{"id":758,"date":"2020-10-06T19:42:18","date_gmt":"2020-10-06T19:42:18","guid":{"rendered":""},"modified":"2025-03-26T04:54:45","modified_gmt":"2025-03-26T04:54:45","slug":"september-another-super-busy-month-for-canadas-housing-market","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.rbc.com\/en\/economics\/canadian-analysis\/canadian-housing\/local-real-estate-markets\/september-another-super-busy-month-for-canadas-housing-market\/","title":{"rendered":"September Another (Super) Busy Month for Canada&#8217;s Housing Market"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>[printfriendly] <\/p>\n<p>Early signs suggest Canada&#8217;s housing market was as busy as ever. Home resales rose some 25% to 61% above year-ago levels in areas where local real estate boards have so far reported September results\u2014including increases of 56% in Vancouver, 51% in Ottawa and 42% in Toronto. The pandemic however is driving diverging trends among housing categories. Activity is universally stronger for single-detached and other low-rise homes than it is for condos. And the number of condos put up for sale is rising much faster than the number of low-rise homes. The pandemic is altering the housing needs of many current owners, which simultaneously shifts demand from condo apartments to single-detached homes and other low-rise categories, and boosts the supply of smaller condos in core urban areas. These trends have put single-family home prices on accelerating trajectories. Condo prices continue to rise modestly for now in most markets but this may not last. At the rate demand-supply conditions are softening, we see condo prices losing ground in the coming year in some of Canada&#8217;s core urban areas.<\/p>\n<hr>\n<p><div id=\"highcharts-ICaPQtvsP\"><script src=\"https:\/\/app.everviz.com\/inject\/ICaPQtvsP\/\" defer=\"defer\"><\/script><\/div>\n<\/p>\n<hr>\n<p><b>Toronto Area<\/b><\/p>\n<p>The market came off August&#8217;s boil but was still red-hot overall in September. Strong demand\u2014especially for low-rise homes in the 905 area\u2014kept home resales 42% above year-ago levels. The modest 5.3% decline from August (on a seasonally-adjusted basis) did little to alter the fact the market was effectively running full-tilt going into the fall season. Tight supply was even likely a restraining factor for low-rise homes (newly listed single-detached homes grew 2.9% y\/y, well short of the 55% increase in resales). This wasn&#8217;t the case for condo apartments, though, as new listings surged 90% y\/y (six times the 15% rate of increase in resales). Home prices got a few degrees hotter overall. The aggregate MLS HPI accelerated to a three-year high rate of 11.6% y\/y. Yet the heat was concentrated in low-rise categories. Condo prices cooled slightly on a month-to-month basis.  <\/p>\n<hr>\n<div id=\"highcharts-h5yrgt5rT\"><script src=\"https:\/\/app.everviz.com\/inject\/h5yrgt5rT\/\" defer=\"defer\"><\/script><\/div>\n<hr>\n<p><strong>Vancouver Area<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Home resales jumped 56% y\/y in September, or more than 13% m\/m on a seasonally-adjusted basis. Detached home transactions led the way, rising (77% y\/y) and more than twice the rate of condos (up 37%). Detached home prices accelerated further to 7.8% y\/y from 6.9% in August. A material rise in new listings (up 44% y\/y) kept condo price increases steady at 4.5% y\/y (unchanged from August). Demand-supply conditions have tightened considerably for single-detached homes as new listings rose &#8216;only&#8217; 18% y\/y. We expect prices to heat up even more in this market segment in the near term. We expect more plentiful inventories will do the opposite for condo prices.<\/p>\n<hr>\n<div id=\"highcharts-GHo1K_6a7\"><script src=\"https:\/\/app.everviz.com\/inject\/GHo1K_6a7\/\" defer=\"defer\"><\/script><\/div>\n<hr>\n<p><b>Calgary Area<\/b><\/p>\n<p>There was a stark contrast among market segments with single-detached home resales surging 28% y\/y and condos falling 0.8%. The supply side also diverged. New listings of detached homes dropped 2.3% y\/y while they rose 16% for condo apartments. The end result has been a marked tightening in demand-supply conditions for single-detached and further loosening for condo apartments. Overall (benchmark) prices were still down on a year-over-year basis\u2014Calgary&#8217;s MLS HPI was off 0.2%\u2014though much of the weakness was concentrated in the condo segment. We expect relative strength in the single-detached segment to pull the aggregate benchmark into positive territory in the period ahead.   <\/p>\n<hr>\n<div id=\"highcharts-DdwKVBOnY\"><script src=\"https:\/\/app.everviz.com\/inject\/DdwKVBOnY\/\" defer=\"defer\"><\/script><\/div>\n<hr>\n<h4><b>Read the full report with complete set of charts.<\/b><\/h4>\n<div class=\"rds-callout-white\" style=\"border: 1px solid #c4c8cc;\">\n<div class=\"rds-gcw\">\n<div style=\"display:inline-block; vertical-align: top;\" class=\"img w-mob-100\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.rbc.com\/en\/economics\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/23\/2025\/03\/econ-download.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"261\" height=\"177\" class=\"alignleft size-full wp-image-23215\" \/><\/div>\n<div class=\"rds-inline pad-hlf\" style=\"display:inline-block; vertical-align: top;\">\n<h4 class=\"mar-t\">Read full report<\/h4>\n<p><a class=\"btn tertiary\" role=\"button\" href=\"https:\/\/www.rbc.com\/en\/economics\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2024\/11\/TREB_REBGV_results_Sep-2020.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-dig-id=\"TNL_101\" data-dig-category=\"TNL Economics\" data-dig-action=\"mid-funnel click\" data-dig-label=\"September Another (Super) Busy Month for Canada's Housing Market PDF\">Download<\/a>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Early signs suggest Canada&#8217;s housing market was as busy as ever as home resales rose 25% to 61% above year-ago levels.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":265,"featured_media":755,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"advgb_blocks_editor_width":"","advgb_blocks_columns_visual_guide":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[83,38,88],"tags":[19,25,11,17,26],"rbc_econ_content_type":[],"class_list":["post-758","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-canadian-analysis","category-canadian-housing","category-local-real-estate-markets","tag-alberta","tag-british-columbia","tag-economy","tag-housing","tag-ontario"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.2 (Yoast SEO v27.2) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>September Another (Super) Busy Month for Canada&#039;s Housing Market - RBC Economics<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Early signs in Toronto, Vancouver and Calgary 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