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Canadian GDP Update
Q1 GDP growth was flattered by pre-tariff inventory building amid trade tensions, while labour markets showed worrying signs of softening in April.
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Court rulings do not mean U.S. tariffs are going away
Here are the other ways the U.S. administration could apply tariffs on imports, which means this period of uncertainty could extend beyond the summer.
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Trade tensions are redrawing Canadians’ travel map
Less Canadian travel abroad could mean more spending closer to home, potentially boosting local tourism demand and other discretionary purchases.
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Canadian CPI growth firmed in April excluding tax changes
The Bottom Line: April’s headline inflation rate came in close to expectations at 1.7% (down from 2.3% in March) but with the drop entirely from…
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RBC Consumer Spending Tracker
RBC Canadian cardholder spending remained relatively resilient in April, despite record-low consumer sentiment in March that showed little improvement in April.
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Canada Labour Market
There are early signs that the intensification of uncertainty from U.S. tariff threats, had an impact on hiring on the more trade-sensitive goods producing side…
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The Fed continues to wait and see
The Fed’s statement emphasized the growing uncertainty surrounding both of their mandates – inflation risks are intensifying and the risks to unemployment are climbing.
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Canadian trade deficit narrowed in March as compliance with CUSMA rose
The Canadian goods trade deficit narrowed from -$1.4 billion in February to -$0.5 billion March as the share of exports meeting CUSMA/USMCA rules have risen.
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U.S. Labour Market
The unemployment rate held steady in April at 4.2%.
Older Reports
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Canadian GDP Update
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Court rulings do not mean U.S. tariffs are going away
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Trade tensions are redrawing Canadians’ travel map
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Canadian CPI growth firmed in April excluding tax changes
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RBC Consumer Spending Tracker
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Canada Labour Market
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The Fed continues to wait and see
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Canadian trade deficit narrowed in March as compliance with CUSMA rose
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U.S. Labour Market
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Canadian economy softened ahead of tariffs
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Q1 U.S. GDP signals a weak starting point
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CUSMA compliance rush: Will it shield Canada from U.S. tariffs?
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Preparing for the downside: Could Canadian federal finances withstand a trade war?
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Bank of Canada policy update
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Slowing growth, higher prices: A deeper dive into our U.S. forecasts
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Trade war halts Canadian business optimism in Q1
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A thorn in the Fed’s side: What could tariffs mean for U.S. inflation and growth?
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U.S. reciprocal tariffs spare Canada/Mexico for now but trade risks remain
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Five ramifications of the auto tariffs for the U.S. economy
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Uncertainty weighs on the Fed as they remain on pause
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RBC Canadian Inflation Watch
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RBC U.S. Inflation Watch
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‘Yellow flags’: The cracks forming in the U.S. economy that we’re watching
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DOGE cuts could push up the U.S. unemployment rate
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What is the impact of tariffs on the U.S. economy?
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U.S. tariffs on Canada take effect: What is the state of play?
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Trade uncertainty risks extending decades of under-investment in Canada
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Provincial budget preview: Preparing for uncertainty
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Six questions about the significance of interprovincial trade barriers in Canada
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How U.S. steel and aluminum tariffs would impact Canada’s economy
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Five things we learned this week about U.S.-Canada trade
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What tariffs could mean for the U.S. economy
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A U.S.-Canada trade shock now in play: first economic takeaways
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The Federal Reserve Buys Time: Rates on hold and lips sealed
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A playbook for how to measure a tariff shock in Canada
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Navigating 2025: Looking better and unsettling all at once
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Proof Point: Canadian industries and provinces most exposed to U.S. tariff threat
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Proof Point: Are falling rents in Canada temporary relief or a new trend
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Quebec maintains large deficit, uses half its contingency reserve for spending
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Proof point: Canada’s job market slump—low-wage industries with young workers take the biggest hit
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Immigration cuts will help narrow Canada’s housing gap but won’t solve crisis
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Proof point: Why Canada is seeing an uneven recovery among households
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U.S. GDP Update
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How Canada’s new immigration targets will impact the economy
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Proof point: Job market is bigger risk to Canada’s economy than mortgage renewals
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Three reasons why 2024’s 2% inflation isn’t 2019’s 2%
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Falling inflation, rising jobless rate usher in easing cycles in Canada and abroad
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Proof point: Financial returns after a post-secondary education have diminished
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Weighing the impact of Canadian tariffs on Chinese EVs and metals
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Proof point: U.S. import tariffs haven’t reduced reliance on foreign goods
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Proven points: Rents, wages, inflation and other top reads from Proof Point
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Proof Point: Canada’s economy might not be in recession but it feels like one
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Proof point: Rental housing construction picks up in Canada but will it be enough?
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Proof Point: The Canadian tourism sector is struggling to stage a rebound
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Proof Point: Canadian inflation is unlikely to pick up again like in the U.S.
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Proof Point: Not addressing population aging can be very costly
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Proof Point: A weaker Canadian dollar won’t necessarily derail BoC interest rate cuts
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Federal Budget 2024: Lack of spending restraint offset by revenue surprise and tax hikes
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Proof Point: Governments face higher interest costs when straying from fiscal anchors
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How lowering the number of non-permanent residents will impact Canada’s economy
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Proof Point: Immigrants participation in the labour force surpasses those born in Canada
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Proof Point: Canadian renters face higher hurdles to accumulating wealth than homeowners
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Proof Point: Weak productivity is threatening Canada’s post-pandemic wage growth
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Proof Point: International student cap won’t immediately cut rental demand in Canada
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Proof Point: Consumer spending headwinds should ease in second half of 2024
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Proof Point: Students and new graduates are bearing the brunt of the labour market downturn
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Navigating 2024: Reset and Revival In A Reshaping World
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Proof Point: Why has U.S. consumer spending been so much more resilient than Canada’s?
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Proof Point: Closing Canada’s infrastructure gap could boost Indigenous output by up to 17%
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Proof Point: Fiscal tailwinds coming to an end for Canada’s provinces
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Proof Point: For Canada, slower growth in China is a manageable risk
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Proof Point: The ranks of Canadian entrepreneurs are shrinking
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Proof Point: Is more turbulence on the way for Canadian labour relations?
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Proof Point: International students have a fast track to Canadian employment
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Proof Point: Canadian millennials have the smallest cushion against job losses
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Canadians on the move: will a pandemic shakeup in migration trends hold?
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Proof Point: Non-permanent residents can fill labour gaps in “greying” Canadian industries
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Proof Point: Soaring construction costs will hamper Canada’s homebuilding ambitions
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How Indigenous Business Can Accelerate Canada’s Net Zero Transition
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Proof Point: Food inflation will slow, but don’t expect prices to drop
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Proof Point: Canadians’ post-pandemic travel fever holds steady
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Five signs North America’s labour markets are starting to crack
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Proof Point: Banking turmoil is tightening already strained U.S. lending conditions
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Proof Point: More Canadians to fall behind on debt payments—but most will manage
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Proof Point: Will a weak Canadian dollar fire up inflation?
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Proof Point: Canada’s economy can’t afford a slump in business investment
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Proof Point: Canada’s shortage of rental housing could quadruple by 2026
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Policy Insight: How Canada can win in the post-IRA economy
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Proof Point: Canadian women drove a pandemic shift into higher-paying jobs
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Proof Point: Canada is failing to put immigrant skills to work
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Proof Point: Without investment, Canadian wages could reignite inflation
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Proof Point: Canadians are still clinging to pandemic savings
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Proof Point: Canada needs green subsidies more than ever
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Navigating 2023: Canada in the cross currents
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Proof Point: Is Canada becoming a nation of renters?
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The Transformative Seven: Technologies that can drive Canada’s next green revolution
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Proof Point: Canada needs more doctors—and fast
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Proof Point: Canada’s provinces are basking in revenue, but how long will it last?
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The Next Green Revolution: How Canada can produce more food and fewer emissions
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Financing Greener Growth: The fall economic statement needs to accelerate green investment
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Proof Point: The housing-charged boom in Canadian net wealth is over
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Proof Point: Canada’s recession to arrive earlier than expected
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Proof Point: Canada still isn’t spending enough on the green economy
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The Price of Power: How to cut Canada’s Net Zero electricity bill
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Proof Point: The rise of services in Canadian goods trade
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Course Correction: How international students can help solve Canada’s labour crisis
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Proof Point: Fewer supply chain snarls won’t be enough to lower inflation to 2%
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Proof Point: Demographics a powerful counterforce in Canada’s housing market correction
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Proof Point: Reshoring hasn’t spurred a Canadian manufacturing renaissance
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Canadian Housing: A Market In Retreat
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Proof Point: Canada’s labour shortages will outlive a recession
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Proof Point: Canada’s economy is headed for a recession
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Immigration Nation: New Canadians are vital to an aging society
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Proof Point: Can Canada feed the world?
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Proof Point: Canadians are scratching the travel itch again, but can the industry keep up?
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Proof Point: Immigration will fuel Atlantic Canada’s population upswing
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Proof Point: Canadians can’t kick cash
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Proof Point: Low income Canadians to feel sharpest sting from inflation, rate hikes
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The New Climate Bargain: How Canada Can Manage Energy & Environmental Security
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Proof Point: Canada’s post-pandemic labour market shakeup
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Laying the Foundation: Canada’s 2030 Emissions Reduction Plan
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Pandemic leaves Canadians richer—but saddled with more debt
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Equal measures: Advancing Canada’s working women in a post-pandemic economy
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Green Collar Jobs: The skills revolution Canada needs to reach Net Zero
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Unleashing Opportunity: The economic gains in narrowing Canada’s racial wealth gap
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COVID Consumer Spending Tracker
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The Great Canadian Restart: How 2022 can spark an era of greener, more robust growth
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What’s up with inflation?
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Net Zero: A long way from Glasgow
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Squeeze Play: Higher wages alone won’t solve Canada’s labour shortage problem
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Closing the global sustainable finance gap
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The Canadian housing market outlook
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Brighter Days Ahead: Fiscal picture improves from coast to coast
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The Great Canadian Savings Puzzle
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The $2 Trillion Transition: Canada’s Road to Net Zero
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The new challenges facing Canada’s small businesses
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A Regional Renaissance: More Canadians drawn to live on the Atlantic Coast during pandemic
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Home builders are tackling Canada’s housing supply shortage
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Powering Up: Preparing Canada’s skilled trades for a post-pandemic economy
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The Economic Pulse – September 2021 Edition
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Are sky-high job vacancies in Canada around for a while?
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Why isn’t Canada investing enough in green projects, despite ambitious climate targets?
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Border carbon taxes are moving from idea to reality. How exposed is Canada?
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COVID Response Has Kept Many Indebted Canadians from Reaching Debt Cliff
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BoC Outlines Financial Impacts of Covid-19
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Bank of Canada Expanding Asset Purchases
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Canadian Dollar Weakened but Not Headed for Historical Lows
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COVID-19’s Threat to Canada’s Vulnerable Workers
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The Fruits of Her Labour
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Gauging Canadian Coronavirus Supply Chain Vulnerabilities