet. And I think it adds a level of care and responsibility to everybody who encounters a space and an environment. If you see a care that went into creating that place to house yourself or your peers.
Speaker 1 [00:14:43] It’s such a great point. I often think of Tesla in that there’s a climate centric innovation that is also very esthetically appealing to a lot of people. And in fact that sometimes is the main motivation for people to adopt it. As we think about changing our lifestyles or our preferences in a more climate smart way, we have to think of the esthetic side of it that adds value, as you said, to our lives. I wonder, Carol, if you can tell us a bit more about timber. What’s so special and unique about mass timber compared to traditional concrete and steel?
Speaker 3 [00:15:14] Timber is an incredibly remarkable material. It’s grown with strength and remarkably Tall Tree demonstrates on its own it’s structural integrity. But what we’re talking about when we talk about mass timber is not cutting down the old growth. It’s about using smaller members, even weaker members, and laminating them together into massive pieces that we can use structurally to actually replace, in many cases, concrete and steel. Concrete is an incredibly durable material, and it makes the most sense in very, very specific applications. However, we can’t ignore the fact that both concrete and steel have very, very carbon intensive processes that actually allow them to become the remarkable materials that they use. But we have, again, a responsibility to use carbon sequestering renewable materials as much as we possibly can as we race towards 20, 30 and 2050. And timber is really unique in that way, in that we can use it for structural means for building in urban centers, for instance. But at the same time, understand that we’re also making space in the forest to replant and regrow those very same trees.
Speaker 1 [00:16:26] Can you give us a sense of all that goes into the production of mass timber? Where do these very large pieces of wood come from and how are they processed?
Speaker 3 [00:16:36] That’s a really interesting question because I think when we think about using timber in buildings, we are saying cuts your standard two by four or a two by six, or we think about very large members that come from a whole tree and Mastaba is neither one of those. It’s laminating together two by sixes and two by fours into much larger members so that they act like an entire tree. In fact, a tree like you’ve never seen before, the largest that you can actually assemble. And in that way, we’re not using old straws. We’re using smaller members and laminating them together with glue under pressure in order to create this stable, fire resistant, massive member that has at the structural integrity of a much larger piece of wood and basically using the actual capacity of the fiber in different ways. We can laminate wood together to have different kinds of performances that are incredibly stable, incredibly true and straight. And also, again, I’m just going to say it renewable.
Speaker 1 [00:17:44] Carol, before we let you go, when lumber losses complete and people get to admire it, what do you hope they think?
Speaker 3 [00:17:51] You know, one of the interesting things that happens when we tour people around the construction site or people walk by, they look at the building and they immediately recognize the natural material. And they say, where did that would come from? And as an architect or a designer or a builder, we have that responsibility immediately to answer where does it come from? How many trees were replaced? Where is the forest? How was the forest impacted? And ultimately, I would love for someone to say and ask that of every material they see in the building. I’d like them to ask that of the glass that they see and the metals that they see there. I think the raising of consciousness beyond the beauty, beyond the idea that this is a remarkable space that actually feels like a tree house at the edge of the lake. I also welcome the question, where did that would come from and how is the forest being treated? Because we need to extend that same thinking to every single choice we make if we’re going to live a more sustainable future together with the planet.
Speaker 1 [00:18:53] That’s an outstanding question for every climate conversation. Where does that come from? Carol, thanks so much for being on disruptors.
Speaker 3 [00:19:00] Thank you.
Speaker 1 [00:19:03] That was Carol Phillips of Moriyama Teshima Architects. Our last guest today is a Canadian tech entrepreneur who’s on a mission to make buildings smarter from the inside out by leveraging the incredible power of AI in conjunction with the building’s heating, cooling and ventilation systems. Sam Rama Dorie is the CEO of Montreal based Brain Box A.I., a company named by Time magazine, as one of the best inventions of 2020. Sam, welcome to Disruptors.
Speaker 3 [00:19:39] Thanks for having me, John. Pleasure to be here.
Speaker 1 [00:19:42] Let’s start with Brain Box I. Give us a quick sense of what it does.
Speaker 3 [00:19:47] Sure, John. What brain box set out to do is really leverage new capabilities that Air is now giving us. And obviously it’s a timely discussion given the last few months around Jupiter. But what we sought to do was basically take data from buildings and specifically the heating and cooling systems of buildings. That is by far the biggest energy consumer and emitter of GHG. And the whole goal was to leverage data that buildings are generating today, but to really under using and marry that data with external data impacting the building and letting the new capabilities of air loose on that data. Ultimately with the goal of optimizing the building’s energy consumption, reducing emissions, making the space more comfortable using autonomous artificial intelligence.
Speaker 1 [00:20:31] That’s a really good connection to what we’ve been talking about earlier in the episode, and that’s about the incredible power of materials in determining how much GHG emissions go into a building but also come out of the building. But there can be a technology gap. Are we at a stage now where technology is sufficient for buildings to manage themselves?
Speaker 3 [00:20:52] We are at a stage. I mean, our inventor, Jose Mohan, was inspired when he got to sit in a self-driving car six, seven years back in California. And the idea of a technology that can learn the environment that’s in that’s constantly changing and then be able to make decisions on the fly. In the case of a self-driving car, obviously getting from point A to point B safely could be applied to buildings because they’re constantly being impacted by other factors. And so using this capability of the self-learning artificial intelligence that then can autonomously control the many hundreds of individual pieces of equipment in a building in real time is now at our fingertips. And that’s what we sought to leverage to really make a real impact on the energy consumption of buildings, but also in a way that’s very scalable.
Speaker 1 [00:21:40] Can you give us a sense of the role of AI here? I work in an office where the lights go on and off by themselves. The heat seems to go up and down by itself. How is AI changing the dynamics of temperature and lighting regulation?
Speaker 3 [00:21:54] You have systems today that are purely responding to what the sensors are telling it, and those sensors are simply the thermostats on your wall, maybe a humidity sensor somewhere. It’s making decisions based on what that sensor is saying. But at the same time, it has no idea that it’s sunny and 30 degrees outside. But soon it’s going to be cloudy and rainy. And my energy right now costs so much and it may cost more in the afternoon. And it’s this carbon intensive now, less carbon stuff like it. It knows nothing of those external factors impacting costs and energy consumption. And so here we seek to turn that dynamic around. So let’s bring all the buildings data to the cloud, this Marriott with all this external data so that it can learn and make smarter decisions.
Speaker 1 [00:22:41] Brain Box AI’s been at this for a few years or more now, but as you mentioned earlier, we’re kind of into a new chapter of AI in 2023 with generative AI with GPT. How is that changing your thinking about the role of AI and what brain box can do in the building space?
Speaker 3 [00:23:00] Well, I mean, we’re lucky in Canada, particularly in cities like Montreal and Toronto, where there’s such an incredible knowhow around the AI and really pushing the envelope that as company like brain boxing, AI, we can interact with that ecosystem. And so that’s benefit number one. But two, I think we’re all seeing the push on the regulatory front around AI and having been involved in developing and our platform, we are supportive about the efforts to put some framework around the use of AI and definitely recognize that this is moving much more rapidly than I think most people thought. And there are things we need to keep in mind as we’re pushing this technology in many fields.
Speaker 1 [00:23:40] How fast do you think that’s going to accelerate the technology?
Speaker 3 [00:23:44] And if you speak to the experts, there’s a fairly consistent message that the acceleration is faster than they would have originally thought a couple of years ago or a few years back. And then we’ve heard this quote. Exactly. If you look at the last five years of change, look forward, five years is not just going to go faster. So there’s no doubt that this is moving at a rapid pace. Regulation, I think it’s being considered Europe here in Canada, U.S. feels like it will be coming. I think it needs to be done right. I think in our case, a brain box. We’re proud that we’re using it for a very important global goal of decarbonizing buildings. It’s one of the big top five global climate problems we have. So you don’t want to discourage us and many other innovators to come with scalable solutions. That’s what I really have to offer is its scalability. But at the same time, we’ve got to think about how we could put a framework around it for many other industries, our own, but many other industries as well.
Speaker 1 [00:24:36] You’ve talked about the technology. Let’s turn for a moment to the users, to building owners specifically. Your technology is now being used in 25 or more countries. I’m curious how you’re engaging and encouraging building owners to invest in and take advantage of the kinds of innovations we’re seeing coming out of the Brain Box API.
Speaker 3 [00:24:56] The real estate sector is probably not the fastest adopter of new technologies, right? So you do have to understand and get better at how we interact with the day to day operators, managers of buildings. And that’s something we have breytenbachs and also have to continue improving on. When you’re doing groundbreaking tech, you really have to focus on the technology, make it work. But given the number of years we’re at it now, certainly at the phase where we have to think more and more about how we interact with the users of the technology, in our case, building operators, there’s a lot to manage. You’ve got the constant phone call from the tenants dealing with the day to day crises. Now you’re getting the additional pressures from senior management and the board that are putting forth sustainability targets and goals that are very real and very challenging to achieve. So you’re entering a fray and creating a relationship that involves working together to make it a success. So I think many of the technology companies ourselves and many that we interact with recognize that we have to keep getting better and better.
Speaker 1 [00:26:01] Your primary market is large buildings, office buildings. How far are we away from this being widely applied in the home sector?
Speaker 3 [00:26:10] I’d say for the moment, our biggest deployments are in commercial buildings and retail buildings. The issue with the homes is truly every one is unique, although I think there is a drive to make the homes much more efficient right off the bat with common systems and common protocols. Unfortunately, right now, 99% of the building stock is already out there and you have to deal with that 99%. And so it is a challenge. I think people are tackling it in different ways. But for us, we are really focused on the commercial side of things. The scalability going on the commercial side versus any other movement to residential is probably a number of years out for us.
Speaker 1 [00:26:51] Before we let you go, Sam. What can all of us as building users, occupants, tenants and even owners do differently to accelerate this kind of progress?
Speaker 3 [00:27:01] The tenants and landlord relationship, it’s been around forever and a day, right? We go back a couple of thousand years and it will look something like it does today in a sense. Given the change and how fast we need to make it happen, I think the tenants really have to get much more involved or be made to be involved because in the end, true innovation, it’s not an easy flip the switch, right? There’s change involved. People need to be kept up to speed. There are implementation times where things may be reacting differently. We don’t want to discourage that big move towards innovation and the normal hiccups of true innovation happen, but the tenants need to be informed, whereas for them it’s a regular Wednesday afternoon and something went off and they do what they have to do, which is they have an office that needs work and they’re going to call downstairs and say, What’s going on? Well, I think if there’s a relationship and a shared common goal, I think everybody in that building wants it to decarbonize, which just have to be a little bit differently than we have in the past.
Speaker 1 [00:27:58] That’s a great note to end on that technology is ultimately about people and buildings are ultimately about people. Sam, thanks for being on disruptors.
Speaker 3 [00:28:08] Thank you very much, John, for having us.
Speaker 1 [00:28:12] That was Sam Rama Dory, CEO of Brain Box A.I.. Thanks to my other guests, Brad Carr of Miami Holmes and Carol Phillips of Moriyama Teshima Architects. Canada is a nation of builders, and I guess we have to be given the environment that we inhabit. And there’s a lot of people out there who think we can’t really change the way we build homes and offices, shopping malls and industrial parks. It kind of works the way it is and too big to change. There’s others who say most of the buildings that we’ll have in 20 or 30 years are already out there. So we can’t really change them unless we go about some massive renovation project which could be cost prohibitive. But as we’ve heard over the last two episodes, there’s already remarkable change and innovation and yes, disruption underway across the built environment, whether it’s new subdivisions or old buildings being renovated or the way we’re using technology to operate the buildings of our lives, Canadian developers and technologists and innovators are showing the world how we can transform our communities to make them part of our net zero future. Join us next time for a special episode. In recognition of Indigenous History Month, we’ll go behind the Oneida Energy Storage Project in southwestern Ontario and explore its significance as the largest of its kind in Canada. Until then, I’m John Stackhouse and this is Disruptors, an RBC podcast. Talk to you soon.
Speaker 3 [00:29:42] Disruptors, an RBC podcast is created by the RBC Thought Leadership Group and does not constitute a recommendation for any organization, product or service. For more Disruptors content, visit RBC dot com slash disruptors and leave us a five star rating, if you like our show