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Special Reports

 

Saskatchewan continues to be Canada's most affordable province for housing, says RBC Economics

TORONTO, September 19, 2006 — Saskatchewan continued to be one of the most affordable provinces for housing, despite housing affordability deteriorating slightly in every class for a third straight quarter, according to the latest RBC Economics' Housing Affordability Index,

"Solid wage gains, coupled with fairly average house price growth, have helped keep housing conditions affordable," said Derek Holt, assistant chief economist, RBC. "While its neighbours to the west continue to feel the blistering pace of rising house prices, Saskatchewan remains one of the most affordable provinces, especially when purchasing a two-storey home."

The RBC Affordability Index for Saskatchewan, which measures the proportion of pre-tax household income needed to service the costs of owning a home, eroded slightly across all four housing classes to 30.5 per cent for a detached bungalow, 32.8 per cent for a standard two-storey home, 24.2 per cent for a standard townhouse and 19.4 per cent for a standard condo.

The report noted that house prices in Saskatchewan, which jumped with double-digit growth in early 2005, have pulled back to a more sustainable pace in 2006. Lower utility bills helped offset the slight deterioration of affordability that was driven by interest rate hikes.

Also included in the report is a look at mortgage carrying costs relative to incomes for a broader sampling of smaller cities across the country, including Regina and Saskatoon. For these smaller cities, RBC has used a narrower measure of housing affordability that only takes mortgage payments relative to income into account.

The Housing Affordability Index, the most comprehensive, multiple housing class report, which RBC has compiled since 1985, is based on the costs of owning a detached bungalow, a reasonable property benchmark for the housing market. Alternative housing types are also presented including a standard two-storey home, a standard townhouse and a standard condo. The higher the index, the more costly it is to afford a home. For example, an Affordability Index of 50 per cent means that homeownership costs, including mortgage payments, utilities and property taxes, take up 50 per cent of a typical household's monthly pre-tax income.

RBC's Affordability Index for a detached bungalow for Canada's largest cities is as follows: Vancouver 68.2 per cent, Toronto 43.9 per cent, Montreal 36 per cent, Calgary 34.6 per cent and Ottawa 30.3 per cent.

Highlights from across Canada:

  • British Columbia: Housing affordability continued to erode in every housing segment. Bungalow and townhome markets are setting new records while condos and standard two storey homes lie close to 1990 records. Surging prices and rising interest rates are to blame, despite healthy income growth of 4.6 per cent compared to a year ago.

  • Alberta: Alberta experienced one of the sharpest deteriorations in housing affordability across the country last quarter. While incomes are growing at a fairly rapid five per cent annual pace, house price growth is multiples faster.

  • Manitoba: Manitoba's two-storey houses saw the sharpest deterioration in affordability, as prices were up 21 per cent compared to last year. Detached bungalows and condos remain the best options for prospective home buyers as prices declined from the previous quarter.

  • Ontario: Despite weakening price gains in Ontario's housing market, affordability deteriorated for a third straight quarter. The growth of household income failed to keep pace with higher mortgage rates and rising utilities costs.

  • Quebec: Most of Quebec's housing market is in the midst of an orderly slowdown as prices grow much slower than the double-digit pace of earlier years. Three out of four housing segments deteriorated in affordability this quarter, with Quebec's condo market the exception.

  • Atlantic region: Atlantic Canada's housing affordability continued its downward descent for the fourth consecutive quarter. Big jumps in house prices, higher mortgage rates and a four per cent increase in utilities were among the main forces behind the decline, with townhouses showing the strongest deterioration of all.

The full RBC Housing Affordability Index report is available online, as of 8 a.m. E D.T. today at www.rbc.com/economics/market/pdf/house.pdf.

- 30 -

For more information, please contact:
Derek Holt, RBC Economics, 416-974-6192
Jackie Braden, RBC Media Relations, 416-974-2124

 

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