Methodology
1. Climate Action Barometer
What we measured
The Climate Action Barometer is a diagnostic tool designed to track economy wide climate action across five key drivers of change. These drivers, or themes, are Policy, Capital, Action & Sentiment, Emissions and Technology. Each theme consists of progress indicators that measure key decarbonization policies and activities for that theme. The choice of progress indicators was dictated by the availability of good quality time series proprietary or third-party data.
The Barometer measures annual changes in climate action, starting in 2019. That year was chosen as the baseline as it marked the start of federal climate policies—aligned to the Paris Agreement of limiting global temperature increases to below 2 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels—, and data collection efforts to track climate action by governments and third-party data providers. We also wanted to limit skewing of results from pandemic-induced historic lows in emissions.
The progress indicators for each of the five themes track a combination of annual changes in stock or flows. We measure annual flows for the Action and Sentiment Emissions and Capital themes. The Policy and Technology themes are measured using a stock approach.
2. Sectoral Climate Action Indices
The Sectoral Climate Indices is a diagnostic tool designed to track sector specific climate action across four key drivers (themes) of change—Policy, Action, Capital and Emissions—, across six sectors: agriculture, buildings, electricity, heavy industry, oil & gas, and transportation.
Each theme’s contribution to each sector’s index score is equally weighted at 25%. Similar to the Climate Action Barometer, each theme consists of progress indicators that measure key decarbonization policies and activities for that theme. The choice of progress indicators was dictated by the availability of good quality time series proprietary or third-party data.
The measurement timeframe is from 2019 to 2024. Progress indicators track annual changes in stock or flow. Data values for 2024 are estimates, based on projections or annualized year-to-date data, if applicable. Where data for a given year is unavailable, estimates are derived based on projections or annualized year-to-date data.
The index values are calculated and derived using the same approach as the Climate Action Barometer. Each theme’s index weight, a description of its progress indicators, and additional thematic specific calculations are discussed below.
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1. Climate Action Barometer
How the Barometer was constructed
The Barometer is constructed using a two-step approach. For each theme, we sum up the values of all progress indicators, on an annual basis. We then index the aggregate values to the baseline year and apply each theme’s weight to the indexed value to derive an annual thematic score. All the thematic scores, for each year, are then added together to derive a single annual score. Each theme’s weight in the Barometer, a description of its progress indicators, and additional thematic specific calculations are discussed below.
How to interpret the Barometer score
The Barometer’s starting value is 100, starting from 2019. Increases in its value, in subsequent years represents a percentage change from 2019, the baseline year. For example, the 2024 score of 207 represents a 107% cumulative increase in climate action across all five themes, since 2019.
A. Policy (15% weight)
Policy scores are based on projected emissions declines, as provided by Environment and Climate Change Canada. Scores are calculated as the changes in emissions for stated Reference Case and Additional Measures scenarios, relative to 2005 levels. Land Use, Land-use Change and Forestry (LULUCF) contributions are excluded from national emissions accounting to minimize uncertainty and variability. Projections not available through the primary source are complemented by analyses from other sources.
B. Capital (15% weight)
Capital includes both public and private capital directed towards low-carbon technologies, measured in dollars.
Private capital tracks expenditures on renewable and clean energy, carbon capture, sales of commercial low-carbon vehicles, public charging installations, and the production of sustainable materials and clean fuels.
Public expenditures are sourced from the federal budget and the provincial budgets of the four largest provinces (Alberta, British Columbia, Ontario and Quebec). Public expenditures include program spending and tax credits.
C. Action and Sentiment (40% weight)
Action tracks business and consumer behaviour and sentiment. Business and consumer action consists of technology adoption and climate sentiment measures. Business action and sentiment contributes to 20% of the index’s weight, and another 20% is derived from consumer action and sentiment.
Business technology adoption consists of renewable deployment (wind and solar), carbon capture and sequestration volumes, and adoption of low-carbon commercial vehicles. Consumer technology adoption tracks the purchase of personal electric vehicles and residential heat pumps. Each progress indicator is converted to a common unit of measurement—tonnes of carbon dioxide equivalent (CO2e) abated.
Business sentiment tracks both the percentage of the S&P/TSX Composite constituents with a stated emissions reduction target, and the challenges organizations face around capital, technology and regulations.
Consumer sentiment tracks the importance of climate relative to other issues such as housing affordability, healthcare and macroeconomic conditions. The relative rank of climate is scored between 0 and 1.
D. Emissions (20% weight)
The Emissions score tracks changes in both absolute emissions and emissions intensity. Absolute emissions are sourced from National Inventory Reports. Emissions intensity is calculated on a real GDP basis, using October 2024 data, the latest available at the end of 2024. For 2024, emissions are estimated based on historical trends and forecasting from Environment and Climate Change Canada.
Changes to both absolute and intensity-based emissions are indexed and then aggregated using equal weights. Final scores are inverted, such that decreasing emissions contribute positively to the emissions score.
E. Technology (10% weight)
Technology scores track the adoption readiness of major anticipated decarbonization technologies: carbon capture and storage, hydrogen, small modular nuclear reactors, utility-scale batteries and anerobic digestors.
Each technology’s adoption readiness is scored across eight criteria: price, development stage, infrastructure, technological maturity, supply chains, regulatory environment, market opportunity, and market competitiveness, illustrating the viable ecosystem for the commercial deployment of the technology through market forces. Criteria scores range from a low of 1 to a high of 4, with each technology score weighted based on its emissions reduction potential.
2. Sectoral Climate Action Indices
A. Policy (25% weight)
Policy is scored both qualitatively and quantitatively across three policy mechanisms:
- i) Carbon pricing
- ii) Fiscal spending
- iii) Non-fiscal support (regulations, targets, etc.)
Carbon pricing references changes in the federal benchmark carbon price. Scoring is a function of both the nominal price of the carbon tax (i.e., increasing yearly towards $170/tonne by 2030) and the scope of greenhouse gases (GHG) coverage subject to the carbon tax.
Fiscal spending is qualitatively scored and takes into account direct and indirect spending by the federal and provincial governments.
Non-fiscal support encompasses policy measures impacting climate action. A maximum of three measures are selected and scored on policy progress, e.g., issuance of consultation paper, draft legislation and/or regulations, enacted legislation/regulations. Scoring is done both at the federal and provincial levels.
B. Action (25% weight)
The Action theme tracks each sector’s key climate mitigation practices aligned with Canada’s official National Inventory Reports (NIR).
Action metrics are aggregated as a physical metric, such as square footage for buildings or megawatts for electricity. If metrics cannot be aggregated into one physical unit, either the emissions abatement potential is used as a proxy, or each specific metric is indexed and then aggregated into one composite value. The sector specific progress indicators are noted below.
- On farm diesel use
- 4R Nutrient Stewardship Plan
- Head of cattle
- Dairy cattle efficiency
- Average cold dressed weight of meat production
- Tillage
- Residential heat pump adoption
- New or retrofit of industrial, commercial and institutional (ICI) buildings that are LEED certified
- New ICI buildings constructed with low-carbon building materials
- Capacity additions in solar and wind power
- Reductions in coal-powered electricity generation
- Changes in CO2 intensity of final energy consumption
- Changes in CO2 intensity of industrial production
- Changes in CO2 intensity from venting of associated gas
- CO2 sequestration from carbon capture applied to oil and gas facilities.
- Adoption of passenger, medium- and heavy-duty electric vehicles
- Deployment of public chargers
C. Capital (25% weight)
Capital flows are aggregated across both the private and public sector.
Public sector climate spending is sourced from federal budgets and the budgets of the four largest provinces. Private sector spending includes climate-oriented private equity and venture capital fund raising and operator capital expenditures, where distinguishable.
The total dollar value of climate expenditures is aggregated and then adjusted relative to the level of capital expenditures required to achieve a net-zero transition—as outlined in The $2 Trillion Transition: Canada’s Road To net-zero. This adjustment to derive the final Capital score provides a more accurate comparison of capital progress across the six sectors.
D. Emissions (25% weight)
The Emissions score tracks changes in both absolute emissions and emissions intensity.
Absolute emissions are sourced from NIR by economic sectors. Emissions intensity is calculated on a real GDP basis. Agriculture emissions includes LULUCF cropland emissions to track soil carbon stocks, which is proportionally weighted.
For 2024, emissions are estimated based on historical trends and forecasting from Environment and Climate Change Canada. GDP estimates are annualized year-on-year change based on October 2024 GDP data, the latest available at the end of 2024.
Changes to both absolute and intensity-based emissions are indexed and then aggregated using equal weights. Final scores are inverted, such that decreasing emissions contribute positively to the emissions score.
Acknowledgements
We thank the following individuals for their insightful conversations and support with technical analysis:
- Nidhi Sood Abbi, Vice President, Energy and Power, Marsh
- Betsy Agar, Program Director, Buildings, Pembina Institute
- Maurcio Alanis, Director, Sustainability Strategy & Regenerative Agriculture Lead, Maple Leaf Foods
- Frank Annau, Director of Product Stewardship, Fertilizer Canada
- Dale Beugin, Executive Vice President, Canadian Climate Institute
- Leah Blechschmidt, Agriculture Corporate Engagement Advisor, Nature United
- Herbert Crowther, Analyst, Energy, Climate & Resources, Eurasia Group
- Ben Dachis, Vice President of Research and Outreach, Clean Prosperity
- Erin Daly, Project Manager, CanN2ONet at the University of Guelph
- Gurbir Singh Dhillon, Prairies Agriculture Program Manager, Nature United
- Corey Diamond, Executive Director, Efficiency Canada
- Jason Dion, Senior Research Director, Canadian Climate Institute
- Ronnie Drever, Senior Conservation Scientist, Nature United
- Joanna Eyquem, Managing Director, Climate-Resilient Infrastructure, Intact Centre on Climate Adaptation
- Blair Feltmate, Professor; Head, Intact Centre on Climate Adaptation, University of Waterloo
- Wilson Fink, Advisory Services Manager, Viresco Solutions
- Bryan Flannigan, Executive Director, Building Decarbonization Alliance, The Transition Accelerator
- Evan Fraser, Professor and Director of Arrell Food Institute, University of Guelph
- Les Fuller, Agriculture Strategy Director, Nature United
- James Gaede, Research Manager, Efficiency Canada
- Bradford Griffin, Simon Fraser University
- Mark Hutchinson, Senior Vice President, Green Building Programs & Innovation, Canada Green Building Council
- Anna Kanduth, Director, 440 Megatonnes, Canadian Climate Institute
- Boyd Koldingnes, CEO, CultivateCI
- Roland Kroebel, Research Scientist, Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada
- Ross Linden-Fraser, Senior Research Associate, 440 Megatonnes, Canadian Climate Institute
- Peter McArthur, Chair, Ontario Clean Technology Industry Association (OCTIA) & Chair, Canada Cleantech Alliance (CCTA)
- Shaughn McArthur, Associate Director of Government Relations, Nature United
- Tyler McCann, Managing Director, Canadian Agri-Food Policy Institute
- David McInnes, Principal, DMci Strategies
- David Messer, Climate Smart Buildings Alliance
- Ibrahim Mohammed, Sustainability and Environment Specialist, Grain Farmers of Ontario
- Nathan Pelletier, Associate Professor, University of British Columbia
- Mathieu Poirier, Building Decarbonization Alliance, The Transition Accelerator
- Brent Preston, Farmer and President, Farmers for Climate Solutions
- Dave Rhéaume, Executive Vice President, Operations and Head of Client Relations, Hydro-Québec
- Andrew Rushmere, Interim Executive Director, Farmers for Climate Solutions Strategy & Impact Team, Farm Credit Canada
- Maya Saryyeva, Interim Executive Director, Institute for Sustainable Finance
- Rick Smith, President, Canadian Climate Institute
- Terence Smith, Senior Director, BCG Centre for Canada's Future
- Mario Tenuta, Professor, University of Manitoba
- Adam Thorn, Program Director, Transportation, Pembina
- Aurélie Vérin, Senior Policy Analyst, Building Decarbonization Alliance, The Transition Accelerator
References
We relied on subscriber only and public publications and data sets that informed our research and analysis. The references below are the public publications we accessed. The list excludes news articles, government legislation, regulations, policy directives, budgets and fall economic statements, regulatory and statutory reports such as those published by auditor generals and the Parliamentary Budget Office, climate strategic plans such as the federal government’s Emissions Reduction Plan, and data sets from Statistics Canada and federal departments.
Idea of the Year: Electricity
BC Hydro. Annual Service Plan Report, 2021 to 2024.
Bordalo, Pedro et al. Salience. National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series, 2021.
Canada Infrastructure Bank. Annual Report. 2020 to 2024.
C.D. Howe Institute. Strengthening Global Supply Chains for Low-Emissions Technology: The Policy Playbook and the Trade-offs, 2024.
Edelman. Trust Barometer Reports, 2019 to 2024.
Emera. Annual Report, 2022 to 2024.
Fraser Institute. Evaluating Electricity Price Growth in Ontario, 2017.
Hydro Quebec. 2023 Comparison of Electricity Prices in Major North American Cities.
Hydro Quebec. Action Plan 2035.
Hydro Quebec. Annual Report, 2022, 2023.
Independent Electricity System Operators. 2024 Annual Planning Outlook.
International Energy Agency. Energy Technology Perspectives, 2024.
International Renewable Energy Agency. Renewable Power Generation Costs in 2023.
Ipsos. Earth Day, 2023, 2024.
Ipsos. Predictions 2025 report.
National Infrastructure Advisory Council: Addressing the Critical Shortage of Power Transformers to Ensure Reliability of the U.S. Grid report.
Ontario Power Generation. Annual Report, 2022 and 2023.
U.S. Energy Information Administration. Levelized Costs of New Generation Resources in the Annual Energy Outlook, 2022.
Wood Mackenzie. Looking overseas: global reach of China’s solar and storage industry, 2024.
And other sources listed below, under the Electricity section.
Climate Action Barometer
Climate Action Tracker. Country Assessments, 2024.
Efficiency Canada. The Canadian Energy Efficiency Scorecard, 2024.
Gouvernement du Québec. Technoclimat.
Pembina Institute. All Together Now, 2024.
U.S. Department of Energy. Adoption Readiness Assessment, 2024.
Agriculture
Emissions Reductions Alberta. Projects, 2024.
Fertilizer Canada. Fertilizer Use Survey, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023.
Buildings
Building Decarbonization Alliance. Grid Implications of Electrifying Residential New Construction – Update, 2024.
Canadian Mortgage and Housing Corporation. Housing Supply Report, Spring 2024.
Efficiency Canada. 2022 Canadian Energy Efficiency Scorecard: Provinces and Territories.
Federation of Canadian Municipalities. Making Canada’s Growth a Success: The case for a Municipal Growth Framework, 2024.
Heating, Refrigeration, and Air Conditioning Institute of Canada. HVACR Quarterly Statistics.
Statistics Canada. The prevalence of household air conditioning in Canada, 2023.
Task Force for Housing & Climate. Blueprint for More and Better Housing, 2024.
* These are the Canada Green Building Council certification levels. Details including definition of LEED Zero Carbon Build can be found here.
Electricity
Alberta Electric System Operator. Current Supply Demand Report (accessed December 19, 2024)
Canada Growth Fund. Canada Growth Fund to Invest up to US$100 million in Svante to Accelerate Growth (August 15, 2024)
Canada Growth Fund. Canada Growth Fund Announces First Investment (October 25, 2023)
Canadian Renewable Energy Association. By The Numbers (as of October 15, 2024)
Capital Power. June 2022 Investor Presentation
Heartland Generation. Heartland Generation announces completion off of coal transitions at Battle River and Sheerness Generating Stations (November 9, 2021)
Independent Electricity System Operator. IESO Active Contracted Generation List
SaskPower. 2023-2024 Annual Report
SaskPower. 2022-2023 Annual Report
TransAlta. TransAlta completes coal phaseout at Canadian facilities
Heavy Industry
Cement Association of Canada, Concrete Zero: Canada’s cement and concrete industry action plan to net-zero, 2023
Canada Nickel Company, Canada Nickel Receives Equity Investment from Samsung SDI, 2024
Emissions Reduction Alberta, Emissions Reduction Alberta - Project Portfolio, 2024
Government of British Columbia, CleanBC Industry Fund Funded Projects, 2024
Natural Resources Canada, National Energy Use Database
Shell Global, Shell to build carbon capture and storage projects in Canada, 2024
Oil and Gas
Alberta Department of Energy and Materials, Quest Carbon Capture and Storage Project Annual Summary Report 2023, 2024
Alberta Energy Regulator, Supply and Disposition of Natural Gas, 2024
Alberta Energy Regulator, Upstream Petroleum Industry Emissions Report Industry Performance for Year Ending December 31, 2022, 2024
Canada-Newfoundland and Labrador Offshore Petroleum Board, Annual Emissions Reduction Initiatives Report, 2023
Canada-Newfoundland Offshore Petroleum Board, Total Oil Production in Barrels, 2024
Government of British Columbia, CleanBC Industry Fund Funded Projects, 2024
Government of British Columbia, Supply & Distribution of Natural Gas in British Columbia, 2024.
Government of Saskatchewan Ministry of Energy and Resources, The Oil and Gas Emissions Management Regulations Annual Report, 2023.
Government of Saskatchewan, Oil and Gas Statistical Reports, 2024
Transportation
International Energy Agency. Global EV Outlook, 2024.
Pembina Institute. Urban Delivery Trucks, 2023.
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Climate metrics, data and other information contained in this report are or may be based on assumptions, estimates and judgements. Moreover, the data needed to support our Climate Action Barometer analysis or to measure the commitments and investments in the six sectors discussed in this report may be limited in quality, unavailable or inconsistent across the sectors we choose to focus on, and the process of collecting, aggregating and analyzing data is highly dependent on the data other third parties make available at any given time. Given their inherent uncertainty and complexity, and the significant issues with some of the underlying data, assumptions, estimates and judgements believed to be reasonable at the time of the preparation of this report may subsequently turn out to be inaccurate. In addition, many of the assumptions, estimates, standards, methodologies, scenarios, metrics and measurements used in preparing the analyses contained in this report continue to evolve and may differ significantly from those used by other companies and those that may be used by us in the future. Legislative and regulatory changes, market developments and/or changes in data availability and reliability could also materially affect these assumptions, estimates, standards, methodologies, scenarios, metrics and measurements used by us and/or other companies, and could therefore materially affect the comparability of the information and data across industries or companies and from one report to a subsequent report.
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Endnotes
Overview
- Analysis derived from the following data sources: Canada’s National inventory report 1990-2022 (opens in a new window), and Canada’s Preliminary Greenhouse Gas Emissions 1990-2023 (opens in a new window).
- Analysis derived from the following data source: Alberta Electric System Operator, Current and historical market reports (opens in a new window)
- Analysis derived from the following data sources: Ministry of Energy and Resources, Government of Saskatchewan Endnote The Oil and Gas Emissions Management Regulations Annual Report 2023; (opens in a new window) Canada-Newfoundland & Labrador Offshore Petroleum Board Endnote Annual Emissions Reduction Initiatives Report 2022 (opens in a new window); Alberta Energy Regulator Endnote Upstream Petroleum Industry Emissions Report 2023 (opens in a new window); Government of British Columbia Endnote Provincial Inventory of greenhouse gas emissions; (opens in a new window) Government of Newfoundland and Labrador Endnote Historical GHG Emissions Summary 1990 - 2022; (opens in a new window) Alberta Energy Regulator Endnote Alberta Energy Resource Industries Monthly Statistics 2019 - 2024; (opens in a new window) Endnote Government of British Columbia Natural Gas & Oil Statistics 2008 - current; (opens in a new window) Government of Saskatchewan Endnote Oil Production 2019 – 2024 (opens in a new window); Endnote Newfoundland and Labrador Statistics Agency Total Oil Production, Barrels, November 1997 to Date(opens in a new window)
- Analysis derived from the following data sources: Government of Canada Endnote National inventory report 1990-2022; (opens in a new window) Government of Canada Endnote Preliminary Greenhouse Gas Emissions 1990-2023 (opens in a new window);Endnote Statistics Canada. Table 36-10-0434-03 Gross domestic product (GDP) at basic prices, by industry, annual average (x 1,000,000)(opens in a new window)
- Analysis derived from the following data sources: Government of Canada, Department of Finance, Budgets 2019-2024; Government of Alberta, Ministry of Treasury Board and Finance, Budgets 2019-2024; Canada Growth Fund, Canada Growth Fund Announces up to $2 Billion Carbon Capture and Sequestration Partnership with Strathcona Resources.
- Data source: Canada Growth Fund, Canada Growth Fund Announces up to $2 Billion Carbon Capture and Sequestration Partnership with Strathcona Resources (opens in a new window)
- Analysis derived from the following data sources: BloombergNEF; Capital IQ.
- Analysis derived from the following sources: Statistics Canada, Table: 25-10-0029-01 Supply and demand of primary and secondary energy in terajoules, annual; communications with the Canadian Steel Producers Association and the Cement Association of Canada.
- Ibid
- Data Source: Christian Aid. New study: Top 10 climate disasters cost the world billions in 2024 (opens in a new window)
- Analysis derived from the following data sources: Federal Budgets 2016 to 2024, and provincial budgets for B.C., Alberta, Ontario, and Quebec, for the same time period.
Idea Of The Year
- Analysis derived from the following data sources: Government of Canada National inventory report 1990-2022; (opens in a new window) Government of Canada Preliminary Greenhouse Gas Emissions 1990-2023 (opens in a new window).
- Analysis derived from the following data sources: BloombergNEF; Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
- Analysis derived from the following data sources: Statistics Canada Canadian vehicle survey; (opens in a new window) Statista Age of vehicles on roads in Canada 1990-2016; (opens in a new window) McKinsey & Company The race to decarbonize electric-vehicle batteries; (opens in a new window) EPA Greenhouse Gas Emissions from a Typical Passenger Vehicle (opens in a new window); Driving.ca How It Works: Making sense of EV specifications; (opens in a new window) BloombergNEF When will EVs be cheaper than conventional vehicles? (opens in a new window)
- Analysis derived from the following data sources: Government of British Columbia BC’s energy system backgrounder; Government of British Columbia New wind projects will boost B.C.’s affordable clean-energy supply (opens in a new window).
- Data source: Honda Canada, Honda Plans to Establish Comprehensive Electric Vehicle Value Chain in Ontario, Canada (opens in a new window).
- Data source: Canada Energy Regulator, Canada Energy Regulator’s 2030 Emissions Reduction Plan: Clean Air, Strong Economy (opens in a new window).
- Analysis derived from the following data sources: Canada Energy Regulator’s 030 Emissions Reduction Plan: Clean Air, Strong Economy (opens in a new window); William Noel, Timothy M. Weis et al. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews: Mapping the evolution of Canada’s wind energy fleet (opens in a new window); U.S. Department of Energy. Wind Vision: A new era for wind power in the U.S. (opens in a new window), Statistics Canada Table: 38-10-0163-01 Extent and growth of contiguously settled areas (opens in a new window).
- Analysis derived from the following data source: Alberta Electricity System Operator Connection Project Reporting (opens in a new window), November 2024.
- Analysis derived from the following data source: International Energy Agency’s Energy Technology Perspectives 2024 (opens in a new window).
- Analysis derived from the following data sources: National Infrastructure Advisory Council: Addressing the Critical Shortage of Power Transformers to Ensure Reliability of the U.S. Grid (opens in a new window) report; (opens in a new window) private discussions with power and utilities organizations, not-for-profits, and think-tanks at New York Climate Week.
- Analysis derived from the following data sources: CBC News Why Quebec struck a new hydro deal with Newfoundland and Labrador (opens in a new window); Hydro Quebec 2023 Comparison of Electricity Prices In Major North American Cities (opens in a new window).
- Data source: Hydro One: Indigenous relations (opens in a new window)
- Data source: Government of British Columbia, New wind projects will boost B.C.’s affordable clean-energy supply (opens in a new window).
- Data source: Natural Resources Canada, Major Projects Planned and Under Construction 2023 to 2023 (opens in a new window).
- Data sources: Government of Canada, Federal Budget 2024 (opens in a new window) Chapter 6; Government of British Columbia, Provincial Budget 2024. (opens in a new window)
- Data source: Government of Canada, Protecting nature: Canada’s story (opens in a new window)
- Ibid
- Ibid
- Ibid
- Ibid
- Data source: Wataynikaneyap Transmission Project (opens in a new window)
Climate Action Barometer
- Analysis derived from the following data sources: Environment and Climate Change Canada Greenhouse gas emissions projections (opens in a new window)
- Analysis derived from the following data sources: Environment and Climate Change Canada Greenhouse gas emissions projections (opens in a new window)
- Analysis derived from the following data sources: Federal Budgets 2016 to 2024, and provincial budgets for B.C., Alberta, Ontario, and Quebec, for the same time period.
- Analysis derived from the following data source: Alberta Electricity System Operator Connection Project Reporting (opens in a new window), November 2024.
- Data source: Alberta Energy Regulator Quest Carbon Capture and Storage project : annual report, 2023 (opens in a new window)
- RBC Business Executive Survey with Kantar
- Ibid
- Ibid
- Analysis derived from the following data source: Emissions Reduction Alberta Projects (opens in a new window); Gouvernement du Québec Technoclimat program projects; (opens in a new window) Government of British Columbia CleanBC Industry Fund Funded Projects (opens in a new window)
Oil & Gas
- Analysis derived from the following data sources: Government of Canada, Department of Finance, Budgets 2019-2024; Government of Alberta, Ministry of Treasury Board and Finance, Budgets 2019-2024
- Analysis derived from the following data sources: Government of Canada, Environment and Climate Change Canada, Greenhouse Gas Emissions; Alberta Energy Regulator Alberta Energy Resource Industries Monthly Statistics 2019 - 2024(opens in a new window); Government of British Columbia Natural Gas & Oil Statistics 2008 - current(opens in a new window); Government of Saskatchewan Oil Production 2019 – 2024 (opens in a new window); Newfoundland and Labrador Statistics Agency Total Oil Production, Barrels, November 1997 to Date
- Analysis derived from the following data sources: Government of Canada, Canada Energy Regulator, Estimated Production of Canadian Crude Oil and Equivalent(opens in a new window); Statistics Canada Energy Statistics June 2024 (opens in a new window)
- Analysis derived from the following data sources: Statistics Canada Table 25-10-0055-01 Supply and disposition of natural gas(opens in a new window); Canada Energy Regulator Market Snapshot: Canadian natural gas production hits a record high in 2023, and industrial gas use continues to increase (opens in a new window)
- Data source: Canada Growth Fund, Canada Growth Fund Announces up to $2 Billion Carbon Capture and Sequestration Partnership with Strathcona Resources (opens in a new window)
- Data source: Government of Alberta, Alberta’s response to the federal oil and gas emissions cap technical submission (opens in a new window)
- Data source: Conservative Party of Canada, More Canadian energy, not less. (opens in a new window)
- Analysis derived from the following data sources: Government of Canada, Department of Finance, Budgets 2019-2024; Government of Alberta, Ministry of Treasury Board and Finance, Budgets 2019-2024; Canada Growth Fund, Canada Growth Fund Announces up to $2 Billion Carbon Capture and Sequestration Partnership with Strathcona Resources.
- Data source: Canada Growth Fund, Canada Growth Fund Announces up to $2 Billion Carbon Capture and Sequestration Partnership with Strathcona Resources (opens in a new window)
- Analysis derived from the following data sources: Ministry of Energy and Resources, Government of Saskatchewan The Oil and Gas Emissions Management Regulations Annual Report 2023 (opens in a new window); Canada-Newfoundland & Labrador Offshore Petroleum Board Annual Emissions Reduction Initiatives Report 2022 (opens in a new window); Alberta Energy Regulator Upstream Petroleum Industry Emissions Report 2023 (opens in a new window); Government of British Columbia Provincial Inventory of greenhouse gas emissions(opens in a new window); Government of Newfoundland and Labrador Historical GHG Emissions Summary 1990 - 2022 (opens in a new window); Alberta Energy Regulator Alberta Energy Resource Industries Monthly Statistics 2019 - 2024(opens in a new window); Government of British Columbia Natural Gas & Oil Statistics 2008 - current(opens in a new window); Government of Saskatchewan Oil Production 2019 – 2024 (opens in a new window); Newfoundland and Labrador Statistics Agency Total Oil Production, Barrels, November 1997 to Date
- Analysis derived from the following data source: Government of Canada, Environment and Climate Change Canada, Greenhouse Gas Emissions
- Analysis derived from the following data sources: Canada Energy Regulator Canada’s Energy Futures 2021 Fact Sheet(opens in a new window); Environment and Climate Change Canada Canada’s Preliminary Greenhouse Gas Emissions (1990-2023)(opens in a new window);
- All data and analysis sourced from Entropy
Transportation
- Analysis derived from the following data sources: Statistics Canada New motor vehicle registrations (opens in a new window); Transport Canada Statistics on the incentives for zero-emission vehicles (iZEV) program (opens in a new window)
- Analysis derived from the following data source: Statistics Canada Renewable fuel plant statistics (opens in a new window)
- Analysis derived from the following data sources: Federal and Quebec Budgets for 2024.
- Analysis derived from the following data source: Statistics Canada New motor vehicle registrations (opens in a new window)
- Analysis derived from the following data source: Statistics Canada New motor vehicle registrations (opens in a new window)
- Analysis derived from the following data source: BloombergNEF Public charging overview database
- Analysis derived from the following data sources: Environment and Climate Change Canada Canada’s Preliminary Greenhouse Gas Emissions (1990-2023); (opens in a new window) Environment and Climate Change Canada Greenhouse gas emissions projections (opens in a new window)
- All data and analysis sourced from Purolator
Buildings
- Analysis derived from the following data sources: Natural Resources Canada program updates for Canada Greener Homes Initiatives (opens in a new window); Statistics Canada. Table 38-10-0286-01 Primary heating systems and type of energy(opens in a new window); Statistics Canada. Table 36-10-0688-01 Housing stock in unit by institutional sector, housing type, dwelling occupation, dwelling type, and tenure type (opens in a new window); Heating, Refrigeration, and Air Conditioning Institute of Canada HVACR Quarterly Statistics. (opens in a new window)
- Ibid
- Ibid
- Ibid
- Data source: Government of Quebec, regulations respecting oil-fired heating appliances (opens in a new window)
- Analysis derived from the following data sources: Canada’s Green Building Council Project Database (opens in a new window) and proprietary residential, commercial and institutional real estate data.
- Ibid
- Data source: International District Energy Association, Blog Viewer (opens in a new window).
- Analysis derived from the following data sources: Federal Budgets 2016 to 2024, and provincial budgets for B.C., Alberta, Ontario, and Quebec, for the same time period.
- Ibid
- Analysis derived from the following data sources: Government of Canada National inventory report 1990-2022 (opens in a new window); Government of Canada Preliminary Greenhouse Gas Emissions 1990-2023 (opens in a new window).
- All data and analysis sourced from CMHC.
Electricity
- Canadian Renewable Energy Association, Energy Transition – By the Numbers (opens in a new window)
- Analysis derived from the following data sources: Canadian Renewable Energy Association, Energy Transition – By the Numbers (opens in a new window); Government of Alberta, Alberta Major Projects (opens in a new window); Bloomberg New Energy Finance; Capital IQ Pro; Government of Canada, Department of Finance, Budgets 2018-2024; Government of Ontario, Ministry of Finance, Budgets 2016-2023; Government of Quebec, Ministere des Finances, Budgets 2016-2024; Government of Alberta, Ministry of Treasury Board and Finance, Budgets 2019-2024; Government of British Columbia, Ministry of Finance, Budgets 2019-2024
- Analysis derived from the following data sources: Canadian Renewable Energy Association, Energy Transition – By the Numbers (opens in a new window); Alberta Electric System Operator, Current supply and demand (opens in a new window)
- Alberta Electric Systems Operator, Connection Project Reporting (opens in a new window)
- Business Renewables Centre, Deal Tracker (opens in a new window)
- Analysis derived from the following data sources: Canadian Renewable Energy Association, Energy Transition – By the Numbers (opens in a new window); Alberta Electric System Operator, Current and historical market reports (opens in a new window); Alberta Electric System Operator, Current supply and demand (opens in a new window); Canada Energy Regulator, Canada’s Energy Future 2023 (opens in a new window); Government of Canada, Environment and Climate Change Canada, Canada’s Preliminary Greenhouse Gas Emissions (1990-2023) (opens in a new window)
- Government of Ontario, Ontario Ministry of Energy and Electrification, Ontario’s Affordable Energy Future (opens in a new window)
- Analysis derived from the following data sources: Canada Energy Regulator, Canada’s Energy Future 2023 (opens in a new window)
- Analysis derived from the following data sources: Canadian Renewable Energy Association, Energy Transition – By the Numbers (opens in a new window); Government of Alberta, Alberta Major Projects (opens in a new window); Bloomberg New Energy Finance; Capital IQ Pro
- Alberta Electric System Operator, Current and historical market reports (opens in a new window)
- Analysis derived from the following data sources: Canadian Renewable Energy Association, Energy Transition – By the Numbers (opens in a new window); Alberta Electric System Operator, Current supply and demand (opens in a new window)
- Analysis derived from the following data sources: Canadian Renewable Energy Association, Energy Transition – By the Numbers (opens in a new window); Alberta Electric System Operator, Current and historical market reports (opens in a new window); Alberta Electric System Operator, Current supply and demand (opens in a new window); Canada Energy Regulator, Canada’s Energy Future 2023 (opens in a new window); Government of Canada, Environment and Climate Change Canada, Canada’s Preliminary Greenhouse Gas Emissions (1990-2023) (opens in a new window)
- Alberta Electric System Operator, Current and historical market reports (opens in a new window)
- All data and analysis sourced from Jule
Heavy Industry
- Analysis derived from the following data sources: Government of British Columbia, CleanBC Industry Fund; Government of Alberta, Emissions Reduction Alberta
- Analysis derived from the following sources: Statistics Canada, Table: 25-10-0029-01 Supply and demand of primary and secondary energy in terajoules, annual; communications with the Canadian Steel Producers Association and the Cement Association of Canada.
- Shell Canada, Shell to Build carbon capture and storage projects in Canada (opens in a new window)
- Analysis derived from the following sources: Bloomberg New Energy Finance
- Analysis derived from the following data sources: Bloomberg New Energy Finance; Capital IQ Pro; Government of Canada, Department of Finance, Budgets 2018-2024; Government of Ontario, Ministry of Finance, Budgets 2016-2023; Government of Quebec, Ministere des Finances, Budgets 2016-2024; Government of Alberta, Ministry of Treasury Board and Finance, Budgets 2019-2024; Government of British Columbia, Ministry of Finance, Budgets 2019-2024
- Analysis derived from the following data sources: Government of Canada National inventory report 1990-2022; (opens in a new window) Government of Canada Preliminary Greenhouse Gas Emissions 1990-2023 (opens in a new window); Statistics Canada. Table 36-10-0434-03 Gross domestic product (GDP) at basic prices, by industry, annual average (x 1,000,000) (opens in a new window)
- All data and analysis sourced from Canada Nickel
Agriculture
- Analysis derived from the following data sources: Fertilizer Canada. Fertilizer Use Survey, (opens in a new window) 2019-2023. Statistics Canada. Cattle and calves, farm and meat production; Statistics Canada. Supply and demand of primary and secondary energy in terajoules, annual (opens in a new window); Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada. Historical Milk Production (opens in a new window). Statistics Canada. Number of cattle, by class and farm type (opens in a new window); Government of Canada National inventory report 1990-2022(opens in a new window); Government of Canada Preliminary Greenhouse Gas Emissions 1990-2023(opens in a new window);.
- Analysis derived from the following data sources: Government of Canada National inventory report 1990-2022(opens in a new window); Government of Canada Preliminary Greenhouse Gas Emissions 1990-2023(opens in a new window); Office of the Auditor General of Canada. Reports of the Commissioner of the Environment and Sustainable Development to the Parliament of Canada - Agriculture and Climate Change Mitigation - Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada (opens in a new window), 2024.
- Analysis derived from the following data sources: Fertilizer Canada. Fertilizer Use Survey, (opens in a new window) 2019-2023. Statistics Canada. Cattle and calves, farm and meat production; Statistics Canada. Supply and demand of primary and secondary energy in terajoules, annual (opens in a new window); Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada. Historical Milk Production (opens in a new window). Statistics Canada. Number of cattle, by class and farm type. (opens in a new window)
- Analysis derived from the following data sources: BloombergNEF; Capital IQ.
- Analysis derived from the following data sources: Federal policy and budgets 2016 to 2024, and provincial policy and budgets for B.C., Alberta, Saskatchewan, Manitoba, Ontario, and Quebec, for the same time period;
- Analysis derived from the following data sources: Bloomberg New Energy Finance; Capital IQ Pro; Federal Budgets 2016 to 2024, and provincial budgets for B.C., Alberta, Saskatchewan, Manitoba, Ontario, and Quebec, for the same time period.
- Analysis derived from the following data sources: Fertilizer Canada. Fertilizer Use Survey, (opens in a new window) 2019-2023. Statistics Canada. Cattle and calves, farm and meat production; Statistics Canada. Supply and demand of primary and secondary energy in terajoules, annual (opens in a new window); Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada. Historical Milk Production (opens in a new window). Statistics Canada. Number of cattle, by class and farm type. (opens in a new window)
- Analysis derived from the following data source: Government of Canada National inventory report 1990-2022(opens in a new window); Government of Canada Preliminary Greenhouse Gas Emissions 1990-2023(opens in a new window); Statistics Canada. Table 36-10-0434-03 Gross domestic product (GDP) at basic prices, by industry, annual average (x 1,000,000)(opens in a new window)
- All data and analysis sourced from Semex.
- Analysis derived from the following data sources: National Inventory Report, 2024. (opens in a new window)