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Special Reports

 

Prince Edward Island's economic outlook stable, says RBC Economics

TORONTO, October 13, 2006 — According to the latest provincial economic outlook by RBC, Prince Edward Island's economic outlook is expected to grow by 2.1 per cent in 2006 and 1.9 per cent in 2007.

"Prince Edward Island has settled into a pattern of about two per cent growth every year since 2003," said Craig Wright, vice-president and chief economist. "Going into 2007, PEI will be the slowest growing province and as the only province still in deficit, fiscal policy is unlikely to ignite stronger growth prospects."

According to the report, PEI's weakness in economic growth is widespread as measured by bottom- of- the- pack rankings for trend growth in employment, retail sales, building permits, home resales and manufacturing shipments. The province has the second highest unemployment rate behind only Newfoundland and Labrador.

However, RBC notes, there are economic bright spots including infrastructure spending, home building activity, a recovery in the fishing industry, and investments related to the Renewable Energy Act's goal of having all electricity needs met through renewable sources within nine years.

For the overall Canadian economy, RBC has revised its 2006 growth forecasts downward with Ontario being sharply downgraded to last place among the provinces. Alberta and British Columbia are now in first and second place respectively, bumping Newfoundland and Labrador to third place for growth in 2006.

The RBC Economics Provincial Outlook assesses the provinces according to economic growth, employment growth, unemployment rates, personal income growth, retail sales, housing starts and the Consumer Price Index.

- 30 -

For more information contact:
Craig Wright, RBC Financial Group Economics,
(416) 974-7457

Derek Holt, RBC Financial Group Economics,
(416) 974-6192

Beja Rodeck, RBC Media Relations,
(416) 974-5506

 

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