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Agriculture

0%
drop in sector
emissions since 2019
down arrow7%
drop in sector
emissions intensity since 2019
Policy
Capital
Action
Emissions

Agriculture Climate Action Index | 2019 = base year

  • Many farmers are seeing value in on-farm efficiency and trialing new products like enhanced efficiency fertilizers that help cut emissions.35 This expected trend in farmer innovation is boosted by the federal government’s $704 million On-Farm Climate Action Fund and corporate supply chain investments from companies like PepsiCo, Nutrien, and Cargill.36

  • Crop and animal production is rising, while emissions have flatlined. Since 2019, the emissions intensity of Canada’s agricultural production has improved by 7%, according to our estimates.37 Yet, the sector’s total emissions have hovered around 69 megatonnes (Mt) over the indexed period (2019-2025).38 The projected impact of climate-smart practices supported by government programs is expected to show up in emissions accounting by 2030—a notable lag—contributing to the potential for greater reductions in total accounted emissions in the future.39

  • Federal funding programs are keeping climate-action capital afloat—but they are not enough. Landmark government funding commitments under the On-farm Climate Action Fund and the federal Agricultural Clean Technology Program are expected to run out in 2028. The forthcoming end to climate-smart funds is a capital drought concern as parallel agri-food supply chain investments pale in comparison in terms of dollars committed. Agri-tech start-ups in Canada that drive innovation on farms are also struggling to attract transformative capital amid strong competition from rival markets, especially the U.S.

  • Climate policy is stalling. Ottawa’s Sustainable Agriculture Strategy has not moved past consultation due to industry pushback. Farmers are not well positioned to participate in Canada’s GHG Offset Credit System in 2025 with the Reducing Enteric Methane Emissions from Beef Cattle protocol just being published in October 2025, and the status of the Reducing Manure Methane Emissions protocol and the Enhanced Soil Organic Carbon protocol under development.40 Ottawa announced it will review the Clean Fuel Regulations, but as of December 2025 had not given details of how low-carbon intensity incentives would be amended for farmers producing feedstock for biofuels.41

  • The removal of the consumer carbon tax has had a limited impact on the sector’s policy score. Only about 3% of GHG emissions in agriculture was covered by consumer carbon pricing. Yet, the policy change has been a financial boon for many farmers, especially those that dry grain or heat livestock facilities, as on-farm use of propane was not exempt from the consumer carbon tax. Few cost-effective alternatives exist in Canada’s rural regions to replace propane with a lower carbon energy source.

CASE STUDY

Agronomists wanted

The Challenge

With floods, droughts and wildfires getting worse every year, building climate resilience is critical. According to Luke Struckman, a co-lead on Trusted Advisor Partnership’s (TAP) Canadian project, that starts, like most things on a farm, in the ground: “If your soil functions in a way that makes it more resilient to extreme weather events, you’re going to have sustained crop production.”

Farmers adopting soil health practices can also contribute to climate change mitigation. Practices like Improved Nutrient Use Efficiency can reduce nitrous oxide emissions from fertilizer use and practices like inter-cropping and cover cropping can help pull carbon from the atmosphere and store it in soils.42

Struckman said there is an opportunity when it comes to sustainable soil management practices in the training of agronomists, the crop consultants who farmers turn to for advice. Conventional production is focused on yield for good reason as farmers feed a growing global population. But approaching sustainable practices as a path to building long-term productivity is not always a top priority. This is where TAP comes in by bringing together agronomists, industry experts, corporate partners and scientific researchers.

The Idea

Ben Harris, Struckman’s co-lead, was working on TAP’s original project in North Dakota when he first heard that agronomists in Canada were accessing TAP’s resources.

Since 2022, with the backing of a few large corporate sponsors, including PepsiCo and General Mills, TAP had been offering a video-based program to American agronomists on sustainable soil, water and nutrient management. Canada offered all kinds of potential. Saskatchewan, alone, is home to 60 million acres of farmland.43 After turning its attention to Canada this year, it was no surprise that TAP’s pilot project in Saskatchewan and Manitoba was oversubscribed immediately.

The Obstacles

  1. Despite strong demand, the TAP team quickly discovered that this would not be a rinse-and-repeat exercise. There are several differences between North Dakota and the Canadian Prairies, including climate, growing conditions, commodity markets and soil properties. And while the team members thought they could use some of the material from the original program, they ultimately created an all-new curriculum suited for the challenges facing Saskatchewan and Manitoba farmers.
  2. Many farmers already work with a trusted partner, be it an independent agronomist or one who is linked to a retailer. That’s why TAP, which is aiming to train 250 agronomists across the Prairies by 2028, decided against putting restrictions on who can take the program. “TAP supplements the trusted advisor infrastructure,” said Struckman. “Regardless of what stripe of agronomist you are.”

  3. Since the return on investment of sustainable soil health practices is measured over several years, the program requires patient investors. The corporations that have come onboard have a handful of motivations:

    • For food and beverage companies, roughly 70% of their emissions come from the farm. Improved soil health practices could help reduce emissions.44
    • It improves agronomic advice and services for farmers, contributing to advanced productivity.45
    • Since each agronomist is connected to multiple farms–and potentially hundreds of thousands of acres–it offers scaling potential that traditional approaches can’t match.

The Insight

Targeting only agronomists is not enough. Increasingly, the team is thinking of ways to market the program’s benefits directly to farmers. Once the program is more established in Canada, the TAP team plans to follow a similar approach to the North Dakota project, engaging important regional organizations and pooling dollars from private and public sources to directly support producers in implementing these sustainable practices—but, in all likelihood, only if a farmer’s agronomist has completed the training.

Creating a community of agronomists extends–and deepens–the program’s value. While some informal networks exist, the TAP team discovered there is demand for an organization in the Prairies that builds a sustained community of practice among agronomists on sustainable agriculture.

TAP is fostering these networks through in-person events, webcasts and, as simple as it may seem, a Slack channel. Participants can seek support from one another and search archived discussions. Ultimately, the peer network gets agronomists, divided by great distances, talking. “Even if someone in the Red River Valley may not be facing the same constraints of someone south of Regina,” said Struckman, “there is still a lot of value in them exchanging knowledge and ideas.”

Endnote 2
We track climate related funding and expenditures announced in the budgets of the federal government and the four largest provincial governments (British Columbia, Alberta, Ontario and Quebec). This includes announced plans towards climate- and environment-related initiatives focused on decarbonization, innovation, energy efficiency, fuel switching, clean and low-carbon technology manufacturing and deployment, skills, re-search and planning. It also includes transfer payments, program spending, tax expenditures, and select public financing. Total expenditure amounts are equally spread over timeframe announced in the budgets. For select items, expenditure amounts are distributed over the years as prescribed in the budgets.
Endnote 3
Refer to endnote 2.
Endnote 5
Emissions intensity for the electricity sector is calculated as the sector's total GHG emissions divided by the total electricity generation in any given year. Emissions for 2024 were taken from the Canadian Climate Institute's Early Estimate of National Emissions. For 2025, we estimated emissions based on our forecasted change in electricity generation from both coal and natural gas. For information on how we forecasted the changes in electricity generation from coal and natural gas, refer to the Methodology section: Sectoral Climate Action Indices, Section D. Emissions - Electricity.
Endnote 6
For buildings, emissions intensity estimates are defined as emissions (tonnes CO2 equivalent) per square meter of floor space. Emissions data was sourced from the Canadian Climate Institute’s Early Estimates of National Emissions and Environment and Climate Change Canada’s 2024 Reference Case emissions projections. Floor space data for residential and commercial buildings was sourced from Natural Resources Canada’s Comprehensive Energy Use Database. For years where NRCan estimates were unavailable, floor space was projected using a simple linear trend informed by recent historical growth, providing an indicative estimate aligned with current patterns in building activity. Emissions intensities were calculated separately for the residential and commercial sectors and rolled up into a single measure using a weighted average determined by floor space.
Endnote 8
Total oil and gas production in 2025 is derived from Canada Energy Regulator data on the production of crude oil and equivalent and marketable produced gas volumes, annualized and adjusted for seasonality and aligned with RBC Capital Markets’ fundamental supply and demand model for Canadian oil and gas production. Total oil and gas emissions are summed up from estimated emissions as noted in detail in Endnotes 81-85.
Endnote 8
Agriculture emissions intensity estimates are based on primary agriculture emissions and production out-puts, covering on-farm nitrous oxide, carbon dioxide, and methane emissions from both crop and animal production. Emissions intensity is measured by dividing primary agriculture emissions by national total on-farm outputs (i.e., crops and animals in tonnes). The data sources for the estimated emissions intensity are annual GHG emission estimates reported by Environment and Climate Change Canada in the National GHG Inventory Report and the National GHG Emission Projections, and annual agriculture production of crops and livestock are reported by Statistics Canada.
Endnote 9
Transportation sector emissions consist of five major categories: (1) cars, light trucks and motorcycles, (2) bus, rail and aviation, (3) heavy-duty trucks, rail, (4) aviation and marine, and (5) other: recreational, commercial and residential. Cars, light trucks and motorcycles, and heavy-duty trucks and rail make up about 80% of the sector emissions, which we attempt to estimate based on directional trends. For other categories we apply 10-year average for 2024 and 2025. We use data from IBIS World that provide total vehicle-kilometres driven (version published in Oct 2024), which represents “the total annual sum of kilometres driven by all motor vehicles over the calendar year.” Further, we use 2009 Canadian Vehicle Survey Summary Report published by Natural Resources Canada, which breaks down kilometres driven by vehicle type–of which around 90% are travelled by light vehicles (gross vehicle weight less than 4.5 tonnes) and ~10% by medium and heavy trucks (gross vehicle weight between 4.5 and 15 t, and gross vehicle weight of 15 t or more). Using ICE vehicle fleet sizes for passenger and medium and heavy commercial vehicles, we derived historical emissions intensity per kilometre driven. Fleet size for passenger vehicles is sourced from Statistics Canada’s Table 23-10-0308-01, and commercial vehicle fleet size is sourced from BloombergNEF’s Long-Term Electric Vehicle Outlook 2025 dataset published in June 2025. Using the average of the derived ratio between 2021-2023, we estimate emissions for both cars, light trucks and motorcycles, and heavy-duty trucks, rail categories for 2024 and 2025. Sectoral emissions intensity is derived by ratio of total sectoral emissions and total vehicle-kilometres driven.
Endnote 10
For heavy industry, we define emissions intensity in terms of kilotonnes of emissions (CO2e) per kilotonne of industrial production across the following heavy industrial sub-sectors as stated in Canada’s National Inventory Report: mining, smelting and refining (non-ferrous metals), pulp and paper, iron and steel, cement, and chemicals and fertilizers. Annual production figures (up to 2023) per sub-sector were sourced from the Canadian Energy and Emissions Data Centre, at Simon Fraser University, which are based on proprietary estimates as well as databases including World Steel and the Global Cement and Concrete Association. Annual emissions figures are sourced from the Canadian Climate Institute’s Early Estimates of National Emissions. Emissions intensities per heavy industrial sub-sector were rolled up into a composite estimate using a weighted average, with weights corresponding to each sub-sector’s contributions to Canada’s heavy industry emissions across all stated sub-sectors.
Endnote 11
TMX Pipeline emissions are as disclosed in TMX’s 2024 ESG report. LNG Canada Phase 1 emissions data is sourced from British Columbia’s Environmental Assessment Office (EPIC database), as detailed in the Green-house Gas Management Technical Data Report Table 6.0-1. Total oil and gas emissions calculation is shown in greater detail in Endnote 81 and methane emissions (venting) are shown in greater detail in Endnote 84 and 85. Emissions intensity measures emissions per unit of production, compared to total emissions.
Endnote 15
Record monthly EV sales, breaking the two million mark
Endnote 27
We track climate related funding and expenditures announced in the budgets of the federal government and the four largest provincial governments (British Columbia, Alberta, Ontario and Quebec). This includes announced plans towards climate- and environment-related initiatives focused on decarbonization, innovation, energy efficiency, fuel switching, clean and low-carbon technology manufacturing and deployment, skills, re-search and planning. It also includes transfer payments, program spending, tax expenditures, and select public financing. Total expenditure amounts are equally spread over timeframe announced in the budgets. For select items, expenditure amounts are distributed over the years as prescribed in the budgets.
Endnote 29
Based on data from BloombergNEF’s Energy Transition Investment and Asset Finance datasets, and increased planned projects capacity between late 2023 and now, by our count, in eastern provinces using power plant level data from S&P Capital IQ.
Endnote 30
Statistics Canada, Table 20-10-0085-01
Endnote 31
The total estimated value for heat pump adoption was calculated using quarterly statistics from The Heating, Refrigeration and Air Conditioning Institute of Canada (HRAI) on central heat pump and ductless split system shipments, and applying various proxies, such as heat pump to A/C only ratio based on previously reported ductless split system shipments.
Endnote 33
Internal RBC Social Values Survey.
Endnote 34
Refer to Climate Action Barometer methodology on estimation of emissions and emissions intensity. Absolute emissions are sourced from the Canadian federal government’s NIR that are prepared and submitted annually to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), in accordance with the UN-FCCC Reporting Guidelines up to 2023 edition, and using the 2006 IPCC Guidelines for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories since 2024. Emissions intensity is calculated on a real GDP basis. Real GDP for 2025 is projected to grow by 1.2% according to RBC Economics. For 2024 and 2025, emissions are estimated as following: national emissions are a sum of economic sectors’ emissions as described in NIR. Sectoral emissions for oil and gas, electricity, and transportation are based on estimates as described in the methodology section of Sectoral Climate Action Indices. Emissions for 2024 for heavy industry, buildings and agriculture are taken from the latest independent Early Estimate of National Emissions published by Canadian Climate Institute in collaboration with Stiebert Consulting; for 2025, we apply the year-over-year change from 2024 for each sector derived from the latest (Feb 26, 2025 version) Greenhouse gas emissions projections published by Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC).
Endnote 36
Bloomberg NEF. Regenerative Agriculture Dashboard, 2025.
Endnote 37
Agriculture emissions intensity estimates are based on primary agriculture emissions and production out-puts, covering on-farm nitrous oxide, carbon dioxide, and methane emissions from both crop and animal production. Emissions intensity is measured by dividing primary agriculture emissions by national total on-farm outputs (i.e., crops and animals in tonnes). The data sources for the estimated emissions intensity are annual GHG emission estimates reported by Environment and Climate Change Canada in the National GHG Inventory Report and the National GHG Emission Projections, and annual agriculture production of crops and livestock are reported by Statistics Canada.
Endnote 38
National annual agriculture emissions are reported by Environment and Climate Change Canada in the National Inventory Report 1990-2023 (2025) and the 2024 and 2025 estimated emissions are reported by Environment and Climate Change Canada in the National GHG Emission Projections (2025).
Endnote 39
The GHG National Inventory Report does not account for all climate-smart practices in agriculture. The challenge is documented in the annual NIR report with plans to address it in the coming years through improved activity data and research that informs emission factors.
Endnote 44
World Business Council for Sustainable Development. Scope 3 land-based emissions.
Endnote 45
These benefits can take several years to have real on-farm impacts and are based on peer-reviewed research including Xing et al., 2025.
Endnote 46
Emissions decline is estimated based on the per-centage change in CO2e emissions between 2019 and 2025. Emissions figures are sourced from the Canadian Climate Institute’ Early Estimates of National Emissions and Environment and Climate Change Canada’s 2024 Reference Case emissions projections.

Emissions intensity estimates are defined as emissions (tonnes CO2 equivalent) per square meter of floor space. Floor space data for residential and commercial buildings was sourced from Natural Resources Canada’s Com-prehensive Energy Use Database. For years where NRCan estimates were unavailable, floor space was projected using a simple linear trend informed by recent historical growth, providing an indicative estimate aligned with current patterns in building activity. Emissions intensities were calculated separately for the residential and commercial sectors and rolled up into a single measure using a weighted average determined by floor space.
Endnote 47
Estimates of LEED-certified floor stock and mass timber use were obtained from the Canada Green Building Council Project Database and the State of Mass Timber in Canada Database respectively.
Endnote 50
The reduction in private capital inflow was based on in-house analysis of Bloomberg New Energy Finance’s Climate Tech Investment Database.
Endnote 52
Emissions reductions estimates are based on Environment and Climate Change Canada’s Greenhouse Gas Emissions projections under the 2024 Reference Case scenario.
Endnote 58
We arrived at an estimated six terawatt hours of coal-generated power through the following calculations: We sourced coal-based primary energy from Statistics Canada Table 25-10-0079-01, measured in joules up until June 30, 2025. For the second half of 2025, we took an average of the last three months of reported primary energy data (Q2 2025) and assumed the same level of energy use for H2/2025. Coal as a form of primary energy is then converted into implied electricity generation, based on historical conversion factors from 2019-2023 reported data under Table A13-1 as part of Canada’s National Inventory Report Statistical Annex 13 Electricity Intensity. The total generation for 2025 (estimate) is then compared to the total generation for 2024 as reported under Table 25-10-0079-01.

The emissions decline resulting from decreased coal-powered electricity generation is taken from historical emissions factors and implied coal-based generation as reported under Table A13-1 as part of Statistical Annex 13 Electricity Intensity.
Endnote 60
Natural gas powered electricity generation is estimated based on historical monthly reported data of natural gas based primary energy through Statistics Canada Table 25-10-0079-01, measured in Joules up until June 30, 2025. For the second half of 2025, we took the trailing 12-month average of reported primary energy data as of June 30, 2025 and compared that percentage change relative to the trailing 12-month average of reported primary energy data as of June 30, 2024. That implied per-centage increase was then applied to the total primary energy usage in 2024 to predict our value in 2025. The percentage share of total primary energy from natural gas usage within electric utilities listed under Electricity as an economic sector within the NIR and the share not attributed to electricity, i.e., used within cogeneration within the oil and gas sector (i.e., the utilities vs cogen split within reported electricity generation by class of producer) is predicted based on historical monthly generation under Statistics Canada Table 25-10-0015-01 classified either as electric utilities and also historically based on thermal electric power generation split be-tween coal and natural gas based on historical data as denoted in Statistics Canada Table 25-10-0084-01.

The emissions impact from the estimated increase in natural gas powered generation is based on historical conversion factors from 2019-2023 reported data under Table A13-1 as part of Statistical Annex 13 Electricity Intensity.

Total sector emissions within electricity in 2025 are the summation of the estimated decline in emissions from coal-powered electricity generation and the increase in natural gas-powered electricity generation as detailed above. These values are then compared relative to 2005 and 2019 as disclosed under Table A13-1 as part of Statistical Annex 13 Electricity Intensity.
Endnote 61
Our estimate of $1 trillion takes into account multiple public assessments of long-term electricity system needs. The 2023 Public Policy Forum report—Project of the Century: A Blueprint for Growing Canada’s Clean Electricity Supply – and Fast—includes estimates such as the Conference Board of Canada’s The Cost of a Cleaner Future: Examining the Economic Impacts of Reducing GHG Emissions (~$1.7 trillion), the University of Montreal’s 2021 Canada Energy Outlook (~$1.1 trillion), and provincial estimates from Ontario ($375-425 billion), Quebec ($185 billion to 2035, with higher cumulative needs through 2045), and Alberta (~$44-52 billion in 2041). Together, these provincial figures approach ~$847 billion before accounting for British Columbia and other provinces, supporting the use of a $1-trillion directional estimate.
Endnote 62
Emissions intensity for the electricity sector is calculated as the sector’s total GHG emissions divided by the total electricity generation in any given year. Emissions for 2024 were taken from the Canadian Climate Institute’s Early Estimate of National Emissions. For 2025, we estimated emissions based on our forecasted change in electricity generation from both coal and natural gas. For information on how we forecasted the changes in electricity generation from coal and natural gas, refer to the Methodology section: Sectoral Climate Action Indices, Section D. Emissions - Electricity.
Endnote 67
We calculated emissions decline since 2019 as a per-centage change between 2019 emissions (in kilotonnes CO2 equivalent) and 2024 emissions (in kilotonnes CO2 equivalent) as published in the Canadian Climate Institute’s Early Estimate of National Emissions.
Endnote 70
70We define emissions intensity in terms of kilotonnes of emissions (CO2e) per kilotonne of industrial production across the following heavy industrial sub-sectors as stated in Canada’s National Inventory Report: mining, smelting and refining (non-ferrous metals), pulp and paper, iron and steel, cement, and chemicals and fertilizers. Annual production figures (up to the year 2023) per sub-sector were sourced from the Canadian Energy and Emissions Data Centre, at Simon Fraser University, which are based on proprietary estimates as well as databases including World Steel and the Global Cement and Concrete Association. Annual emissions figures are sourced from the Canadian Climate Institute’s Early Estimates of National Emissions. Emissions intensities per heavy industrial sub-sector were rolled up into a composite estimate using a weighted average, with weights corresponding to each sub-sector’s contributions to Canada’s heavy industry emissions across all stated sub-sectors.
Endnote 71
The estimate of venture capital deployed is based on in-house analysis of data from Bloomberg New Energy Finance’s Climate Tech Investment Database and considers companies whose products could directly contribute to emissions reductions in heavy industrial sub-sectors across mining, smelting and refining (non-ferrous metals), pulp and paper, iron and steel, cement, and chemicals and fertilizers.
Endnote 72
72The $79 million year-to-date estimate is based on Bloomberg New Energy Finance Climate-Tech Investment Database. An example of government investment: Government of Canada investing in Foran Mining Corporation’s critical minerals production in Saskatchewan.
Endnote 80
The emissions estimate builds on the federal government’s National Inventory Report for 2023. We then analyzed monthly production data across the oilsands, conventional liquids and natural gas for 2024 and 2025 to estimate the sector’s emissions that are aligned with the recent sector trend of decarbonization since 2019 (the start of our tracking period for our sectoral indices). Our estimate of increased emissions aligns with the Canadian Climate Institute’s Early Estimates of National Emissions. For 2025, we used RBC Capital Markets’ fundamental supply and demand model out to 2030 for both Canadian oil and gas production.
Endnote 81
Trans Mountain Pipeline emissions data for 2024 is taken from the company’s 2024 ESG report. For 2025, we estimated TMX’s emissions based on annualization of reported volumes as disclosed by the Canada Energy Regulator.
Endnote 82
For LNG Canada, we sourced emissions data from the operator’s submission to British Columbia’s Environmental Assessment Office (EPIC database). Estimated emissions from LNG Canada Phases 1 and 2 are detailed in its Greenhouse Gas Management Technical Data Report Table 6.0-1. We adjusted the disclosed emissions to reflect both the start date, June 30, 2025, and quoted capacity of 14 megatonnes in Phase 1.
Endnote 83
We used Canada Energy Regulator data for marketable produced gas volumes for 2023. For 2024 and 2025, we used the same datasets as above along with RBC Capital Markets’ fundamental supply and demand model out to 2030 for Canadian oil and gas production. For vented gas and flared gas (Bullet 2), we used data from Petrinex’s Conventional Volumetric Data Download, which provides a number of measured metrics, by month, by well for Alberta and Saskatchewan, with most recent data complete to August 2025, and also used facility data from the B.C. Energy Regulator. We then used the official National Inventory Report provincial breakdown of vented and flared emissions across the oil and gas industry for historical years to calibrate gas volumes to emissions (2021-2023). Because Alberta reports its basin wide flared and venting data, we used the actual reported flaring and venting gas volumes from AER ST60b and overlaid that with the official NIR emissions from flared and vented gas in Alberta to calculate an implied emissions factor for both venting and flared gas volumes. We then used the volumes of gas flared and reported (Petrinex for Alberta and Saskatchewan, BC Energy Regulator for British Columbia) as the driver for our 2024 and 2025 predicted values. This analysis was done only for Alberta, Saskatchewan and British Columbia, which we view as representative of the entire industry as these three provinces account for 92% of total flared and 97% of vented emissions across Canada’s oil and gas sector. 84Environment and Climate Change Canada released an update on its Path Forward for Oil and Gas Sector Meth-ane Mitigation on September 2023.
Endnote 95
In 2024 the U.S. produced 104 bcf/d of dry gas and Canada produced 18 bcf/d of dry gas.
Endnote 97
EV refer to battery and plug-in hybrid electric vehicles
Endnote 98
S&P Global Mobility, Canadian EV Insights, Q4 2024
Endnote 99
Statistics Canada, Table 20-10-0085-01, New motor vehicle sales, monthly.
Endnote 100
BloombergNEF, Long-Term Electric Vehicle Outlook 2025 – Data
Endnote 101
Emissions are based on our estimate from calculations for Sectoral Climate Action indices as specified in the methodology. Historical emissions data is source from National Inventory report, and for years 2024 and 2025 are estimates based on proxies using total vehicle-kilometres and estimated ICE vehicle fleet size. Emissions intensity is defined as total sectoral emissions per vehicle-kilometre. We sourced vehicle-kilometre from IBIS World’s projections dated Oct 2024.
Endnote 105
Statistics Canada, Table 20-10-0085-01, New motor vehicle sales, monthly; We divided total sales volume in monetary units by total vehicle sales count to derive average sales prices.
Endnote 106
Natural Resources Canada, Updated forecasts of vehicle charging needs, grid impacts and costs for all vehicle segments, prepared by Dunsky Energy + Climate Advisors. The ratio for charging infrastructure needs for light duty vehicles is around 20-21 EVs/public charging port across two scenarios of high and low home charging access. We estimate current ratio based on total and new EV registrations data from Statistics Canada (Tables 23-10-0308-01 and 20-10-0025-01) up to second half of 2025, and total public charging ports count retrieved in July of 2025 from NRCAN’s Electric Charging and Alter-native Fuelling Stations Locator to be 21 EVs per public charging port.
Endnote 108
PowerCo Equity Story

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Despite strong demand, the TAP team quickly discovered that this would not be a rinse-and-repeat exercise